Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (user search)
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  Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)  (Read 52753 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: March 05, 2016, 01:30:54 PM »

DDHQ has Cruz up early in Maine
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2016, 02:06:34 PM »

Maine caucus so far (1 caucus site out of 22):
Cruz     49.8%
Trump  30.8%
Kasich  10.5%
Rubio     7.6%

What? The entire state has only 22 caucus sites?

Yep. See here.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2016, 02:22:35 PM »

Someone on Twitter said Cruz won Kennebec County 2-1 over Trump
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2016, 03:02:03 PM »

Kasich gunning for a third place victory!
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2016, 03:05:38 PM »

Does anyone know where county data for Kansas will be?

If it exists, it'll probably be on the KS GOP website.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #5 on: March 05, 2016, 03:24:12 PM »

Cruz could actually end up winning two or three states today...

Wow.

What's the third state?

KS, ME, and KY, presumably.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #6 on: March 05, 2016, 03:25:49 PM »

I'm not going to say Cruz is strong in Maine until actual results come in, but if he is, what would be the explanation? He was weak in MA, NH, VT, etc.

Caucus + past Paul strength
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #7 on: March 05, 2016, 03:27:29 PM »


I would be personally quite surprised if Trump lost Kentucky, but I'm assuming that's what dar was referring to.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2016, 03:29:22 PM »

Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #9 on: March 05, 2016, 03:36:08 PM »


Black Belt + Cajun Country in Louisiana while Trump's weak in upper New England (maxes out at ~35% there). LA has consistently been one of Trump's strongest states on iSideWith and Facebook.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #10 on: March 05, 2016, 03:39:20 PM »

Cruz now at 53% in KS
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #11 on: March 05, 2016, 03:43:30 PM »

Honestly, Maine was always seen as the safest trump state tonight,

Uh... LA should be way safer for Trump than ME.

How so? I'm legitimately curious. LA borders states where trump lost and where he got <35% of the vote, and there is a single anti-trump candidate there. By contrast, ME borders much stronger trump-performing areas and there didn't seem to be a clear anti-trump candidate there until the votes started coming in (most were predicting Kasich in second). I understand that ME is a caucus and LA is a primary, but...


Black Belt + Cajun Country in Louisiana while Trump's weak in upper New England (maxes out at ~35% there). LA has consistently been one of Trump's strongest states on iSideWith and Facebook.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #12 on: March 05, 2016, 03:48:07 PM »


Very possible we never get county results for some of these caucus states.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2016, 04:25:36 PM »

CNN says Cruz doing well in Bowling Green, KY.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #14 on: March 05, 2016, 04:40:43 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #15 on: March 05, 2016, 05:42:31 PM »

Hopefully this means the #NeverTrump movement is taking hold.

Too bad Cruz is far worse than Trump.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #16 on: March 05, 2016, 05:49:04 PM »

Kasich came in second in Riley County, KS; Trump fourth.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #17 on: March 05, 2016, 05:50:51 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #18 on: March 05, 2016, 05:58:32 PM »

Trump won Aroostook County, ME
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #19 on: March 05, 2016, 06:03:28 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #20 on: March 05, 2016, 06:04:32 PM »

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #21 on: March 05, 2016, 06:12:28 PM »

Cruz got over 60% in Sedgwick County, KS
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #22 on: March 05, 2016, 06:31:44 PM »

Maine: Precincts Reporting 27.3%

Cruz     46.9%
Trump  34.6%

Fox News says a candidate gets all the state's delegates if they win a majority of the vote.

The numbers I'm seeing suggest it's unlikely Cruz gets a majority in Maine.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #23 on: March 05, 2016, 06:37:05 PM »

Any idea when we are supposed to start getting official Kentucky results?

Top of the hour, hopefully.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,782


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #24 on: March 05, 2016, 06:43:12 PM »

Trump won Knox County, ME
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