2016 Congressional Primaries

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Primary winners:

Illinois:

Senate: Tammy Duckworth, Mark Kirk (i)
CD1: Bobby Rush (i), August Deuser
CD2: Robin Kelly (i)
CD4: Luis Gutierrez (i)
CD6: Too close to call, Peter Roskam (i)
CD7: Danny Davis (i)
CD8: Raja Krishnamoorthi
CD10: Too close to call
CD11: Too close to call
CD13: Rodney Davis (i)
CD14: Too close to call
CD15: John Shimkus (i)
CD17: Too close to call



North Carolina:

Senate: Deborah Ross, Richard Burr (i)
Governor: Roy Cooper, Pat McCrory (i)



Ohio:

Senate: Ted Strickland, Rob Portman (i)
CD1: Michele Young, Steve Chabot (i)
CD2: William Smith, Brad Wenstrup (i)
CD4: Janet Garrett
CD7: Bob Gibbs (i)
CD8: Warren Davidson
CD9: Too close to call
CD13: Tim Ryan (i)
CD14: Too close to call

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So, here are the matchups of possible competitive races:

IL Sen: Mark Kirk (i), Tammy Duckworth, Chad Koppie, Chris Aguayo, Jim Brown
IL-10: Bob Dold (i), Brad Schneider
IL-12: Mike Bost (i), CJ Baricevic, Paula Bradshaw
IL-13: Rodney Davis (i), Mark Wicklund, David Gill

NC Sen: Richard Burr (i), Deborah Ross, Sean Haugh, Mohammad Nasiri

OH Sen: Rob Portman (i), Ted Strickland, Joe DeMare, Tom Connors, Scott Rupert
OH-14: Dave Joyce (i), Michael Wager

TX-23: Will Hurd (i), Pete Gallego, Ruben Corvalan

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IL-13 has an even PVI, although you are correct in that only Cook rates it something other than Safe R. OH-14 is rated likely R by Sabato.

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Only district that might be competitive is District 6. Baker and Vogt are the only ones to hold public office before, but Hoeber is doing pretty good donation-wise.

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Just saying, OC has been predicting McGinty and Van Hollen wins for a while now.

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Congrats, Lyndon. You went on one of your anti-Sanders rants in a thread that had nothing to do with Sanders whatsoever.

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You make good points, Turkisblau, but again, this thread had nothing to do with Sanders. I do wish he had helped Fetterman out more, but Lyndon dragged this post out of left field completely.

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Thank God Young won. Stutzman almost certainly would have lost to that moron Baron Hill.

Absolutely not. Stutzman would've destroyed Baron Hill. This seat is Safe GOP regardless.

Did you not know about the poll showing Stutzman-Hill within the margin of error, or are you simply choosing to ignore it?

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By the way, JCL, I have a question. If Indiana wants Tea Party conservatives, then how did Trump and Young win the primaries?

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The following primaries are contested:

NE-2 Republican, Libertarian
WV-2 Democratic, Republican

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Here are the contested primaries:

ID-01 Dem and Rep
KY-Sen Dem and Rep (won by Rand Paul)
KY-01 Rep
KY-03 Rep
KY-05 Rep (won by Hal Rogers)
KY-06 Dem (won by Nancy Jo Kemper) and Rep (won by Andy Barr)
OR-Sen Dem, Rep, Ind
OR-01 Dem and Rep
OR-02 Rep
OR-04 Dem and Rep
OR-05 Dem and Rep

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http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia

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Isakson is winning easily, while Copeland is ahead of Barksdale by about 5%.

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Anything known on the status of Ami Bera? Couldn't find results for his district.

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The Nevada primaries show once again that there is no Sanders movement. His endorsed candidates tanked badly despite the low turnout which should benefit those with a passionate base of support.

Very relevant as always, Lyndon.

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Bridenstine projected to win primary.

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So happy for Zephyr! What a blowout!

But what about Will Yandik? He's S U P P L E.

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Well, this could be interesting. Shame Snow will be a sacrificial lamb unless a huge wave starts.

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Snow's only behind 14. I don't think the Utah Republican firewall is going down this election, but there are definitely a few cracks.

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By the way, I don't think anyone's mentioned this: Lee Bright, the SC state Senator who challenged Graham in 2014 and notable Confederate flag fetishist, lost re-election. The curse of the bloodthirsty queen strikes again!