Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44767 times)
HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #175 on: March 15, 2016, 05:26:47 PM »
Hillary wins all but MO.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #176 on: March 15, 2016, 05:27:55 PM »

Nah, don't think so.
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Shadows
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« Reply #177 on: March 15, 2016, 05:28:05 PM »
NC won't be bad, I think Sanders can do 40-42% if he is lucky & turnout is good. Florida look Texas all over again  - 32-33% odd for Sanders IMO.

Missouri to Sanders, other 2 very close with Lean Clinton
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Crumpets
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« Reply #178 on: March 15, 2016, 05:29:08 PM »
My current thoughts:
Florida: Solid Clinton - wins by 20+%
North Carolina: Solid Clinton - wins by 15+%
Ohio: Lean Clinton - wins by 5-10%
Illinois: Tossup/Tilt Clinton - wins by less than 5%
Missouri Tossup/Tilt Sanders - wins by less than 5%
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DrScholl
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« Reply #179 on: March 15, 2016, 05:29:37 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 15, 2016, 05:22:18 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Not happening.

Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:22:32 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

Wow, you are really being Hillary hacks.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #180 on: March 15, 2016, 05:32:35 PM »
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 15, 2016, 05:29:37 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 15, 2016, 05:22:18 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Not happening.

Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:22:32 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

Wow, you are really being Hillary hacks.

Not at all.  Castro/EH just know their stuff.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #181 on: March 15, 2016, 05:33:23 PM »
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #182 on: March 15, 2016, 05:33:50 PM »

yaaasss
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IceSpear
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« Reply #183 on: March 15, 2016, 05:33:53 PM »

Great sign!
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Shadows
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« Reply #184 on: March 15, 2016, 05:34:36 PM »
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:32:35 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 15, 2016, 05:29:37 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 15, 2016, 05:22:18 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Not happening.

Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:22:32 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

Wow, you are really being Hillary hacks.

Not at all.  Castro/EH just know their stuff.

I am predicting a 30% loss atleast!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #185 on: March 15, 2016, 05:35:50 PM »
Heads need to roll at YouGov if that exit poll means what we think it does. Is there any chance they conduct CBS's exit polls as well as their tracking polls?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #186 on: March 15, 2016, 05:37:01 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on March 15, 2016, 05:35:50 PM
Heads need to roll at YouGov if that exit poll means what we think it does. Is there any chance they conduct CBS's exit polls as well as their tracking polls?

Probably not.  YouGov is largely online, yeah?
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #187 on: March 15, 2016, 05:38:28 PM »

How much of this is Obama-love? 
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IceSpear
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« Reply #188 on: March 15, 2016, 05:38:31 PM »
Quote from: Shadows on March 15, 2016, 05:34:36 PM
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:32:35 PM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on March 15, 2016, 05:29:37 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 15, 2016, 05:22:18 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Not happening.

Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:22:32 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 15, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

Wow, you are really being Hillary hacks.

Not at all.  Castro/EH just know their stuff.

I am predicting a 30% loss atleast!

Are you basing that off info, or just gut feeling?

That would be really bad for Bernie. He can afford to get defeated there by a healthy margin, but he likely can't afford a landslide.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #189 on: March 15, 2016, 05:40:31 PM »

"More liberal policies" was at 31% in the CBS Michigan exit poll, ftr.
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Joe Biden 2020
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« Reply #190 on: March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM »
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #191 on: March 15, 2016, 05:41:45 PM »
Sanders winning 3 states is a nice narrative, but I'm not feeling good at all about Florida, and thus the nomination. I feel like we're heading more likely than not towards the (mathematical) end tonight.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #192 on: March 15, 2016, 05:42:41 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 05:41:45 PM
Sanders winning 3 states is a nice narrative, but I'm not feeling good at all about Florida, and thus the nomination. I feel like we're heading more likely than not towards the (mathematical) end tonight.

The deficit will likely be too much to overcome, but it is worth noting that the south is pretty much done (save KY and WV, which are both >80% white) after tonight.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #193 on: March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM »
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #194 on: March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM »
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #195 on: March 15, 2016, 05:46:19 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?

I don't know, but one thing is clear. OK leans D in November if Sanders is nominated.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #196 on: March 15, 2016, 05:47:09 PM »
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



I just thought it's a good campaign strategy looking ahead to next week.  I mean that in all sincerity, too.  I doubt Hillary or any of the Pubbies are in either Arizona or Utah.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #197 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:03 PM »


This works for either candidate honestly.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #198 on: March 15, 2016, 05:48:30 PM »
Quote from: Kalwejt on March 15, 2016, 05:46:19 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?

I don't know, but one thing is clear. OK leans D in November if Sanders is nominated.
Quote from: IceSpear on March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?

On top of the Hill.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #199 on: March 15, 2016, 05:49:11 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM
Quote from: HockeyDude on March 15, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: Easter Bushie on March 15, 2016, 05:40:56 PM
Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?

I believe the lone Hillary county in the center. 
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