How many states does Trump win on March 15?

[Erc]

The states up for grabs are Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina.  (For the purposes of this poll, we're excluding the Northern Marianas).

[Figueira]

I'll say he wins everything except Ohio. I might be wrong.

[Gass3268]

Going to wait until after this Tuesday before voting. Important to note that as of now Cruz/Rubio have only won in caucus states and closed primary states. Let's look how that applies for the Ides of March States:

Florida (Closed / Primary)
Illinois (Open / Primary)
Missouri (Open / Primary)
North Carolina (Modified Open (Republicans & Independents) / Primary)
Ohio (Modified Open (Republicans & Independents) / Primary)

Other than Florida being closed, most of the nuts and bolts of these states are good for Trump. Independents are able to vote for him in all but the Sunshine State and Conservadems will be able to vote for him in Illinois and Missouri. I imagine this would be a big boost for Trump over Cruz in Missouri especially. Due to these components, geography, and the mood of the race right now, I am going with Trump winning 3 states. Here is the order of likelihood:

North Carolina
Florida
Illinois
-----------
Missouri
Ohio

It's possible that he could win all of them if this Tuesday goes well and he doesn't have another shaky week and it's also possible he could lose all but North Carolina (I think that's a pretty good lock for him right now based on the map).

[James Bond 007]

I said 4.  There's going to be one he doesn't win.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I've no idea right now, let's see how Tuesday goes.

[MK]

Win all but Ohio and NC.    The early locked in vote in FL will prob save him .

Trump keeps under proforming his poll numbers so you cant trust a Trump 20 pt lead anymore.  The formula for Trump is  up by 20 - win by 2 or 3% ( or loss if its a mid west caucus)

[sportydude]

Win all but Ohio and NC.    The early locked in vote in FL will prob save him .

Trump keeps under proforming his poll numbers so you cant trust a Trump 20 pt lead anymore.  The formula for Trump is  up by 20 - win by 2 or 3% ( or loss if its a mid west caucus)

North Carolina is his safest state of all five.

[MK]

Win all but Ohio and NC.    The early locked in vote in FL will prob save him .

Trump keeps under proforming his poll numbers so you cant trust a Trump 20 pt lead anymore.  The formula for Trump is  up by 20 - win by 2 or 3% ( or loss if its a mid west caucus)

North Carolina is his safest state of all five.

I have Cruz winning it by a thin margin.

[sportydude]

Win all but Ohio and NC.    The early locked in vote in FL will prob save him .

Trump keeps under proforming his poll numbers so you cant trust a Trump 20 pt lead anymore.  The formula for Trump is  up by 20 - win by 2 or 3% ( or loss if its a mid west caucus)

North Carolina is his safest state of all five.

I have Cruz winning it by a thin margin.

Why?

[President Johnson]

All except Misouri, where Rafael wins.

[Mehmentum]

3- he wins FL, NC, and IL.  Kasich wins Ohio, and Cruz wins Missouri.

[Helsinkian]

North Carolina: likely Trump
Illinois: likely Trump
Missouri: likely Cruz
Ohio: lean Kasich
Florida: tossup Trump/Rubio

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Illinois is TRUMP's only safe State. Rubio has a chance in Florida, Kasich in Ohio, and Cruz in North Carolina and Missouri. However, save for Missouri, TRUMP is the favorite and he could take all five. I expect him to take four of the five, but I wouldn't be surprised by anything except a shutout. If he gets all five he's the nominee, if he gets only one his momentum will be ruined to the point Cruz may show up in Cleveland with the most delegates.

[Young Conservative]

Cruz will win Missouri and North Carolina. Ohio is a swing and is a three way race between Katich, Trump, and Cruz. Illinois and Florida lean Trump sadly.

[Xing]

I think he easily wins IL, NC, and FL. OH and MO will be tighter, Kasich might win OH, while Cruz wins MO.

[IceSpear]

3. Kasich takes OH and Cruz takes MO.

[Gass3268]

3. Kasich takes OH and Cruz takes MO.

I agree with this, MO will be close for Trump however. Would love to see some polling first.

[tinman64]

I'll say FL, IL, NC. Kasich in OH, Cruz in MO.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Cruz will win Missouri and North Carolina. Ohio is a swing and is a three way race between Katich, Trump, and Cruz. Illinois and Florida lean Trump sadly.

This

[Gass3268]

North Carolina is going to go for Trump by at least 10%.

[Mr. Smith]

3 for sure, MO goes Cruz, and not sure about Ohio, but lean Trump anyway.

[Boston Bread]

4, losing OH.

[Thomas D]

Illinois
North Carolina
Florida

[JMT]

Kasich wins Ohio, with Trump winning the other 4 states.

[Ronnie]

I'll say FL, IL, NC. Kasich in OH, Cruz in MO.

My thoughts as well.  I'd like to see more polling out of MO and NC, though.  Cruz might just eke out a victory in NC if Rubio drops out before the 15th.