Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 43583 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: March 01, 2016, 07:20:02 PM »

First Georgia results in: Clinton 93%, Sanders 7%

#Clintonunder100

lol

I have a feeling the GA results are gonna be off.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 07:23:03 PM »

Uh, Clinton is currently leading 95-5 in Buchanan County, VA. This is a 95% white county in Appalachia.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 07:24:42 PM »

Uh, Clinton is currently leading 95-5 in Buchanan County, VA. This is a 95% white county in Appalachia.
I just saw it. Though it's just 4 precincts for now.

I'm thinking it must be a typo or something. That's just unreal, even for 4 precincts.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 07:50:10 PM »

Town of Baltimore, VT


Bernie Sanders: 43 votes
Hillary Clinton: 1 vote(s)

The mirror image of Baltimore, MD. Wink
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 07:50:57 PM »


Are those votes or delegate equivalents? If the former...lol.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 08:09:20 PM »

Interesting that Bernie could win all his targets. Still, he'll be undone by his own proclamation of proportionality.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 08:23:25 PM »

Sad I'd be pretty disappointed if Hillary loses both Massachusetts and Oklahoma...

Don't be. Bernie is the one that needs them to survive. For Hillary it would just be icing on the cake.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 08:32:22 PM »

O'Malley has 2.4% of the Oklahoma vote as of now.

LOL

LOLZ
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 08:33:31 PM »

The name of the game for Bernie is not to win, because even if he has a good night Hilldog is still the clear frontrunner.  The name of the game is to stay alive until the calendar gets to states without a ton of black folks (who Clinton is murdering him with) and hope he can start doing better.

Ironically, considering what happened to Hillary in 08, proportionality will be his downfall. Margins matter more than states won. Her delegate lead will likely be insurmountable after tonight, even without taking into account the superdelegates.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 08:35:11 PM »

Holy Cats... Look at Georgia! She's up 75/25 now... These exits are underestimating her again.

Knew it.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 08:53:28 PM »

So far Clinton has only won 5 of 6 states where she had a huge advantage. True, Texas will go Clinton as well, but hopefully Sanders can go on to win more than VT. One state only wouldn't be great news for the Sanders the Great. Let's hope he can win 5 of 11 and go on to win a few winner take alls. He's got a lot of money from small contributions. This is great. He has done so well without soft money and corrupt superpacs.

There are no winner take alls in the Democratic side. Thus why this Southern massacre = RIP Bernie.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 08:55:42 PM »

Hillary is carrying Travis County (Austin). Dayum.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 08:56:17 PM »

Clinton leading in Travis County, TX (Austin).

2 seconds away. lol
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 09:06:07 PM »

Bernie has OK. I'm surprised it hasn't been called yet.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 09:17:45 PM »

CNN has adjusted to a clinton lead in MA on their exit poll Cry

Yeah and its a fairly decent lead. Looks like Clinton will lose OK and squeak out a win in MA.

Not ready to call MA yet, but I'd much rather have that than the inverse. Undermines Bernie in his main region and OK is very, uh...eccentric.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2016, 09:22:13 PM »

Hillary may end up with only a single county in OK. Dayum.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2016, 09:35:41 PM »

Bernie is getting crushed even worse than expected in the South.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2016, 09:40:18 PM »

Yeah, Clinton is essentially 20,000 ahead in MA already. Why isn't this being called?

They waited ages to call Oklahoma even when it was clear Bernie won. They're just being careful I guess.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2016, 10:01:00 PM »

Bernie really needs MA. The delegate math was rough enough regardless, but losing there would just be salt in the wound and a knockout blow.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2016, 11:12:13 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #20 on: March 01, 2016, 11:22:58 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

That's nice for him. He hasn't totally imploded like some predicted. But he still has no shot at the nomination.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #21 on: March 01, 2016, 11:28:57 PM »

Thank you Massholes! No way this can be spun as anything other than an amazing night for Hillary now.

Bernie got 4 wins, and should shut Hillary out of delegates in Vermont.

Pledged yes, supers no.

Ah, yes. The Superdelegate Defense. Basically implying that if Clinton doesn't win the nomination democratically, she'll win it undemocratically.

Dude, she's gonna be up ~250 pledged after tonight. That's basically insurmountable in a proportional system. Might need to update those talking points.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #22 on: March 01, 2016, 11:30:45 PM »

Also, it looks like the theory that Sanders does much better in caucuses has finally come to pass. I wonder what made IA and NV so different.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #23 on: March 01, 2016, 11:49:59 PM »

According to 538, this is how Bernie performed relative to his benchmarks:

CO: +6
OK: +6

MN: -1
VT: -11
MA: -14
GA: -16
VA: -20
TX: -22
AR: -25
TN: -35
AL: -41
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #24 on: March 01, 2016, 11:54:14 PM »

Super Tuesday is also deceptive in determining who will win. Clinton has an obvious advantage in the South.

She now has a massive lead even among pledged delegates.
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