$150,000+ in Washington State (CNN Exit Poll)

[Alcon]

I was surprised to see that Kerry won the $150,000-$200,000 group 67%-31% and the $200,000+ group by a 64%-36% margin.

Even as a Washingtonian, I find these numbers surprising. The ultra-rich Seattle suburbs seem pretty mixed (Sammamish and the Medina-Clyde Hill area being GOP-leaning narrowly, with Redmond-Bellevue and Mercer Island being very Democratic), and this result just confuses me.

I'd like to hear Jesus's comments on that, being that he is a rich jerk. But if anyone else has any knowledge, feel free. I haven't been able to find any state where the $200,000+ numbers are more Democratic than the rest of the state.

[bgwah]

I don't know. CNN also says they supported Gregoire, which I know is a joke (I saw more than a few Republicans vote Kerry, but in no way would they ever vote Gregoire. I also so a few Democrats and a more than usual amount of independents go Rossi, too). I don't doubt that the extremely wealthy could have voted for Kerry, but not by such large margins.

I don't have much faith in CNN's exit polls, anyway.

[AuH2O]

The exit polls are not reliable, to say the least. I don't buy it.

[Rob]

The exit polls in Washington were screwed up... they had white men going for Kerry. I don't buy it.

[bgwah]

The exit polls in Washington were screwed up... they had white men going for Kerry. I don't buy it.

Barely, which was believable, but not minority men and Native Americans going Bush.

[Alcon]

Their "Other" category would have included non-Native American groups such as Pacific Islanders, but I doubt they're all that conservative, if at all.

I think they were a bit screwed up. I also don't think Bush won the $50,000-$75,000 group by that much.

[Bono]

[bgwah]

^Sorry but everyone here drinks coffee, including the Republicans.

And of course I don't literally mean everyone, but just as many Republicans as Democrats do!

[jacob_101]

This doesn't surprise me.  Liberals have gained on the rich and those with post graduate degrees.

[The Vorlon]

You have to remember another thing about exit polls... they are still, well, just polls... with all the associated possibiility for errors...

The exit poll of Washington state would have been probable about 2000 people, and folks over 150K a year would be maybe 9 or 10 % of that - a sample size of 200 or so...

If you look at all the exit polls basic probability demands that some subset with a tiny sample is going to be some blip freak sample...

If I toss a coin 1000 times, chances are pretty darn good I am going to get something fairly close to 50/50 overall...  But if I then take my sample of 1000 coin tosses and break it down into 100 "subsamples" of 10 coins each, I am sure they will be more than a few  really kinky subsample where things went 9/1 heads or 10/0 tails...

50 states, tiny subsample sizes....

There are gonna be a few blips....

[Horus]

Also, the elderly went for Kerry with like 62% while only 50% of the youth voted Kerry.

If this were Utah or Texas I wouldn't be surprised, but it made no sense for Washington.

[tarheel-leftist85]

Makes complete sense.  It's our new base.  Good-bye, hard-working union members!  Hello, penthouse millionaires!