Predict the outcomes of the following states in a Trump-Cruz race

[Ronnie]

California, Washington, Oregon, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania

EDIT: Whoops, and Indiana.  Can't believe I forgot about that one.

Go!

[yankeesfan]

Cruz: California, Washington, Oregon, Wisconsin

Trump: Pennsylvania

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

Safe Trump: California, Pennsylvania
Lean Trump: Oregon, Washington
Tilt Cruz: Wisconsin

[Ronnie]

What makes you think California is safe for Trump?  I imagine Cruz's hard line conservativism appeals more to the rank-and-file than Trump's blue collar populism, particularly in the reddest areas of the state, like Fresno and OC.

[yankeesfan]

This is a poll from January.  Cruz will win California.

[Sbane]

Yeah, Cruz should win California. The only area where I see him doing pretty well is the Inland Empire. The Central Valley I am not as sure about and if Trump does well there he may have a chance.

[Xing]

Safe Cruz: Washington, Oregon, Wisconsin
Safe Trump: Pennsylvania
Toss-up: California

[libertpaulian]

Safe Trump: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
Tossup: California
Lean Cruz: Oregon, Washington
Safe Cruz: Indiana

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

This is a poll from January.  Cruz will win California.

LMAO!! I was seriously waiting for someone to use that term "Cruz Control"

[Mr. Morden]

A straight up Cruz vs. Trump race with no other candidates?  The recent NBC/WSJ and ABC/WaPo national polls tested that scenario, and they both have Cruz leading by double digits nationally.  Likewise the Michigan exit poll yesterday said Cruz would win if Kasich and Rubio weren't running.  The only reason why Trump is winning right now is because Kasich and Rubio are still in the race.

So in a one-on-one Cruz vs. Trump race, I'd actually say that Cruz would be favored to win all the states in the OP, even Pennsylvania.  The only states left where I'd have Trump as a favorite would be the non-PA northeastern states, like NY, NJ, CT, RI.

[Ronnie]

Those are my thoughts as well, Morden, which makes me wonder why some believe that Trump might get a majority of delegates.  Assuming Rubio and Kasich drop out in the following weeks, Trump seems doomed to a contested convention, at best.  His only hope is that Kasich stays in until the convention, and he might be at a disadvantage even then.

[win win]

California, Washington and Oregon republicans are all safe Trump.

The republicans here are like those in Hawaii and Nevada.

[Sir Mohamed]

IN: Likely Cruz
CA: Lean Trump
WA: Lean Trump
OR: Likely Trump
WI: Toss-up
PA: Lean Trump

[andrew_c]

Trump: Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington
Cruz: California*, Indiana
Wisconsin: Tossup

*Cruz wins the most votes, but Trump wins the most delegates due to weak Cruz support in San Francisco and Los Angeles congressional districts

[Sir Mohamed]

Trump: Oregon, Pennsylvania, Washington
Cruz: California*, Indiana
Wisconsin: Tossup

*Cruz wins the most votes, but Trump wins the most delegates due to weak Cruz support in San Francisco and Los Angeles congressional districts

I really doubt it, that Cruz can win CA. Even in a head-to-head race with the Trumpster. If the race is still undecided by June, of course.

[Young Conservative]

Cruz wins all with OR and PA as toss ups

[Devils30]

These are probably among the worst Cruz states in America. Least religious.

[Maxwell]

If it's just TRUMP v. Cruz, then Cruz would win Wisconsin in a walk. But if Kasich is still in the race, it may be a 33-33-33 type scenario where TRUMP breaks out the middle and wins.

[President Johnson]

Oregon: Safe TRUMP
Pennsylvania: Likely TRUMP
Indiana: Toss up
California: Safe TRUMP
Wisconsin: Toss up

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Oregon: Lean TRUMP
Pennsylvania: Lean TRUMP
Indiana: Safe Cruz
California:Likely Cruz
Wisconsin: Lean Cruz
North Carolina: Likely Cruz