Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (user search)
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  Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52663 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« on: March 05, 2016, 11:53:06 AM »
A LOOOOOOT of people at that caucus site in Wichita on CNN, looks very CRUZ friendly
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 12:00:12 PM »
this mega caucus site looks like a Cruz rally....Yup....expect CRUZ to win Kansas.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 12:16:06 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on March 05, 2016, 12:13:04 PM
Kansas was won easily by Huckabee and Santorum. I don't see why Cruz winning there would be a huge surprise.

Mostly because Trump has been leading there.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 01:48:57 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on March 05, 2016, 01:46:00 PM
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/706185870194425857

Cruz won Waldo county in Maine per twitter.

Trump in 2nd followed by Kasich and then Boy Wonder.

Which matches DDHQ lol
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 02:07:11 PM »
Quote from: Pacific Councilor 1184AZ on March 05, 2016, 02:06:41 PM
How can their be results from Main if the Caucus does not start until 8 pm   

They start at different times. go back to 2012 for reference
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2016, 02:10:44 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on March 05, 2016, 02:08:51 PM
Cruz is surging past Trump in Maine betting markets.

Not that I'm not pleased with the possibility that Cruz will take down Trump in the state, but how and why did it happen?  I would think he's an anathema to Maine Republicans.

Ron Paul lost to Romney by very few votes, there is a libertarian streak in Maine.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2016, 02:28:00 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 02:30:44 PM by #TheShadowyAbyss »
This was 2012:

Romney 2,269 39%
Paul 2,030 35%
Santorum 989 18%
Gingrich 349 7%

If Cruz is winning Ron Paul supporters here, he should do well.



Gold counties are Paul
Orange is Romney
Green is Santorum
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2016, 02:42:53 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2016, 02:44:31 PM by #TheShadowyAbyss »
Now, I will be shocked if Cruz wins Maine, but I don't think he will. I do think it will be close though.

Also, remember Ron Paul won Kennebec county last time also..
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2016, 02:53:16 PM »
If Cruz wins Maine, it could mean multiple things:

1.)Trump still has terrible ground game (which means possible losses in Kansas as well)
2.)His support is beginning to grow and he can compete practically anywhere
3.)Trump is beginning to wane.
4.)Or it's a quirk
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2016, 03:02:00 PM »
Quote from: əɹɐɯʇɥᵷᴉu uəəɹᵷɹəʌə on March 05, 2016, 03:01:03 PM
i'm not at all surprised, it's not that far of a leap from sociopath paul lepage to actual zodiac killer ted cruz.

In all fairness LePage won with a split moderate/liberal vote
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2016, 03:06:09 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on March 05, 2016, 03:02:45 PM
Reports on twitter are saying that Cruz beat Trump in Portland and Kennebec, as well.



Kennebec went for Paul in 2012, it shouldn't be a surprise Cruz is winning there now. Portland? Holy Crap.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2016, 03:13:00 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on March 05, 2016, 03:11:58 PM
The twitter reports are indicating such a thorough upset that they're getting hard to believe.

The counties these are coming from were Ron Paul counties last time so...not unexpected.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
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Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2016, 03:44:52 PM »
Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2016, 03:58:01 PM »
Quote from: GeologistSaidYes on March 05, 2016, 03:56:09 PM
Remember Kentucky is Rand Paul territory and a lot of Rand's supporters in Kentucky like Cruz a lot. Trump doesn't have a lock on the state.

All indications are that Trump is doing well, sample precincts that news crews are at and from twitter suggest TRUMP is dominating
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2016, 04:09:21 PM »
Quote from: Bigly Trump on March 05, 2016, 04:08:39 PM
Any reason why Kansas hasn't been called, yet?  Are there caucuses still going on?

There are MASSIVE lines in Wichita that have not yet even begun to caucus yet
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2016, 04:12:04 PM »
Counting starting in Maine.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2016, 04:14:52 PM »
Quote from: Bigly Trump on March 05, 2016, 04:13:32 PM
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on March 05, 2016, 04:09:21 PM
Quote from: Bigly Trump on March 05, 2016, 04:08:39 PM
Any reason why Kansas hasn't been called, yet?  Are there caucuses still going on?

There are MASSIVE lines in Wichita that have not yet even begun to caucus yet

Oh ok, I figured that had to be the reason.  All these scattered times for all the states have me quite confused...  Thanks!

There are just way too many people wanting to caucus so the lines are ridiculously large.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2016, 04:28:58 PM »
Quote from: yankeesfan on March 05, 2016, 04:27:26 PM
CNN said on air that Cruz won in Lewiston, Maine (Androscoggin County)

Did they give number
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2016, 04:31:08 PM »
#CRUZSLIDESATURDAY
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #19 on: March 05, 2016, 04:36:42 PM »
Hypothetical here how will it look in the media if Cruz sweeps all four states tonight
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #20 on: March 05, 2016, 04:41:44 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 05, 2016, 04:40:43 PM
Quote from: Restricted
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Which means he most likely won the state
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #21 on: March 05, 2016, 04:47:49 PM »
This night is turning into lolpalooza
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #22 on: March 05, 2016, 04:52:52 PM »
Predictions

Who wins each state tonight?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #23 on: March 05, 2016, 05:36:34 PM »
cnn calling Kansas for cruz
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
« Reply #24 on: March 05, 2016, 05:41:51 PM »
Hopefully this means the #NeverTrump movement is taking hold.
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