Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52596 times)
yourelection
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« Reply #425 on: March 05, 2016, 06:45:00 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on March 05, 2016, 06:39:54 PM
It would be hilarious if Cruz actually won Maine. Conventional wisdom has been the biggest loser of this election cycle.

True!
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The Free North
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« Reply #426 on: March 05, 2016, 06:45:09 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 06:44:09 PM
I strongly suspect Kasich beats Rubio in Maine

As do I.

I could also see Kasich sneaking out 3rd in KY as well given the proximity of many suburban counties in the North to the Cincinnati and Ohio TV markets.
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Matty
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« Reply #427 on: March 05, 2016, 06:45:13 PM »
wait.....is trump beating cruz in maine?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #428 on: March 05, 2016, 06:46:13 PM »
For me it says the Maine results are (on DDHQ)

44% Cruz
34% Trump
11% Kasich
10% Rubio

Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on March 05, 2016, 06:42:56 PM
Quote from: Unbiased on March 05, 2016, 06:39:56 PM
WHere are these results for 27% of Maine coming from? CNN, NYT and Politco all have 4.5%/5% counted.

I presume via twitter.  It's actually pretty unprofessional to release results before all voting in the state has been completed.  Or so I believe.

The reason they took so long in Kansas was because parts of the state were still voting. It's fine to release results, as long as you don't make a definitive call.
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cinyc
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« Reply #429 on: March 05, 2016, 06:46:34 PM »

That's Rockland/Rockport/Camden.  Paul very narrowly won the county in 2012, by 2 votes.
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Donnie
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« Reply #430 on: March 05, 2016, 06:46:45 PM »
Ben JacobsVerified account
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New ARG poll of Michigan

Kasich: 33%
Trump: 31%
Cruz: 15%
Rubio: 11%
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Why
Unbiased
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« Reply #431 on: March 05, 2016, 06:46:50 PM »
Thank you
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Why
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« Reply #432 on: March 05, 2016, 06:47:35 PM »
Quote from: Donnie on March 05, 2016, 06:46:45 PM
Ben JacobsVerified account
‏@Bencjacobs
New ARG poll of Michigan

Kasich: 33%
Trump: 31%
Cruz: 15%
Rubio: 11%

Kasich has been over performing polling in states he does well?
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #433 on: March 05, 2016, 06:47:40 PM »
Because he's Pennywise (favorite son effect)
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #434 on: March 05, 2016, 06:48:28 PM »
It seems unlikely that Cruz will break 50% in Kansas. CD4 is his best district (58%), and it's entirely finished. He's at or below 50 everywhere else.
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Firestorm
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« Reply #435 on: March 05, 2016, 06:50:43 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 06:54:49 PM by Firestorm »
Quote from: Moderate Hero Republican on March 05, 2016, 06:20:59 PM
And its the job of sane politicians to stop them . Rubio and Kasich should stay in as long as possible to deny Trump and Cruz  getting over 50% of the delegates and then Rubio or Kasich win the nomination
The Establishment might be able to fuxxor Trump out of the convention with a minimum of rioting, if his replacement is Cruz and Trump promptly endorses Cruz. Taking Trump and Cruz both out in favor of two men who'll be lucky to score 25% of the popular vote? They would be signing their death warrants.
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Why
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« Reply #436 on: March 05, 2016, 06:51:02 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on March 05, 2016, 06:48:28 PM
It seems unlikely that Cruz will break 50% in Kansas. CD4 is his best district (58%), and it's entirely finished. He's at or below 50 everywhere else.

He is at 49.7% in CD3 which has by far the largest amount still to report. If he improves there slightly he will stay over 50%. It will be very close.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #437 on: March 05, 2016, 06:51:23 PM »
New DDHQ numbers

44% Cruz
34% Trump
12% Kasich
9% Rubio

32% In, only changes are Kasich is a point up and Rubio a point down.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #438 on: March 05, 2016, 06:52:24 PM »
Rubio's getting 4th in Maine, right? How the hell will he spin tonight?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #439 on: March 05, 2016, 06:52:38 PM »
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Beezer
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« Reply #440 on: March 05, 2016, 06:53:52 PM »
The night the Republican Party died...
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #441 on: March 05, 2016, 06:54:35 PM »
Rubio is apparently tightening the race in Florida, Kasich is apparently ahead in Michigan, Cruz is overperforming tonight. If this is all true, wth happened to Trump?
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #442 on: March 05, 2016, 06:55:15 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 06:54:35 PM
Rubio is apparently tightening the race in Florida, Kasich is apparently ahead in Michigan, Cruz is overperforming tonight. If this is all true, wth happened to Trump?
The only polls I've seen have Trump winning by double digits in both Michigan and Florida.
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RI
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« Reply #443 on: March 05, 2016, 06:55:23 PM »
Kasich's over 20% in Cumberland County
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The Free North
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« Reply #444 on: March 05, 2016, 06:55:26 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 06:54:35 PM
Rubio is apparently tightening the race in Florida, Kasich is apparently ahead in Michigan, Cruz is overperforming tonight. If this is all true, wth happened to Trump?

1) People realized he may actually win if they do nothing

2) His soft support decided he was a joke and not an acceptable option and scattered
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #445 on: March 05, 2016, 06:55:40 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 06:54:35 PM
Rubio is apparently tightening the race in Florida, Kasich is apparently ahead in Michigan, Cruz is overperforming tonight. If this is all true, wth happened to Trump?

The establishment...
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morgieb
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« Reply #446 on: March 05, 2016, 06:55:55 PM »
WTF is going on in Maine? Is this Cruz's Santorum moment?
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cinyc
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« Reply #447 on: March 05, 2016, 06:56:48 PM »

That's Portland.  Who is winning it?
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swf541
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« Reply #448 on: March 05, 2016, 06:57:02 PM »
Quote from: morgieb on March 05, 2016, 06:55:55 PM
WTF is going on in Maine? Is this Cruz's Santorum moment?

Seems so
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #449 on: March 05, 2016, 06:57:46 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 05, 2016, 06:55:15 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 06:54:35 PM
Rubio is apparently tightening the race in Florida, Kasich is apparently ahead in Michigan, Cruz is overperforming tonight. If this is all true, wth happened to Trump?
The only polls I've seen have Trump winning by double digits in both Michigan and Florida.

Kasich is at 33% to Trump 31% according to ARG lol
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