Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52765 times)
Matty
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« Reply #550 on: March 05, 2016, 07:48:43 PM »
so are the polls that showed trump at 50% in KY accurate?
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #551 on: March 05, 2016, 07:48:51 PM »
Quote from: Bow all your heads to our adored Mary Katherine. on March 05, 2016, 07:47:05 PM
Quote from: Castro on March 05, 2016, 07:46:29 PM
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 05, 2016, 07:45:53 PM
Quote from: marty on March 05, 2016, 07:42:29 PM
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 05, 2016, 07:41:50 PM
Quote from: marty on March 05, 2016, 07:25:39 PM
Quote from: Progressive on March 05, 2016, 07:24:38 PM
This could wind up being a reasonably good night for Trump if he wins Kentucky and Louisiana. I think that because I still think that many in the establishment would sooner embrace Trump than Cruz.

no, trump is underperforming in every state that is reporting so far.

and he is losing precious delegates as we speak.
The early states seemed to give him the expected numbers.

Nobody expected trump to lose maine. Indeed, go look at the prediction thread.
It's still not called yet.

DDHQ called it.

Oldiesfreak is...a bit weird about calling or not calling things.
CNN hasn't called it yet.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #552 on: March 05, 2016, 07:49:12 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:47:38 PM
Harlan, Kentucky goes 41-32-22 Trump, Cruz, Rubio

rather weak turnout though
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Firestorm
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« Reply #553 on: March 05, 2016, 07:50:05 PM »
Trump won 57% in Clay County, KY to Cruz' 23%. No surprise there and I expect him to do very well in the rest of Eastern Kentucky. Strongly evangelical but not to the exclusion of all else, very conservative yet still far more registered Democrats than Republicans in many counties, poverty levels of 25% in some areas... the area was made for Trump.

(it helps that the caucus is still very primary-like there)
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #554 on: March 05, 2016, 07:50:12 PM »
CNN seriously uses the term "Super CruzDay"
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swf541
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« Reply #555 on: March 05, 2016, 07:51:37 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on March 05, 2016, 07:49:49 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:47:38 PM
Harlan, Kentucky goes 41-32-22 Trump, Cruz, Rubio

Harlan is on the VA border.  That's a surprisingly bad result for Trump.  Closed caucus effect?

I think so
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Vosem
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« Reply #556 on: March 05, 2016, 07:51:47 PM »
If trump can't do much better than 41-32 in coal country, he's going to lose Kentucky to Cruz.
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Firestorm
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« Reply #557 on: March 05, 2016, 07:51:53 PM »
I heard that too.

Never mind that Trump will probably walk away with more delegates.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #558 on: March 05, 2016, 07:52:46 PM »
If Cruz wins Maine of all places, I think it can be safely assumed all future caucuses are Cruz territory.
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Holmes
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« Reply #559 on: March 05, 2016, 07:52:50 PM »
Quote from: Firestorm on March 05, 2016, 07:51:53 PM
I heard that too.

Never mind that Trump will probably walk away with more delegates.
Mmm, hard to say. Cruz's win in Kansas gave him a nice cushion.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #560 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:05 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on March 05, 2016, 07:51:47 PM
If trump can't do much better than 41-32 in coal country, he's going to lose Kentucky to Cruz.

Trump is gonna win Kentucky... lots of coal country still out.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #561 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:27 PM »
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swf541
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« Reply #562 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:33 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 05, 2016, 07:52:46 PM
If Cruz wins Maine of all places, I think it can be safely assumed all future caucuses are Cruz territory.

Agreed though what states caucuses are left?  I though Idaho was what else?
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politicallefty
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« Reply #563 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:37 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 05, 2016, 07:24:53 PM
All four CDs are 100% in now in Kansas; Cruz leads with 48.2%

Just as I predicted, Rubio did best in KS-03 (second place to Trump's third), but not making much of a difference in the statewide vote. Apparently, the delegates in Kansas will go Cruz 24, Trump 9, Rubio 6, and Kasich 1.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #564 on: March 05, 2016, 07:53:49 PM »
Cruz wins Marshal County, Kentucky 45-31 (Southwest Kentucky)
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RI
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« Reply #565 on: March 05, 2016, 07:54:06 PM »
Quote from: swf541 on March 05, 2016, 07:53:33 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on March 05, 2016, 07:52:46 PM
If Cruz wins Maine of all places, I think it can be safely assumed all future caucuses are Cruz territory.

Agreed though what states caucuses are left?  I though Idaho was what else?

Only Hawaii. Every other state is a primary.
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #566 on: March 05, 2016, 07:54:11 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on March 05, 2016, 07:52:50 PM
Quote from: Firestorm on March 05, 2016, 07:51:53 PM
I heard that too.

Never mind that Trump will probably walk away with more delegates.
Mmm, hard to say. Cruz's win in Kansas gave him a nice cushion.

It wasn't so much the accuracy or lack thereof, it's just the sheer stupidity of the pun.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #567 on: March 05, 2016, 07:54:21 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on March 05, 2016, 07:49:49 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:47:38 PM
Harlan, Kentucky goes 41-32-22 Trump, Cruz, Rubio

Harlan is on the VA border.  That's a surprisingly bad result for Trump.  Closed caucus effect?

Most likely though I expect there was only one caucus location for the whole county.
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cinyc
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« Reply #568 on: March 05, 2016, 07:54:40 PM »
Cruz won rural Marshall County in Western KY 45-31.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #569 on: March 05, 2016, 07:55:52 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:53:49 PM
Cruz wins Marshal County, Kentucky 45-31 (Southwest Kentucky)

If Cruz could do that well in all of WKY, then it could be very close.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #570 on: March 05, 2016, 07:56:22 PM »
Isn't coal country in Kentucky confined to pretty much one congressional district (i.e. KY-05), or basically a sixth of the state's population?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #571 on: March 05, 2016, 07:56:26 PM »
Trump is gonna win Kentucky. He's gonna DOMINATE Eastern Kentucky
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Matty
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« Reply #572 on: March 05, 2016, 07:56:57 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:56:26 PM
Trump is gonna win Kentucky. He's gonna DOMINATE Eastern Kentucky
can you shut up?
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Firestorm
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« Reply #573 on: March 05, 2016, 07:57:26 PM »
Quote from: Vosem on March 05, 2016, 07:51:47 PM
If trump can't do much better than 41-32 in coal country, he's going to lose Kentucky to Cruz.
He'll do well in Central KY too since he absolutely dominated across the line in Tennessee, I just think he'll do better in the east (and to a lesser extent the west, say Logan County). Kind of like how I could see his results in Georgia to know that he was probably going to do well in Alabama.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #574 on: March 05, 2016, 07:57:33 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 05, 2016, 07:56:57 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:56:26 PM
Trump is gonna win Kentucky. He's gonna DOMINATE Eastern Kentucky
can you shut up?

Why? Because I'm stating an obvious? Don't want to read my posts put me on ignore simple as that.
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