PA-Mercyhurst University: Kasich/Rubio ahead of Clinton/Sanders
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Author Topic: PA-Mercyhurst University: Kasich/Rubio ahead of Clinton/Sanders  (Read 3099 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: March 14, 2016, 01:57:15 PM »
A Mercyhurst Center for Applied Politics poll of 421 registered voters in Pennsylvania (MOE +/-4.8, March 1 – March 11, 2016, live interviewers) finds Democratic candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders leading Republican frontrunners Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in a hypothetical general election match-up:

Clinton 43 Trump 35
Clinton 45 Cruz 42
Clinton 39 Rubio 47
Clinton 36 Kasich 49

Sanders 49 Trump 37
Sanders 48 Cruz 40
Sanders 41 Rubio 46
Sanders 42 Kasich 46

https://www.mercyhurst.edu/sites/default/files/uploads/%3Cem%3EEdit%20Simple%3C/em%3E%20MCAP%20Polls%20/mercyhurst_poll_3_spring_2016_report_edit.pdf
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DrScholl
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« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2016, 02:02:47 PM »
Candidate who aren't going to win the nomination always seem to perform better in early general election polls.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2016, 02:04:46 PM »
On average:

Hillary 41%, GOP 43% (R+2)
Bernie 45%, GOP 42% (D+3)

#voteBernie

Dems cannot afford to lose PA to the Republicans by nominating the weak Hillary.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2016, 02:05:51 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 14, 2016, 02:04:46 PM
Dems cannot afford to lose PA to the Republicans by nominating the weak Hillary.

You forgot to add "Sad!".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2016, 02:07:08 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 14, 2016, 02:02:47 PM
Candidate who aren't going to win the nomination always seem to perform better in early general election polls.

Obama also polled better than Hillary in the GE during March 2008 and he won the nomination ...
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DrScholl
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« Reply #5 on: March 14, 2016, 02:17:51 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 14, 2016, 02:07:08 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 14, 2016, 02:02:47 PM
Candidate who aren't going to win the nomination always seem to perform better in early general election polls.

Obama also polled better than Hillary in the GE during March 2008 and he won the nomination ...

I'm talking about polling right now and more as it pertains to Republicans. Kasich is the best polling Republican, yet he has no chance at the nomination.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #6 on: March 14, 2016, 02:19:19 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 14, 2016, 02:17:51 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 14, 2016, 02:07:08 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 14, 2016, 02:02:47 PM
Candidate who aren't going to win the nomination always seem to perform better in early general election polls.

Obama also polled better than Hillary in the GE during March 2008 and he won the nomination ...

I'm talking about polling right now and more as it pertains to Republicans. Kasich is the best polling Republican, yet he has no chance at the nomination.

Don't forget that Carson had the highest favorables. I guess Republicans made a serious mistake not nominating him.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2016, 02:32:39 PM »
Atlas, where you can always count on a circlejerk of a junk university poll.
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EliteLX
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« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2016, 02:34:32 PM »
« Edited: March 14, 2016, 02:37:37 PM by EliteLX »
B B B BUT MUH TRUMP & PENNSYLVANIA WHITES!

How many polls does it take for you buffoons to get the big idea lol.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2016, 02:46:47 PM »
Quote from: EliteLX on March 14, 2016, 02:34:32 PM
How many polls does it take for you buffoons to get the big idea lol.

Polls have shown her sitting at 45% against Trump in PA, there are still many undecideds. She's already at 49%+ in states like VA and NH.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2016, 03:06:39 PM »
CLINTON will win Pa 50/46
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2016, 08:08:29 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 14, 2016, 02:02:47 PM
Candidate who aren't going to win the nomination always seem to perform better in early general election polls.

No. For example.
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=141336.0
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #12 on: March 14, 2016, 08:50:31 PM »
PA will be a R+1 state in 2016.  Not making a prediction necessarily about who carries it, though, because that depends on so much to come.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #13 on: March 14, 2016, 10:21:32 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on March 14, 2016, 08:50:31 PM
PA will be a R+1 state in 2016.  Not making a prediction necessarily about who carries it, though, because that depends on so much to come.

Yes, and GA is D+1.
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standwrand
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« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2016, 09:53:51 AM »
Quote from: Arch on March 14, 2016, 10:21:32 PM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on March 14, 2016, 08:50:31 PM
PA will be a R+1 state in 2016.  Not making a prediction necessarily about who carries it, though, because that depends on so much to come.

Yes, and GA is D+1.

Seriously, though, PA has been way further right than VA every poll released. The Repubs could win PA and note VA...
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5280
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« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2016, 10:59:25 AM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2016, 03:25:02 PM »
In a 272-266 election, Trump was bound to want to put Clinton on defense here and Iowa and NH, but its not ment to be.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: March 17, 2016, 12:31:27 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 14, 2016, 01:57:15 PM
A Mercyhurst Center for Applied Politics poll of 421 registered voters in Pennsylvania (MOE +/-4.8, March 1 – March 11, 2016, live interviewers) finds Democratic candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders leading Republican frontrunners Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in a hypothetical general election match-up:

Clinton 43 Trump 35
Clinton 45 Cruz 42
Clinton 39 Rubio 47
Clinton 36 Kasich 49

Sanders 49 Trump 37
Sanders 48 Cruz 40
Sanders 41 Rubio 46
Sanders 42 Kasich 46

https://www.mercyhurst.edu/sites/default/files/uploads/%3Cem%3EEdit%20Simple%3C/em%3E%20MCAP%20Polls%20/mercyhurst_poll_3_spring_2016_report_edit.pdf

Corrected for relevance.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: March 17, 2016, 02:09:41 PM »
Hiary Clinton should be fine in Pennsylvania www.electionprojection.com
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