Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52758 times)
DINGO Joe
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« Reply #575 on: March 05, 2016, 07:57:37 PM »
Quote from: politicallefty on March 05, 2016, 07:56:22 PM
Isn't coal country in Kentucky confined to pretty much one congressional district (i.e. KY-05), or basically a sixth of the state's population?

They actually mine coal in a stretch of WKY too.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #576 on: March 05, 2016, 07:58:05 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 07:56:26 PM
Trump is gonna win Kentucky. He's gonna DOMINATE Eastern Kentucky

I'm going to wait until Jefferson and Fayette come in, but early results look good for Trump.
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DavidB.
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« Reply #577 on: March 05, 2016, 07:58:47 PM »
CNN still doesn't call Maine. what the hell.
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Vosem
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« Reply #578 on: March 05, 2016, 07:59:03 PM »
trump wins Magoffin County, in the heart of coal country, 58-20; those are the numbers he needs to cancel out Cruz in western KY. We'll see how this goes.
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Firestorm
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« Reply #579 on: March 05, 2016, 07:59:21 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 07:54:06 PM
Quote from: swf541 on March 05, 2016, 07:53:33 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on March 05, 2016, 07:52:46 PM
If Cruz wins Maine of all places, I think it can be safely assumed all future caucuses are Cruz territory.

Agreed though what states caucuses are left?  I though Idaho was what else?

Only Hawaii. Every other state is a primary.
Utah is a caucus, but he was probably going to get that anyway.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #580 on: March 05, 2016, 07:59:22 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on March 05, 2016, 07:58:47 PM
CNN still doesn't call Maine. what the hell.

They still only have 9% precincts in...
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GLPman
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« Reply #581 on: March 05, 2016, 08:00:42 PM »
What do these early numbers in Kentucky say for Cruz and Trump?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #582 on: March 05, 2016, 08:00:46 PM »
Maine Republican party is going to declare the results in a half hour per MSNBC.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #583 on: March 05, 2016, 08:01:09 PM »
Quote from: GLPman on March 05, 2016, 08:00:42 PM
What do these early numbers in Kentucky say for Cruz and Trump?

If Trump does well in Louisville and Lexington, he should win.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #584 on: March 05, 2016, 08:03:28 PM »
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #585 on: March 05, 2016, 08:05:20 PM »
Statewide it's now 41-33 in Kentucky.
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Matty
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« Reply #586 on: March 05, 2016, 08:05:56 PM »

how does that break down delegate wise?
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Progressive
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« Reply #587 on: March 05, 2016, 08:06:15 PM »
Two-person race narrative will emerge tonight, it looks like. Kasich doing nicely in northern KY. Maybe it's his moment to be the "third place champion" a la Rubio?
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #588 on: March 05, 2016, 08:06:58 PM »
Quote from: Progressive on March 05, 2016, 08:06:15 PM
Kasich doing nicely in northern KY. Maybe it's his moment to be the "third place champion" a la Rubio?

CAN'T LASIK THE KASICH
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #589 on: March 05, 2016, 08:08:48 PM »
42-31 Trump in KY with 14% in.  We don't have the metros in, yet, but anyone expecting a Trump call pretty soon?
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GLPman
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« Reply #590 on: March 05, 2016, 08:10:01 PM »
Quote from: Bigly Trump on March 05, 2016, 08:08:48 PM
42-31 Trump in KY with 14% in.  We don't have the metros in, yet, but anyone expecting a Trump call pretty soon?

Trump call won't be coming any time soon from CNN; all the commentators are babbling on about their personal, baseless theories about why Cruz is doing well.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #591 on: March 05, 2016, 08:10:16 PM »
Remember they don't have exit polls so they need to see real enough votes in all areas of a state to make a call.
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Matty
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« Reply #592 on: March 05, 2016, 08:10:19 PM »
Quote from: Bigly Trump on March 05, 2016, 08:08:48 PM
42-31 Trump in KY with 14% in.  We don't have the metros in, yet, but anyone expecting a Trump call pretty soon?

honestly, that seems like a sorta disappointing result for him. kentucky is a state that has more poor whites overall than many other states. Uneducated whites.
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Vosem
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« Reply #593 on: March 05, 2016, 08:10:55 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 05, 2016, 08:05:56 PM

how does that break down delegate wise?

It's totally proportional among candidates who get over 5%, for 46 delegates. So long as all 4 candidates stay over 5%, which seems pretty certain, 41% is good for 19/46 delegates. Kentucky is another defeat for trump, essentially, that puts us still closer to the contested convention.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #594 on: March 05, 2016, 08:12:24 PM »
Quote from: Likely Voter on March 05, 2016, 08:10:16 PM
Remember they don't have exit polls so they need to see real enough votes in all areas of a state to make a call.

I forgot about that.  They are kind of working along with the rest of us, so it will take longer.  I was just hoping we could jump start the evening again.  Silly me, lol.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #595 on: March 05, 2016, 08:13:12 PM »
I wonder if there are enough votes out in WKY and the urban areas to overtake Trump? I highly doubt it.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #596 on: March 05, 2016, 08:13:52 PM »
Too bad trump will get kentlucky.
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Matty
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« Reply #597 on: March 05, 2016, 08:14:23 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 08:13:12 PM
I wonder if there are enough votes out in WKY and the urban areas to overtake Trump? I highly doubt it.

It doesn't matter. trump did not do well enough to get a sufficient amount of delegates.

more close states like this and there is no way trump will get 1237.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #598 on: March 05, 2016, 08:15:31 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 05, 2016, 08:14:23 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 08:13:12 PM
I wonder if there are enough votes out in WKY and the urban areas to overtake Trump? I highly doubt it.

It doesn't matter. trump did not do well enough to get a sufficient amount of delegates.

more close states like this and there is no way trump will get 1237.

If he wins Florida and Ohio he could.
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Cruzcrew
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« Reply #599 on: March 05, 2016, 08:15:54 PM »
How close does Cruz have to get to tie trump in delegates?
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