Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[Shadows]

Hispanics allegedly went huge for Sanders in IL. Take that with a mountain of salt though.

Is that from the Shuster tweet or someone repeating it? Where did you see that?

I posted the tweet & said can't comment on the authenticity - Maybe the guy is not credible!

[Lief 🗽]

If blacks are really 29% in Florida then Clinton is going to way over-perform the polls there. It'll be like 70-30.

[Shadows]

"Continue Obama's policies" number in Ohio is at 48%.

That's might be a decent sign for Sanders.

If that's true he's won.  No doubt.

People don't vote on 1 issue & 1 question in poll does not decide everything!

I am not sure about Ohio, I think we may lose. Missouri I am reasonably confident we can pull a narrow win - And Illinois is a toss-up IMO, we have a chance! Cheers!

[Wiz in Wis]

Hispanics allegedly went huge for Sanders in IL. Take that with a mountain of salt though.

Yeah, Shadow said. But the guy who said it on twitter wont back it up.

Even if it were true, the % Latino in IL exit poll is <10%. Huge margin of error on that number

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

North Carolina almost as Anti-Trade as IL/MO? WOW!!

[Fusionmunster]

North Carolina almost as Anti-Trade as IL/MO? WOW!!

Again, I think if you asked that question in any state you'd get similar results.

[DrScholl]

I have a feeling that Sanders will declare victory no matter what happens tonight.

[Mr. Morden]

More exits:

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-mini-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37666687

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[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

lol at people blaming Sanders for dividing the party. The party was already divided, the more liberal side just didn't have a voice before. And most of those 'unsatisfied' people will vote for the other candidate in the general anyway, unlike Republicans.

Ugh...no!  The difference is that there is an actual, leftist voice in the party.  We've had plenty of liberals, like The Harpy.  Of course, it had to come from an independent who only caucuses with them, and of course the party establishment unleashed an all-out war on Sanders the first moment he posed a threat.  It was all smug compliments and "You go Bernie" pats-on-the-back before that.  

[Eraserhead]

More exits:

These look pretty good for Clinton.

[Gass3268]

The trustworthy numbers are killer for Clinton in MO and OH.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

North Carolina almost as Anti-Trade as IL/MO? WOW!!

The US lost 900,000 textile jobs between 1994 and 2005, and I think hundreds of thousands of those were in NC.

[Gass3268]

North Carolina almost as Anti-Trade as IL/MO? WOW!!

The US lost 900,000 textile jobs between 1994 and 2005, and I think hundreds of thousands of those were in NC.

I expect Trump to dominate in those areas on the GOP side.

[Boston Bread]

For comparison: In CNN MI exit polls, 64% said Bernie is realistic, and 57% said trade takes away jobs.

[bilaps]

Clinton campaign is downplaying expectations in Ohio because of this switching to Republicans.

[DrScholl]

Even if Sanders does carry some states, it doesn't look like he's going to duplicate his win in Vermont anywhere. I think people need to remember that this is a delegate game, not a how many states won game.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton campaign is downplaying expectations in Ohio because of this switching to Republicans.

Ohio is 110% white now.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

More exits:

These look pretty good for Clinton.

Sanders is running from farther to the left than any candidate these people can remember.  I'll take 2/3 saying that Sanders is realistic in IL and MO.  He's probably winning by a huge margin among these people.  

[Wiz in Wis]

More exits:

These look pretty good for Clinton.

Sanders is running from farther to the left than any candidate these people can remember.  I'll take 2/3 saying that Sanders is realistic in IL and MO.  He's probably winning by a huge margin among these people.  

Hillary only got 71% realistic in Michigan. Not as big a divide in any of these states, but MO/IL do look better for Sanders than OH... on that metric.

[Eraserhead]

The trustworthy numbers are killer for Clinton in MO and OH.

They're bad? What are they?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

More exits:

These look pretty good for Clinton.

Sanders is running from farther to the left than any candidate these people can remember.  I'll take 2/3 saying that Sanders is realistic in IL and MO.  He's probably winning by a huge margin among these people.  

Hillary only got 71% realistic in Michigan. Not as big a divide in any of these states, but MO/IL do look better for Sanders than OH... on that metric.

Who the hell would think Clinton is unrealistic, honestly.

"I'm going to take office and be a weather-vane!"

Yea... real tough to imagine President Hillary Clinton do such a thing. 

[Dr. Arch]

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see

[Eraserhead]

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see

Not happening.

[The Other Castro]

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

[Vern]

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see

I agree, I think NC will be shocking to a lot of people.