Is Hillary over if Sanders wins North Carolina?

[IceSpear]

Time to eat crow Beet.

[Virginiá]

Time to eat crow Beet.

Tonight turned out way better than I expected! Hillary better drop out. It's clearly over for her. It would just be downright shameful to continue.

[Beet]

I feel ashamed of myself. I mean, Bernie did cut NC to 15 points versus 29 points for VA and 47 points for SC, but I clearly overreacted to Michigan. Michigan really threw me for a loop. There were people online talking all this trash, talking about rallies and phone banking, and I dismissed it, trusting 538. Michigan shattered my faith in 538, or more accurately, the polls it relies on. Then today, there were all these people trash talking again, but about NC. So I created this thread. Unfortunately, I allowed it to cloud my judgement and over-adjusted. But we're definitely getting some trash polls this year, like the We Ask America poll. Things are just weird.

EDIT: That being said, I never predicted Bernie would win NC. My predictions were posted here. I actually did much better than the 538 polls-only model with my Google trends/538 hybrid model.

[Boston Bread]

No way Sanders could have won NC, but he did very well there. Only southern state where he outperformed the polls.

[nclib]

If Bernie somehow pulls off an upset in NC, it will completely change the dynamic of the race, especially since if he does that he is likely putting up solid margins in Ohio & Illinois.  With that being said, the chances of him wining NC are vey slim, however I do see Bernie making it a bit closer than most of the polls are suggesting.   He is going to win Asheville and the Research Triangle by a ton, which should offset Clinton's huge margin's elsewhere in the state.  Clinton is going to get DEMOLISHED in Orange County, but  it isn't going to be enough.

Interestingly, Orange County (where I live) only went for Bernie 49.93%-48.41%. BTW, I voted for Clinton because of electability.

[IceSpear]

I feel ashamed of myself. I mean, Bernie did cut NC to 15 points versus 29 points for VA and 47 points for SC, but I clearly overreacted to Michigan. Michigan really threw me for a loop. There were people online talking all this trash, talking about rallies and phone banking, and I dismissed it, trusting 538. Michigan shattered my faith in 538, or more accurately, the polls it relies on. Then today, there were all these people trash talking again, but about NC. So I created this thread. Unfortunately, I allowed it to cloud my judgement and over-adjusted. But we're definitely getting some trash polls this year, like the We Ask America poll. Things are just weird.

EDIT: That being said, I never predicted Bernie would win NC. My predictions were posted here. I actually did much better than the 538 polls-only model with my Google trends/538 hybrid model.

Yeah, I get what you mean. I was pretty nervous going into today and was just hoping she'd rack up enough in padding in FL/NC to withstand any losses tonight and in the future. I never even imagined she'd win OH by double digits.

[Eraserhead]

For what it's worth, I was surprised by how well Sanders did in NC.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

For what it's worth, I was surprised by how well Sanders did in NC.

I think I was more stunned that Hillary did better in OH than NC.