Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[Tender Branson]

Everything went roughly as I expected and my predictions on both sides were pretty accurate.

Only the loss in MA was slightly unexpected and disappointing.

[Averroës Nix]

Sorry if this has already been discussed, but what's the deal with Floyd County, VA, going 70% for Sanders?

This is only based on skimming a few web pages, but there's some evidence that Floyd County hosts a substantial population of aging hippies (the bluegrass kind). (Also see here, and here.) It's a quiet, idyllic, and fairly low-cost area a little more than half an hour from Blacksburg (Virginia Tech), so I suppose that makes sense.

e: Oh, and here's more: Floyd's county website notes that it was a popular place of settlement for back-to-the-landers in the '70s. That's a bit more helpful, I think.

[user12345]

Sanders at 62% in Minnesota. Damn.

[Gustaf]

I can't seem to find the exit poll results. Are they published anywhere?

[Ebsy]

I can't seem to find the exit poll results. Are they published anywhere?

CNN election center.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And as a traditional Republican county there's no legacy DEM machine in Floyd county to speak of. Combined with the other stuff is why it usually votes for the insurgent candidate in primaries.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyway, Trump won Newton, MA, well known to be populated entirely by uneducated rubes... oh wait...

[ag]

Anyway, Trump won Newton, MA, well known to be populated entirely by uneducated rubes... oh wait...

A Newton Republican is such a rare beast indeed, I am surprised the town was not won by a cat. I mean, in terms of votes in Newton:

Clinton 14,640
Sanders 8,489
Trump 2,197
Kasich 1,785
Rubio  1,602
Cruz 443

[The Other Castro]

If it wasn't for Boston, Hillary would only be up 200 votes in MA. Imagine that.

Once again reinforcing my belief that Boston is a horrible place (except for Boston Creme Donuts of course).

[SingingAnalyst]

Anyway, Trump won Newton, MA, well known to be populated entirely by uneducated rubes... oh wait...

A Newton Republican is such a rare beast indeed, I am surprised the town was not won by a cat. I mean, in terms of votes in Newton:

Clinton 14,640
Sanders 8,489
Trump 2,197
Kasich 1,785
Rubio  1,602
Cruz 443

The statement that Trump won Newton, MA, while technically true, is misleading. In the 2000 MI GOP Primary, Alan Keyes finished second in Royal Oak Township, but that says nothing about how the township would vote in a general election (in 2012, Obama got 99+% and Romney just 0.3%).

Newton is an upscale, very liberal, highly educated community (my thesis supervisor at MIT lived in Newton). I have not seen statistics, but based on historical voting trends (large vote for Anderson in 1980, huge swing toward Mondale in '84) I am guessing it has a large Jewish population. It is perfectly well suited for the Clinton voter.

Looking at it another way, Dem voters outnumbered GOP voters nearly 4-1, and even so only 1/3 of the GOP voters chose Trump, with Kasich and Rubio combined getting far more votes than Trump. Also, Sanders, despite getting fewer votes than Clinton, still got 4 times as many votes as Trump.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm not suggesting that it says anything about how Newton would vote in a General Election (overwhelmingly Democratic obviously) or even that the sort of person who votes in the R primary in Newton, MA is in any respect a typical resident of said dormitory suburb (i.e. they're about as typical as the Shenandoah Valley residents who voted for Sanders). Just that it is a useful illustration of the fact that Trump's support runs deeper into certain parts of the Republican electorate than maybe the more smugly complacent posters here are willing to face up to.

[All Along The Watchtower]

I'm not suggesting that it says anything about how Newton would vote in a General Election (overwhelmingly Democratic obviously) or even that the sort of person who votes in the R primary in Newton, MA is in any respect a typical resident of said dormitory suburb (i.e. they're about as typical as the Shenandoah Valley residents who voted for Sanders). Just that it is a useful illustration of the fact that Trump's support runs deeper into certain parts of the Republican electorate than maybe the more smugly complacent posters here are willing to face up to.

Well yeah, Trump has been winning the votes of a majority of Republican college-educated voters in many of these primaries (especially if you factor out postgrads, who are a relatively small part of the electorate regardless). He's also doing quite well among higher-income voters. That doesn't mean, however, that his strongest levels of support aren't still among the moderately educated and (relatively!) moderate-income segments of the Republican electorate.  But still, point taken.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Donald Trump received 31% of the vote in Weston, 25% of the vote in Cambridge, 26.5% of the vote in Brookline, 30% of the vote in Needham etc. To be fair, these results aren't exactly representative of the residents of these townships, they're representative of the few Republicans who live in these townships and I have no idea what kind of person identifies as a Republican and lives in Newton or Brookline.

[SingingAnalyst]

Donald Trump received 31% of the vote in Weston, 25% of the vote in Cambridge, 26.5% of the vote in Brookline, 30% of the vote in Needham etc. To be fair, these results aren't exactly representative of the residents of these townships, they're representative of the few Republicans who live in these townships and I have no idea what kind of person identifies as a Republican and lives in Newton or Brookline.

Young and contrarian. I cast my first ever vote for Reagan as an 18 y/o MIT student; alas I cast it not in Cambridge, MA (which would have improved Reagan's percentage from 23.397% to 23.398%) but in my MI hometown, which went 70% for Reagan.

[Brittain33]

Donald Trump received 31% of the vote in Weston, 25% of the vote in Cambridge, 26.5% of the vote in Brookline, 30% of the vote in Needham etc. To be fair, these results aren't exactly representative of the residents of these townships, they're representative of the few Republicans who live in these townships and I have no idea what kind of person identifies as a Republican and lives in Newton or Brookline.

Probably a fair number of Orthodox Jews but I have no clue how they'd vote.

[ag]

I'm not suggesting that it says anything about how Newton would vote in a General Election (overwhelmingly Democratic obviously) or even that the sort of person who votes in the R primary in Newton, MA is in any respect a typical resident of said dormitory suburb (i.e. they're about as typical as the Shenandoah Valley residents who voted for Sanders). Just that it is a useful illustration of the fact that Trump's support runs deeper into certain parts of the Republican electorate than maybe the more smugly complacent posters here are willing to face up to.

I am starting to have increasingly many conversations with friends who consider voting for Trump in a Republican primary, thinking that Trump would be easier to defeat in November. I think they are both ridiculous and wrong to be taking it as a joke this late in the game (the SOB will be anything but easy to defeat). However, in places like Newton you would expect these likely Dem voters to form a substantial chunk of the Republican primary electorate. MA has a primary open to registered independents. I would not be surprized if a few hundred Trump voters in Newton voted for him to help elect Clinton.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

I have not seen statistics, but based on historical voting trends (large vote for Anderson in 1980, huge swing toward Mondale in '84) I am guessing it has a large Jewish population.

Yes, it does.

I have no idea what kind of person identifies as a Republican and lives in Newton or Brookline.

I mean I'm in Newton and I voted in the Republican primary for tactical reasons but I certainly don't 'identify as a Republican'. I would guess either very wealthy and self-interested or, yeah, young edgelords.

[This account no longer in use.]

Votes from my town finally counted. Went for Sanders and TRUMP.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

[RI]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

It's complicated, but I'm working on it.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

It's complicated, but I'm working on it.

Thanks! It would be really sad if we couldn't get a complete national county map.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

It's complicated, but I'm working on it.

Thanks! It would be really sad if we couldn't get a complete national county map.

Thank goodness Alaska doesn't have counties.

[RI]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

It's complicated, but I'm working on it.

Thanks! It would be really sad if we couldn't get a complete national county map.

Minnesota hasn't fully finished reporting yet, but you can see my estimate of what the county returns are here. Both parties report results by Organizing Units, which sometimes cross county lines. It isn't perfect for the Minneapolis area, but it's really close.

[ag]

I mean I'm in Newton and I voted in the Republican primary for tactical reasons

Please do not tell me you voted for the national socialist!

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

I mean I'm in Newton and I voted in the Republican primary for tactical reasons

Please do not tell me you voted for the national socialist!

Of course I didn't. I voted for Rubio in hopes of minimizing the scope of the national socialist's victory.