Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44915 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: March 15, 2016, 10:11:10 AM »

Exits have been off in both directions numerous times (underestimating Bernie in IA/NH/OK, underestimating Hillary in NV/SC/MA/GA.) I wouldn't read too much into them.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 02:05:36 PM »

It wouldn't surprise me if that was true in some of the Appalachian counties.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 02:18:13 PM »


Well I found this tweet mentioned on AAD:

Steven Dennis ‏@StevenTDennis
Democrat in Ohio tells @cspan he & 172 other Ds in his county voting for Trump today to divide GOP.
Will vote Hillary/Bernie in November.

Ugh, this is sickening. Now we know why Trump is dominating open primaries. Will be funny to see how those people react if Trump defeats Clinton in November, though LOL.

Well, that's one type of Dem crossover voter. There's also the Dixiecrats that genuinely support Trump.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 02:35:50 PM »
« Edited: March 15, 2016, 02:37:22 PM by IceSpear »

Is it really too much to ask that people just vote for the candidates they like the most?

I don't think registered members of the other party should be able to participate in the other's primary. It's just asking for trouble. Imagine if Trump ran in 2012 when Obama was unopposed in the Dem primary. The level of shenanigans would be immense.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 05:33:53 PM »


Great sign!
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 05:38:31 PM »

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Not happening.

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see Smiley

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

Wow, you are really being Hillary hacks.

Not at all.  Castro/EH just know their stuff.

I am predicting a 30% loss atleast!

Are you basing that off info, or just gut feeling?

That would be really bad for Bernie. He can afford to get defeated there by a healthy margin, but he likely can't afford a landslide.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 05:45:27 PM »

Hah, Bernie is already in Arizona tonight.  I guess he's looking ahead to next week.  Good move for the Vermont Senator.

They have TV cameras in Arizona, ya know.  But no one will be watching, we both know that NO ONE WANTS A SOCIALIST!



Does Bushie live in a Bernie or Hillary county?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 05:50:33 PM »

I don't know why they even bother to ask that question on the Dem side.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 06:15:34 PM »

14% in, Clinton leads 62.4 to 35.2

Why does the NYT say 2% in?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2016, 06:24:07 PM »

Hillary currently winning Miami-Dade 80-19. Shocked
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2016, 06:26:44 PM »

Hilldawg killin it!
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2016, 06:36:07 PM »

Whites OH: 51-49 Bernie
Blacks OH: 73-26 Clinton
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2016, 06:39:52 PM »

Sanders did better with whites in NC than OH?!?

Supposedly. It's an exit poll. Take it with a grain of salt.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2016, 06:46:12 PM »

Bernie was up by 12% in NC with 1% reporting. Let's see what happens.

Yes. Posts that talk about results with less than 5% in should be banned from these threads. lol
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2016, 06:50:19 PM »

This comment on r/sandersforpresident has made my day:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

WTF! Are they serious?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2016, 06:59:15 PM »

I don't see what Hillary's appeal is.

She's amazing, what's not to get? Tongue
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2016, 07:29:55 PM »


Yeah, unless something major changes, this race is over.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #17 on: March 15, 2016, 07:36:29 PM »


It really doesn't matter. This is a delegate game. And Hillary just got checkmate.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #18 on: March 15, 2016, 07:41:01 PM »


It really doesn't matter. This is a delegate game. And Hillary just got checkmate.
Like she got checkmate all the previous times ? Well, I know Bernie won't get the nomination, but at this point if he hasn't already dropped out, he won't until very late if at all. So, sure, she won, after all she really won the night of SC, but Bernie still has shaken up things and should get somewhat of an effect on the convention and maybe even Clinton's campaign. He already has.

I'm not denying he had/will have an effect. I'm just saying the delegate math is now insurmountable. Obviously he's going to have a major presence at the convention, and that was probably true ever since his win in NH, to say nothing of MI.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #19 on: March 15, 2016, 07:45:07 PM »


Looks like the pollsters may have overcompensated for Michigan.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #20 on: March 15, 2016, 07:46:35 PM »

I wish we could scrap the superdelegates.

Dude, what does that have to do with anything? Clinton is winning by a lot regardless of the superdelegates.


It's still helping her a lot. It'd be closer without them.

It would be insurmountable even without them, after tonight.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #21 on: March 15, 2016, 07:51:52 PM »

Congrats Hilldawg and her supporters. I look forward to supporting her in the general.

Thanks for being gracious.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #22 on: March 15, 2016, 07:59:03 PM »


It looks to be a lot of, "Never voting Hillary. Trump 2016"

Yes, we all know "true progressives" love Trump.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #23 on: March 15, 2016, 08:04:31 PM »


Cenk really doesn't seem to realize that the Dem primary isn't winner take all. He said it was a toss up after Super Tuesday, but now it's over?
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #24 on: March 15, 2016, 08:05:51 PM »


It looks to be a lot of, "Never voting Hillary. Trump 2016"

This attitude makes zero sense.

Shows that the 18-22 year old kid demographic cares more about a cult of personality and empty promises of "free" stuff than actual progressive politics.

Clinton winning at least gives me someone to vote for if Drumpf gets the nomination.

A lot of them were former Paulbots too, so I think you're right on here.

Luckily, the Reddit cult doesn't represent the vast majority of Sanders supporters.
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