2016 Congressional Primaries
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 24, 2024, 03:10:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2016 Congressional Primaries
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 49
Author Topic: 2016 Congressional Primaries  (Read 72423 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #275 on: June 07, 2016, 10:19:15 PM »

7 point lead for Judge, 12 point lead for Mowrer.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #276 on: June 07, 2016, 10:22:20 PM »

Notably, in Obama 52-47 district NJ-3, held by Republican Tom MacArthur, Democrats have nominated weirdo paleocon perennial candidate Frederick LaVergne, who received 2% when he ran as the candidate of the "Democratic-Republican Party" in 2014. Nice to see Democrats punt on a winnable seat.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #277 on: June 07, 2016, 10:23:26 PM »

Mowrer wins IA-3 D. Still waiting on IA Senate D, NM-03 R, and CA.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #278 on: June 07, 2016, 10:28:34 PM »

Rofl lmao Sundheim-mentum in California right now - he's at 14% while the second closest Republican, Tom Del Beccaro, is at 7%. That still trails Sanchez by 8, which means top 2 would be Harris and Sanchez.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #279 on: June 07, 2016, 10:30:13 PM »

NC-09. Pittenger = blue, Harris = orange, Johnson = green.

Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #280 on: June 07, 2016, 10:30:59 PM »

First Senate results coming in and it's time to overanalyze a single precinct in the mass of California: Harris (D) 36, Sanchez (D) 10, Sundheim (R ) 9, Wyman (R ) 8, Del Beccaro (R ) 5, with the rest going to field. The much-hyped Ron Unz is at 1%. Looks like there's a race for the second spot between Sanchez and Sundheim, lol.

In the House, I'm seeing 1 precinct from CA-1, which is reporting that LaMalfa's anti-establishmentarian challengers are all splitting the votes and allowing a Democrat to advance to the general with LaMalfa (essentially reelecting him).

Comments on RRH are discussing other races but I don't see those numbers on AP Huh
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #281 on: June 07, 2016, 10:34:51 PM »
« Edited: June 07, 2016, 10:37:22 PM by BuckeyeNut »

In OH-8, Davidson is the projected winner. He's leading Foister 76-22 with 30% in. Boehner succeeded by a club for growth guy.
If Davidson was just another Club for Growth guy, that'd be okay. But instead, Ohio is being saddled with yet another Freedom Caucus member. (Davidson got a lot of support from Jordan.)
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #282 on: June 07, 2016, 10:34:57 PM »

CA Senate: Harris 35%, Sanchez 19%, Sundheim (R) 12% with 4% in.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #283 on: June 07, 2016, 10:36:40 PM »

Judge is the projected winner for IA-Sen D. Michael Romero wins NM-03 R. CA is all that's left now.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #284 on: June 07, 2016, 10:37:59 PM »

More House results:

CA-9: Looks like 2014 R candidate Tony Amador is leading Republican leadership choice, former cop Kathryn Nance, for the right to be hyped against but ultimately not come close to beating Jerry McNerney.

CA-24: Carbajal (D) 35, Fareed (R ) 24, Schneider (D) 17, Achadjian (R ) 15. Unless these results are from Carbajal's base, doesn't look like the Democrats will split evenly enough or the vote will be low enough for a sneak Republican pickup.

Reports of unusually high Democratic performances in Orange County look exaggerated at the moment.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #285 on: June 07, 2016, 10:47:07 PM »

The Republicans are getting a total of 36% of the vote in the California primary, split between 12 candidates, and none of those candidates will be in the general election. What an unbelievably sh**tty system.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #286 on: June 07, 2016, 10:53:00 PM »
« Edited: June 07, 2016, 11:00:30 PM by Maxwell »

Rofl lmao District 16, the results atm:

49.6% Tacherra (R)
29.1% Costa (D) (Incumbent)
21.4% Rogers (R)

Reminder: This is a D+8 District. And Republicans make up about 70% of the vote atm.

Costa is such a useless, embarassing incumbent. yuck.

Edit: And... results adjusted, now Costa is at 55% and Republicans combined at 45%. whoops
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #287 on: June 07, 2016, 11:00:25 PM »

Rofl lmao District 16, the results atm:

49.6% Tacherra (R)
29.1% Costa (D) (Incumbent)
21.4% Rogers (R)

Reminder: This is a D+8 District. And Republicans make up about 70% of the vote atm.

Costa is such a useless, embarassing incumbent. yuck.

Some Fresno just dropped; Costa's at 55% right now. 'twas only one of those flukes of what's in and out.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #288 on: June 07, 2016, 11:01:32 PM »

Also:

Sad day:

37.2% Khanna (D)
37.0% Honda (D)
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #289 on: June 07, 2016, 11:07:38 PM »

Random small-town city councillor Daniel Parra is beating attorney and national Democratic choice Emilio Huerta 21-18 to be the candidate against Republican incumbent David Valadao, who's at 61. This is an Obama district. Looks like Valadao has a lot of margin to burn through before he's vulnerable in a Trumpocalypse.

On the other hand, attorney Bryan Caforio is beating cop Lou Vince, 27-13 to be the Democratic candidate against Steve Knight in CA-25; Caforio was who national Dems wanted. Knight is not the most eloquent person in the world and in the face of Trump this is a very possible D pickup opportunity. Republicans lead 60-40 but their primary number here in 2012 and 2014 was over 70; this district now and in November are two completely different things.
Logged
Anna Komnene
Siren
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,653


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #290 on: June 07, 2016, 11:12:18 PM »

The Republicans are getting a total of 36% of the vote in the California primary, split between 12 candidates, and none of those candidates will be in the general election. What an unbelievably sh**tty system.

I get your point, but I doubt any of them would be more competitive with Kamala Harris than Sanchez.
Logged
Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #291 on: June 07, 2016, 11:14:22 PM »

The Republicans are getting a total of 36% of the vote in the California primary, split between 12 candidates, and none of those candidates will be in the general election. What an unbelievably sh**tty system.

No, the emergence of an actual chance to beat Kamala Harris is a fantastic deal for Republicans.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #292 on: June 07, 2016, 11:41:32 PM »

I'm quite happy that Harris is beating Sanchez 2-1. I think she has an advantage in the runoff with that kind of support.
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #293 on: June 07, 2016, 11:57:30 PM »

The Republicans are getting a total of 36% of the vote in the California primary, split between 12 candidates, and none of those candidates will be in the general election. What an unbelievably sh**tty system.

No, the emergence of an actual chance to beat Kamala Harris is a fantastic deal for Republicans.
What's so sh**tty about the system is that a Dem vs Dem runoff, combined with presidential level turnout, California's strong Democratic lean, and Trump as the nominee, will likely sink Republican House candidates in swing districts. At least most competitive California House seats seem to already be held by Democrats.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,682
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #294 on: June 08, 2016, 12:18:10 AM »

In CA-24, which was the most likely Dem district to go R vs R in the jungle primary, it looks like Carbajal (D) will have a comfortable 1st place victory.    Thank goodness, I was nervous about this one.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #295 on: June 08, 2016, 12:58:31 AM »

I love how even Phil Law did better than Taylor Griffin. LMAO
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #296 on: June 08, 2016, 01:08:24 AM »

Glad at the CA-24, CA-25 results. Hope Huerta pulls through in CA-21 but I suspect the DCCC isn't prioritizing the district either way.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,542
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #297 on: June 08, 2016, 01:16:26 AM »

Good to see that Harris is winning in Orange County with 35% in.
Logged
This account no longer in use.
cxs018
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,282


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #298 on: June 08, 2016, 01:17:15 AM »

Anything known on the status of Ami Bera? Couldn't find results for his district.
Logged
publicunofficial
angryGreatness
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #299 on: June 08, 2016, 01:30:02 AM »

Anything known on the status of Ami Bera? Couldn't find results for his district.

Ahead of Scott Jones 52-48 in primary.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 49  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 10 queries.