IL: Chicago Tribune -- Clinton +42!, Trump +10
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  IL: Chicago Tribune -- Clinton +42!, Trump +10
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Author Topic: IL: Chicago Tribune -- Clinton +42!, Trump +10  (Read 3659 times)
RBH
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« Reply #25 on: March 08, 2016, 02:51:06 AM »

Having checked some previous numbers, around 53-57% of the votes are coming out of Cook County.

Looking at Cook, back in 08.. 59% of votes from Chicago and 41% from non-Chicago parts of Cook County.

Obama won Chicago by a 73-25 margin in that election, winning 36 wards. He carried 13 wards with over 90% of the vote. IIRC, most of the wards Hillary won over Obama were majority Hispanic.

I have a reasonable hunch that Sanders is just going to get crushed in parts of Chicago. I don't think that Sanders campaign is able or prepared to compete against 'organizations' in Chicago.

I don't know how the math adds up if Hillary rolls in Chicago/Cook, but it just seems like a bad fit for Bernie's campaign organization to really bring in support.
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A Perez
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« Reply #26 on: March 08, 2016, 06:44:07 AM »

Florida is not her state and she's kicking ass.
Rubio is from Florida is losing.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #27 on: March 08, 2016, 06:56:15 AM »

Does this really count as a home state for Hillary? Like, do any Illinois people consider her to be an Illinoisan?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #28 on: March 08, 2016, 06:56:30 AM »

Bernie Sanders has been running a negative campaign, explicitly and implicitly trashing our beloved President all the way. Why is it surprising that President Obama's homestate would reject him so overwhelmingly?
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Seriously?
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« Reply #29 on: March 08, 2016, 09:41:55 AM »

My home state! Write-up isn't posted yet, but saw the front page on twitter.

3/2-3/6

Clinton: 67%
Sanders: 25%

Trump: 32%
Cruz: 22%
Rubio: 21%
Kasich: 18% (or 19% can't read on the zoom in)

Link:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CdAAHUcUIAAXF7k.jpg
Here are the actual articles.

Democrats: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-illinois-2016-democrat-president-primary-clinton-sanders-met-0308-20160308-story.html
Republicans: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-illinois-2016-republican-president-primary-trump-cruz-rubio-kasich-met-0308-20160307-story.html

It was 18% for Kasich.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #30 on: March 08, 2016, 09:54:20 AM »

This sums up my thoughts on this poll:
The Chicago Tribune should probably stop polling. First they had that stinker showing Quinn up 11, then they said Rahm was gonna win by 28...
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ill ind
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« Reply #31 on: March 08, 2016, 12:44:15 PM »

  I'm not totally surprised by the margin.  In a Democratic Primary in Illinois, you can figure about 67% of the vote will come from Cook County.  Cook County is not tailored to be a strong area for Sanders.  He will probably lose 90-10 in a lot of the Chicago Wards  Also, the Dems strongholds downstate tend to be more blue collar working class (e.g. manufacturing and mining areas) and I don't see them turning out for Sanders either.
  I'd venture to guess that Sanders strongest areas will be the better educated and higher income suburbs, but that will be nowhere enough to offset Chicago and downstate.

Ill_Ind
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