Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[Mr. Morden]

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in a given state.

Overview of all results: http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president

Mississippi: polls close at 8pm ET
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/mississippi

Michigan: polls close at 8pm ET in most of the state, but at 9pm ET in some of it
CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/michigan

[Tender Branson]

Turnout is projected to be between 1.5-2 million voters in MI.

And 400-500K in MS.

For both states, that would mean ca. 20-25% of their RV turning out.

[7,052,770]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

[RJEvans]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

I wonder if he will reach viability statewide?

[Shadows]

MS will be hard, let's see! Should be as bad as LS or maybe worse

[Landslide Lyndon]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

Being expected to at least hit 40% according to most polling is an interesting defintion of "barely going to get any votes".

Sanders is going to hit 40% at Mississippi?
Are you drunk, stoned or both?

[DrScholl]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

Being expected to at least hit 40% according to most polling is an interesting defintion of "barely going to get any votes".

Sanders is going to hit 40% at Mississippi?
Are you drunk, stoned or both?

Desperation often looks like inebriation.

[Wiz in Wis]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

Being expected to at least hit 40% according to most polling is an interesting defintion of "barely going to get any votes".

Mississippi!=Michigan. Read slower.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Sanders will be lucky to crack 20% in MS

[Holmes]

40% in Mississippi?? Jesus lol.

[Ebsy]

Sanders might be at serious risk of not making viability in Mississippi, at least in one or more of the Congressional Districts.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I assume we won't get any early results or exit poll from MI until polls close everywhere?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

Being expected to at least hit 40% according to most polling is an interesting defintion of "barely going to get any votes".

Sanders is going to hit 40% at Mississippi?
Are you drunk, stoned or both?

Read it as Michigan. Post deleted.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I assume we won't get any early results or exit poll from MI until polls close everywhere?

We'll get exit poll data before then, just not the horserace question. As for the actual vote, a good 10% of the vote came in between 8 and 9 pm in 2014.

[gespb19]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

? As far as I know the four research universities are still in school. I know USM is, at least.

[Ebsy]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

? As far as I know the four research universities are still in school. I know USM is, at least.

Let me check:

1. Mississippi State University: Not on Spring Break
2. University of Mississippi: Not on Spring Break
3. University of Southern Mississippi: Not on Spring Break
4. Jackson State University: Not on Spring Break

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Both states = Hillary country

[RJEvans]

Both states = Hillary country

The question is the margin.

1) Does Sanders reach viability for at-large delegates in MS?
2) How big is Clinton's win in MI?

Looking at 538 and the primaries they have predicted thus far on the Democratic side, on average, they have been off by about 3-4 points. This makes MI a 15-25 point race for Clinton. But, both sides seem to agree it is much closer.

[The Free North]

MI has about the same AA share of dem voters as the national average so its a good test to see where the candidates are overall.

[Eraserhead]

MI has about the same AA share of dem voters as the national average so its a good test to see where the candidates are overall.

Really? Figured it was a bit higher.

[Smash255]

MI has about the same AA share of dem voters as the national average so its a good test to see where the candidates are overall.

Really? Figured it was a bit higher.

Seems to be pretty on point.  Michigan as a whole is slightly more African American than the nation (14.2%-12.6%) and white voters are somewhat more Democratic in Michigan than the nation as a whole, but not at the levels of the NE or PNW

[justfollowingtheelections]

I have a feeling Bernie will win Michigan.  Lets hope I'm right!

[Wells]

I have a feeling Bernie will win Michigan.  Lets hope I'm right!

He probably won't.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

A lot of people according to Jean Cesarez (sp?) said a lot of Bernie in the air in Warren, MI

[IceSpear]

I have a feeling Bernie will win Michigan.  Lets hope I'm right!

Well, who can argue with that?