Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[cinyc]

So ABC is showing a good night for Sanders, CBS is showing a good night for Hillary.

They are all selectively releasing info from the same exit poll.  What they choose to release might tell you something about the particular network's leanings - or not.

[cinyc]

What about American Samoa?

No results yet - or at least no results I can find. 

[cinyc]

Why has Vermont not posted any results?

Because like New Hampshire, Vermont has an antiquated town-by-town reporting system that doesn't lend itself to speed.

[cinyc]

American Samoa:

Final Results:

Hillary: 73% - 4 Delegates
Sanders: 27% - 2 Delegates

Raw Vote:

Hillary - 162 (68.35%)
Bernie - 61 (25.74%)
Rocky - 14 (5.91%)

https://www.facebook.com/asdems

[cinyc]

American Samoa:

Final Results:

Hillary: 73% - 4 Delegates
Sanders: 27% - 2 Delegates

Raw Vote:

Hillary - 162 (68.35%)
Bernie - 61 (25.74%)
Rocky - 14 (5.91%)

https://www.facebook.com/asdems

#RoqueTheVote

That's impressive.

Rocky sent two representatives to American Samoa for the caucus.  Hillary and Bernie merely called into the caucus.

[cinyc]

They should call Texas already.

They can't.  El Paso and other parts of the state in the Mountain Time Zone are still voting.  They'll call it at 9PM.

[cinyc]

CNN has projected American Samoa for Clinton.

No idea where the actual results are, though.

We've known that Clinton won AS since 7:56.  It's posted in the thread above somewhere.  To recap the results (from the American Samoa Democrats' Facebook Page):

American Samoa:

Final Results:

Hillary: 73% - 4 Delegates
Sanders: 27% - 2 Delegates

Raw Vote:

Hillary - 162 (68.35%)
Bernie - 61 (25.74%)
Rocky - 14 (5.91%)

https://www.facebook.com/asdems

[cinyc]

AP - Bernie wins Oklahoma

Where?  I don't see that on the AP's OK results page.

[cinyc]

Fox News projection: Sanders wins Oklahoma.

[cinyc]

Damn, Hillary dominated in Springfield, MA.

Springfield is 39% Hispanic and 22% African-American.  And a lot of the Hispanics are Puerto Ricans, who can vote.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Clinton wins Massachusetts.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Sanders wins Colorado.

[cinyc]

Hillary picked up a big win in Lawrence - 71/26

Lawrence is 74% Hispanic.

[cinyc]

Fox News projects Sanders wins Minnesota.

[cinyc]

Clinton has been consistently above 20k votes ahead of Sanders in MA.

American Samoa apparently went for Clinton, but we have no idea by how much.

We have known exactly by exactly how much since around 7:55PM when the AS Dems posted the results to their Facebook page:

Final Results:

Hillary: 73% - 4 Delegates
Sanders: 27% - 2 Delegates

Raw Vote:

Hillary - 162 (68.35%)
Bernie - 61 (25.74%)
Rocky - 14 (5.91%)

https://www.facebook.com/asdems

[cinyc]

Will we ever get a county map for Minnesota?

It's complicated, but I'm working on it.

Thanks! It would be really sad if we couldn't get a complete national county map.

Thank goodness Alaska doesn't have counties.

Alaska has county equivalents - municipalities, boroughs and census areas.  Making a map would be impossible here, as results were released by House District only, and there were very few precincts.  Getting an exact number for some boroughs depends on estimating a split for some HDs, which may or may not be correct.  And some of the census areas didn't even have a polling place. 

I have tried to calculate the Republican vote for major municipalities/regions, and will post it in the Republican Results thread.

[cinyc]

I think the Wikipedia map actually managed to get county-level data for Alaska. It doesn't have percents, but it could probably still be useful. Ben Carson still managed to win one.

Yeah, I wonder where that data came from.

What's the link?

I and other posters (Sibboleth?) have made Alaska county-level equivalent maps in prior general elections - and perhaps primaries.  But in state-run elections, there are actual precincts in all of the census areas.  In the party-run caucus, some of the rural census areas didn't have a single precinct.  And we only have HD-level results, not precinct results, so it's difficult to allocate, say Haines from Juneau in one of the Juneau-dominated Southeast HDs.  Making an assumption based on past turnout in each area wouldn't be helpful if Haines actually backed one candidate and Juneau another.

I have estimated vote percentages in the major county equivalents or regions in the Republican results thread, but I had to assume uniform voting in split HDs and turnout in the various county equivalents equal to relative party registration in those equivalents or votes cast in past Republican primaries there.  So the estimates may or may not directly match reality.  And it does matter - allocating less of HD 9 and 12 to Mat-Su than to other areas helps Trump's numbers there.