Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)

[Gass3268]

Florida: Safe Trump (Will be called at 8pm)
Illinois: Lean Trump (Also close to a Toss Up, but Trump has had a consistent lead here)
Missouri: Toss Up (I think the St. Louis Metro Area will be key for Trump)
North Carolina: Safe Trump (Could be an insta-call)
Ohio: Lean Kasich (Some polls want me to put this as a Toss Up, but Trump never gains on his poll numbers)

[Gass3268]

648 people have now voted at my precinct and its 49% Republican and 51% Democratic right NO

Where do you live again in Florida?

[Gass3268]

The Trump tactics begin:

Donald J. Trump ‏@realDonaldTrump  17m17 minutes ago
A lot of complaints from people saying my name is not on the ballot in various places in Florida? Hope this is false.

I'm certain that Trump's name isn't on the Democratic ballot that these registered Democrat complainers have to pull in Florida's closed primary. 

Good news for Sanders!

[Gass3268]

That doesn't sound like good news for Hillary!

Agreed, while they probably aren't here African American base, they are probably upper income liberal whites that she needs to carry to win the state.

[Gass3268]

I heard a little bit ago on CNN that Trump's campaign is complaining that he hasn't been on the ballot in every precinct in Florida?  I wasn't able to get the entire gist of the conversation as I was responding to Morden, but has anyone else heard that?

It's in all likelihood those not registered with a party or registered Democrats that did not register with the Republican Party.

[Gass3268]

Florida stealing yet another election!!!

Woah, where was this from?

[Gass3268]

In exit polls, GOP primary was 9% Dem self-ID in IL, 7% in OH, 5% in MO, 3% in FL (strictly closed- what?), and 1% in NC.

That should be good for Trump in OH and MO, good for Cruz in NC and probably helpful for Kasich in OH.

Florida number might be folks who changed parties in advance, but still consider themselves Democrats. Is that possible?

[Gass3268]

More exits:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-mini-super-tuesday-republican-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37666149

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Another case of good for Cruz in NC, not so good for him in MO?

Trump has been winning evangelicals in the South however, compared to Cruz winning it in the Plains.

[Gass3268]

Youngstown area is going to go huge for Trump.

[Gass3268]

Results are so embarrassing for Rubio in Florida.

[Gass3268]

This is embarrassing for Rubio!

[Gass3268]

How long until we get a call in IL?

MSNBC already called it for Trump.

[Gass3268]

MSNBC is saying that Trump could win 7 of the 8 Missouri Congressional districts, which is all WTA!

[Gass3268]

MSNBC is saying that Trump came 40 delegates of what it would have been like if he had won FL and OH.

[Gass3268]

MSNBC called Trump the apparent winner in MO.

[Gass3268]

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LOL!

[Gass3268]

Anyway, if it’s true that Cruz only won one of the CDs in Missouri, that’s pretty awful for him.  He very nearly tied Trump statewide, but he only gets 5 delegates because his support was so overwhelmingly concentrated in just one CD?

He might have won CD-5 (Kansas City). Not sure yet.

[Gass3268]

Tentatively, it appears that Cruz narrowly won MO-4 (41.5%-41.1%) and MO-5 (39.5%-38.8%).

https://www.sos.mo.gov/CMSImages/ElectionResultsStatistics/1230AMCandidateTotalsbyCongressionalDistrict-withnumbers.pdf

So he won 3 Congressional Districts.