Atlas Predicts - March 8 and March 12 Primary Contests

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I do apologize about having not been able to calculate the results for some of the previous contests yet; I have been very sick recently but I hope to release everything in a few days max.

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[mencken]

Michigan - Clinton 56, Sanders 44
Mississippi - Clinton 82, Sanders 17
NMI - Clinton 69, Sanders 31

Hawaii - Trump 25, Cruz 39, Rubio 25, Kasich 11
Idaho - Trump 27, Cruz 40, Rubio 19, Kasich 13
Michigan - Trump 32, Cruz 24, Rubio 12, Kasich 33
Mississippi - Trump 43, Cruz 39, Rubio 12, Kasich 6
Guam - Trump 25, Cruz 35, Rubio 20, Kasich 20
DC - Trump 15, Cruz 25, Rubio 30, Kasich 30

[PeteB]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 60, Sanders 40
Mississippi - Clinton75, Sanders 25
NMI - Clinton 65, Sanders 35


Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 25, Cruz 30, Rubio 30, Kasich 15
Idaho - Trump 25, Cruz 35, Rubio 25, Kasich 10
Michigan - Trump 40, Cruz 15, Rubio 10, Kasich 35
Mississippi - Trump 45, Cruz 40, Rubio 7, Kasich 8
Guam - Trump 25, Cruz 25, Rubio 25, Kasich 15
DC - Trump 25, Cruz 15, Rubio 30, Kasich 30

[Xing]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 57, Sanders 43
Mississippi - Clinton 80, Sanders 17
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 74, Sanders 26

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 22, Cruz 35, Rubio 31, Kasich 11
Idaho - Trump 28, Cruz 46, Rubio 14, Kasich 9
Michigan - Trump 37, Cruz 33, Rubio 11, Kasich 18
Mississippi - Trump 41, Cruz 35, Rubio 15, Kasich 7
Guam - Trump 24, Cruz 21, Rubio 39, Kasich 13
Washington D.C. - Trump 25, Cruz 18, Rubio 28, Kasich 27

[Maxwell]

Democrats:

Michigan - 56% Clinton, 42% Sanders
Mississippi - 76% Clinton, 19% Sanders
Northern Mariana Island - 70% Clinton, 28% Sanders (lol guesses)

Republicans:

Hawaii - 34% Cruz, 31% Rubio, 23% TRUMP, 10% Kasich
Idaho - 45% Cruz, 36% TRUMP, 12% Rubio, 5% Kasich
Michigan - 32% Kasich, 30% TRUMP, 27% Cruz, 9% Rubio
Mississippi - 47% TRUMP, 32% Cruz, 12% Rubio, 7% Kasich
Guam - 40% Rubio, 32% TRUMP, 18% Cruz, 6% Kasich
D.C. - 56% Rubio, 28% Kasich, 8% Cruz, 6% TRUMP

D.C. is probably the only place TRUMP gets dead last. Except perhaps Utah whenever that state comes up.

MONMOTH SHOCK POLL FORCING ME TO CHANGE MY MICHIGAN PROJECTION

[tinman64]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 57 ; Sanders 42 ; Other 1
Mississippi - Clinton 79 ; Sanders 21 ; Other
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 65; Sanders 34 ; Other

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 28 ; Cruz 35; Rubio 22; Kasich 11; Other 4
Idaho - Trump 28; Cruz 45; Rubio 14; Kasich 9; Other 4
Michigan - Trump 36; Cruz 22; Rubio 10; Kasich 32; Other
Mississippi - Trump 44; Cruz 40; Rubio 11; Kasich 5; Other
Guam - Trump 20; Cruz 25; Rubio 35; Kasich 19; Other 1
Washington D.C. - Trump 15; Cruz 21; Rubio 34; Kasich 30; Other

[Holmes]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 60% / Sanders 39%
Mississippi - Clinton 78% / Sanders 18%
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 61% / Sanders 36%

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 17% / Cruz 31% / Rubio 42% / Kasich 8%
Idaho - Trump 32% / Cruz 39% / Rubio 16% / Kasich 12%
Michigan - Trump 39% / Cruz 22% / Rubio 11% / Kasich 27%
Mississippi - Trump 42% / Cruz 35% / Rubio 12% / Kasich 9%
Guam - Trump 29% / Cruz 36% / Rubio 22% / Kasich 12%
Washington D.C. - Trump 16% / Cruz 18% / Rubio 40% / Kasich 26%

[DanPrazeres]

Democrats:

Michigan - 52 Clinton ; 48 Sanders ; Other
Mississippi - 73 Clinton ; 27 Sanders ; Other
Northern Mariana Islands - 65 Clinton ; 35 Sanders ; Other

Republicans:

Hawaii - 25 Trump ; 37 Cruz ; 28 Rubio ; 10 Kasich ; Other
Idaho - 33 Trump ; 39 Cruz ; 24 Rubio ; 4 Kasich ; Other
Michigan - 37 Trump ; 25 Cruz ; 13 Rubio ; 25 Kasich ; Other
Mississippi - 47 Trump ; 39 Cruz ; 9 Rubio ; 5 Kasich ; Other
Guam - 50 Trump ; 29 Cruz ; 18 Rubio ; 3 Kasich ; Other
Washington D.C. - 22 Trump ; 23 Cruz ; 25 Rubio ; 30 Kasich ; Other

[cinyc]

You're missing the USVI Republican caucuses on the 10th.  I guess that's okay, since they are directly electing delegates and there is no preference poll.  But you are including Guam (R), and I don't think there's a preference poll there, either.

[elcorazon]

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[ElectionsGuy]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 56%; Sanders 42%; Other 2%
Mississippi - Clinton 81%; Sanders 17%; Other 2%
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 66%; Sanders 30%; Other 4% (have no clue here)

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 25%; Cruz 28%; Rubio 32%; Kasich 14%; Other 1%
Idaho - Trump 31%; Cruz 46%; Rubio 12%; Kasich 10%; Other 1%
Michigan - Trump 34%; Cruz 26%; Rubio 18%; Kasich 21%; Other 1%
Mississippi - Trump 45%; Cruz 33%; Rubio 14%; Kasich 7%; Other 1%
Guam - Trump 33%; Cruz 40%; Rubio 24%; Kasich 2%; Other 1% (again, have no clue)
Washington D.C. - Trump 7%; Cruz 11%; Rubio 55%; Kasich 28%; Other 2%

I just have a bad feeling that these predictions are going to suck.

[SunSt0rm]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 55%; Sanders 44%; Other 1%
Mississippi - Clinton 79%; Sanders 18%; Other 3%
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 65%; Sanders 32%; Other 3%

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 22%; Cruz 27%; Rubio 36%; Kasich 11%; Other 2%
Idaho - Trump 32%; Cruz 49%; Rubio 11%; Kasich 8%; Other 1%
Michigan -Trump 33%; Cruz 25%; Rubio 13%; Kasich 29%; Other 1%
Mississippi - Trump 45%; Cruz 37%; Rubio 11%; Kasich 6%; Other 1%
Guam - Trump 21%; Cruz 28%; Rubio 46%; Kasich 3%; Other 2%
Washington D.C. - Trump 23%; Cruz 11%; Rubio 34%; Kasich 31%; Other 1%

[Senator-elect Spark]

Democrats:

Michigan - 56% Clinton ; 44% Sanders ; Other
Mississippi - 78% Clinton ; 21% Sanders ; Other

Northern Mariana Islands - 68% Clinton ; 32% Sanders ; Other

Republicans:

Hawaii - 17% Trump ; 23% Cruz ; 57% Rubio ; 3% Kasich ; Other
Idaho - 26% Trump ; 53% Cruz ; 14% Rubio ; 7% Kasich ; Other
Michigan - 34% Trump ; 18% Cruz ; 11% Rubio ; 31% Kasich ; Other
Mississippi - 42% Trump ; 33% Cruz ; 18% Rubio ; 7% Kasich ; Other

Guam - 27% Trump ; 16% Cruz ; 43% Rubio ; 14% Kasich ; Other
Washington D.C. - 9% Trump ; 20% Cruz ; 46% Rubio ; 24% Kasich ; Other

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Michigan - Clinton 58%; Sanders 41% ; Other 1%
Mississippi - Clinton 75%; Sanders 24%; Other 1%
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 72% ; Sanders 27.5%; Other 0.5%



Hawaii

Cruz 22%
trump 29%
rubio 39.5%
kasich 9.5%

Idaho
Cruz 45%
Trump 38%
Rubio 11%
Kasich 6%

mississippi
trump 46%
cruz 37%
rubio 11%
kasich 6%

Michigan
trump 34.5%
kasich 28%
cruz 27.5%
rubio 10%

Guam - Trump 20%; Cruz 15%; Rubio 55% ; Kasich 9%; Other 1%
Washington D.C. - Trump 23% ; Cruz 14%; Rubio 58% ; Kasich 4.5% ; Other 0.5%

[Ronnie]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 55, Sanders 44
Mississippi - Clinton 75, Sanders 24
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 69, Sanders 30

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 22, Cruz 27, Rubio 40, Kasich 10
Idaho - Trump 28, Cruz 46, Rubio 17, Kasich 8
Michigan - Trump 32, Cruz 22, Rubio 13, Kasich 31
Mississippi - Trump 46, Cruz 32, Rubio 12, Kasich 9
Guam - Trump 26, Cruz 23, Rubio 46, Kasich 4
Washington D.C. - Trump 16, Cruz 9, Rubio 50, Kasich 24

[Oak Hills]

Democrats:
Michigan: Clinton 61%; Sanders 38%; Other 1%
Mississippi: Clinton 79%; Sanders 20%; Other 1%
Northern Mariana Islands: Clinton 78%; Sanders 20%; Other 2%

Republicans:
Hawaii: Trump 31%; Cruz 27%; Rubio 27%; Kasich 14%; Other 1%
Idaho: Trump 33%; Cruz 40%; Rubio 20%; Kasich 6%; Other 1%
Michigan: Trump 39%; Cruz 20%; Rubio 14%; Kasich 26%; Other 1%
Mississippi: Trump 43%; Cruz 30%; Rubio 16%; Kasich 8%; Other 3%
Guam: Trump 30%; Cruz 20%; Rubio 40%; Kasich 10%; Other 0%
Washington D.C. Trump 12%; Cruz 10%; Rubio 45%; Kasich 31%; Other 2%

Winners bolded.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Democrats:
Michigan: Clinton 55%; Sanders 44%; Other 1%
Mississippi: Clinton 78%; Sanders 21%; Other 1%
Northern Marianas Islands: Clinton 72%; Sanders 25%; Other 3%

Republicans:
Hawaii: Rubio 34%; Cruz 30%; Trump 24%; Kasich 12%; Other 0%
Idaho: Cruz 52%; Trump 26%; Rubio 14%; Kasich 7%; Other 1%
Michigan: Trump 34%; Kasich 31%; Cruz 24%; Rubio 11%; Other 0%
Mississippi: Trump 46%; Cruz 30%; Rubio 15%; Kasich 7%; Other 2%
Guam: Rubio 40%; Trump 25%; Cruz 22%; Kasich 10%; Other 3%
Washington D.C.: Rubio 47%; Trump 22%; Kasich 21%; Cruz 9%; Other 1%

[The Other Castro]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 56%; Sanders 43%
Mississippi - Clinton 80%; Sanders 18%
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 70%; Sanders 28%

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 20%; Cruz 25%; Rubio 40%; Kasich 14%
Idaho - Trump 29%; Cruz 50%; Rubio 11%; Kasich 9%
Michigan - Trump 30%; Cruz 26%; Rubio 12%; Kasich 31%
Mississippi - Trump 42%; Cruz 39%; Rubio 10%; Kasich 7%
Guam - Trump 20%; Cruz 22%; Rubio 53%; Kasich 3%
Washington D.C. - Trump 24%; Cruz 11%; Rubio 35%; Kasich 29%

[Helsinkian]

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 53; Sanders 45; Other 2
Mississippi - Clinton 74; Sanders 24; Other 2
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 72; Sanders 27; Other 1

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 24; Cruz 21; Rubio 36; Kasich 18; Other 1
Idaho - Trump 39; Cruz 47; Rubio 6; Kasich 7; Other 1
Michigan - Trump 36; Cruz 22; Rubio 7; Kasich 34; Other 1
Mississippi - Trump 45; Cruz 41; Rubio 8; Kasich 5; Other 1
Guam - Trump 14; Cruz 20; Rubio 50; Kasich 15; Other 1
Washington D.C. - Trump 12; Cruz 10; Rubio 44; Kasich 32; Other 2

[P123]

Is DC a caucus or a primary? if its a caucus im inclined to go with Cruz. If not, then Rubio.

Michigan Trump wins, Kasich comes within 5-10 points as does Cruz.

Mississippi a 5-10point win for Trump.

Cruz will win my state, caucus and he has the only Republican senators support. Hawaii GOP is so small even the Conservatives have switched to Democrat look at Mike Gabbard.

Idaho Cruz takes it.

Guam, Cruz again he has the governor behind him.

DEMS Clinton obviously Mississippi, could be as high as 87-13. Mississippi Dems are 70-80% Black. Michigan Clinton aswell.

NM Islands is the Utah of the territories, so theirs like what 10 Democrats? Clinton should win 7 of those 10.

SO

Guam=Cruz
Mississippi=Trump
Michigan=Trump
Hawaii=Cruz
DC=Rubio (watch for Cruz or Kasich, if its a caucus then Cruz)
Idaho=Cruz

Clinton wins next three DEM contests

[Tender Branson]

MI: 57-42 Clinton/Sanders, 35-28-20-16-1 Trump/Kasich/Cruz/Rubio/Others

MS: 79-20 Clinton/Sanders, 36-32-21-10-1 Trump/Cruz/Rubio/Kasich/Others

ID: 36% Cruz, 25% Trump, 20% Rubio, 18% Kasich, 1% Others

HI: 38% Rubio, 25% Kasich, 20% Trump, 16% Cruz, 1% others

[RBH]

Kinda playing hunches for this stuff..

Democrats:

Michigan - Clinton 58; Sanders 41; Other 1
Mississippi - Clinton 80; Sanders 18; Other 2
Northern Mariana Islands - Clinton 65; Sanders 34; Other 1

Republicans:

Hawaii - Trump 21; Cruz 35; Rubio 34; Kasich 10;
Idaho - Trump 34; Cruz 38; Rubio 19; Kasich 9;
Michigan - Trump 37; Cruz 20; Rubio 13; Kasich 29; Other 1
Mississippi - Trump 40; Cruz 35; Rubio 15; Kasich 9; Other 1
Guam - Trump 25; Cruz 22; Rubio 53; Kasich 10;
Washington D.C. - Trump 22; Cruz 13; Rubio 44; Kasich 21;

[Talleyrand]

Michigan - Clinton 57, Sanders 41
Mississippi - Clinton 80, Sanders 19
NMI - Clinton 69, Sanders 31

Hawaii - Trump 25, Cruz 36, Rubio 26, Kasich 13
Idaho - Trump 26, Cruz 41, Rubio 19, Kasich 13
Michigan - Trump 30, Cruz 24, Rubio 11, Kasich 34
Mississippi - Trump 38, Cruz 44, Rubio 10, Kasich 8
Guam - Trump 16, Cruz 26, Rubio 44, Kasich 14
DC - Trump 12, Cruz 25, Rubio 38, Kasich 25

[Landslide Lyndon]

Guys, the DC Republicans are going to pick their delegates in a convention.
So, I doubt that there will be much love for TRUMP among them. He will probably be completely shut out.

[Senator Cris]

Democrats:

Michigan: Clinton 57%, Sanders 42%
Mississippi: Clinton 78%, Sanders 20%
NMI: Clinton 72%, Sanders 26%

Republicans:

Michigan: Trump 35%, Kasich 28%, Cruz 26%, Rubio 9%
Mississippi: Trump 43%, Cruz 37%, Rubio 11%, Kasich 8%
Idaho: Cruz 42%, Trump 26%, Rubio 23%, Kasich 8%
Hawaii: Rubio 36%, Cruz 34%, Trump 23%, Kasich 6%
Guam: Rubio 44%, Cruz 31%, Trump 18%, Kasich 6%
DC: Rubio 39%, Kasich 28%, Cruz 17%, Trump 15%