Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (user search)
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  Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52609 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« on: March 05, 2016, 03:16:23 PM »
Cruz leading by 15 in Kansas thus far.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 03:17:59 PM »

Percent.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 03:25:08 PM »
I'm not going to say Cruz is strong in Maine until actual results come in, but if he is, what would be the explanation? He was weak in MA, NH, VT, etc.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 03:48:12 PM »
Even though these are early, it looks like Cruz is on track to win Kansas.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 03:53:57 PM »
Quote from: MohamedChalid on March 05, 2016, 03:49:56 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 03:44:52 PM
Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

Especially with Caucuses. He lead in Iowa, he lead in Alaska, and he lead in Kansas.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2016, 04:02:00 PM »
11% in, Cruz leading 49-25!
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2016, 04:44:50 PM »
Trump would have to beat Cruz by more than 8% in the remaining vote to win Kansas.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2016, 04:55:40 PM »
Holy hell, Rubio should drop out if results stay the same.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2016, 04:59:29 PM »
Maine really is an oddball of American politics. It had two Republican senators not to long ago, has an independent Senator, a governor who regularly makes gaffes yet got re-elected easily, and its a state that regularly gives third parties plenty of the vote. This election will be no exception.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2016, 05:04:11 PM »
Quote from: Californian Tony Returns on March 05, 2016, 05:03:08 PM
Why doesn't CNN provide county results in Maine? Sad

Nobody does. Don't know why.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2016, 05:15:09 PM »
I'm shocked they haven't called Kansas for Cruz yet. This is a landslide.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2016, 07:26:55 PM »
Final Results in Kansas

Cruz: 35,207 (48.2%)
Trump: 17,062 (23.3%)
Rubio: 12,189 (16.7%)
Kasich: 7,795 (10.7%)
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2016, 07:28:33 PM »
Yeah, the perfect demographics for Trump lie right in eastern Kentucky. Its hard to see him not winning.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2016, 07:34:21 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 05, 2016, 07:28:55 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 05, 2016, 07:26:55 PM
Final Results in Kansas

Cruz: 35,207 (48.2%)
Trump: 17,062 (23.3%)
Rubio: 12,189 (16.7%)
Kasich: 7,795 (10.7%)

nah man 3% of precincts still out

Nope, according to NYT all precincts are reporting.

Quote from: Skill and Chance on March 05, 2016, 07:33:32 PM
If there is a Cruz regional base in KY to counter Trump in coal country, where would that be?

It would be suburban Cincinnati and the more exurban areas. Doesn't look like that's going to happen though.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2016, 08:26:35 PM »

That's one of the heavy R counties in the middle of a bunch of traditionally Democratic counties.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2016, 10:24:03 PM »
Trump lead collapses to 5 points. I'm sure news organizations are getting a little nervous about the call.

Quote from: dxu8888 on March 05, 2016, 10:23:42 PM
New Orleans, which largely favors Trump hasn't been counted yet.

No, that'll probably be Rubio's only county if he has one, but looking at the vote it looks like Cruz may split the anti-Trump vote just because Rubio is so weak. But it won't be one of Trump's best counties.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2016, 10:26:26 PM »
4 points now...
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2016, 11:00:24 PM »
Still plenty of votes in Caddo and East Baton Rouge for Cruz to make this a nail-biter in Louisiana.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2016, 11:04:43 PM »
Quote from: The Unbearable Invicibility of Hillary Clinton on March 05, 2016, 11:02:42 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 05, 2016, 11:00:24 PM
Still plenty of votes in Caddo and East Baton Rouge for Cruz to make this a nail-biter in Louisiana.

Depends if they're white or black precincts

In a Republican primary, almost all the voters are white, but Trump does perform better in blacker areas. Is that what you're referring to?
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #19 on: March 06, 2016, 12:20:32 AM »
Louisiana final results

Trump: 124,818 (41.4%)
Cruz: 113,949 (37.8%)
Rubio: 33,804 (11.2%)
Kasich: 19,355 (6.4%)
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #20 on: March 06, 2016, 12:41:10 AM »
Quote from: Badger on March 06, 2016, 12:30:30 AM
Quote from: cinyc on March 05, 2016, 02:11:26 PM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 05, 2016, 02:05:42 PM
Quote from: Donnie on March 05, 2016, 01:58:18 PM
Maine caucus so far (1 caucus site out of 22):
Cruz     49.8%
Trump  30.8%
Kasich  10.5%
Rubio     7.6%

What? The entire state has only 22 caucus sites?

Looks that way:
http://mainegop.com/caucus/

Most counties have only one caucus site, except for the most populous or largest geographically, which have up to 3.  And there are only 16 counties in Maine.

Incidentally, although the media narrative will never touch this depth of analysis, it's actually not surprising that Cruz won Maine. When most of a fairly large state has only ONE freaking polling place PER COUNTY, this is exactly the type of system that places an emphasis on the True Believers and not on more un-involved supporters like Trump's.

Same kind of thing with the Kentucky caucus, except counties in Kentucky are much smaller than counties in Maine.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #21 on: March 06, 2016, 02:22:36 AM »
The turnout game...

Kansas:

Republicans: 73,116 (65.2%)
Democrats: 39,043 (34.8%)

Louisiana:

Democrats: 311,613 (50.9%)
Republicans: 301,169 (49.1%)
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #22 on: March 06, 2016, 02:32:22 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on March 06, 2016, 02:31:24 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on March 06, 2016, 02:22:36 AM
The turnout game...

Kansas:

Republicans: 73,116 (65.2%)
Democrats: 39,043 (34.8%)

Louisiana:

Democrats: 311,613 (50.9%)
Republicans: 301,169 (49.1%)

LA = swing state?

Closed primary. Its actually pretty impressive for Republicans considering Democrats have a massive advantage with registration still to this day.
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