Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[The Other Castro]

I'm seeing reports of high turnout in Dayton, OH (good for Clinton), but low turnout in Akron, OH (bad for Clinton).

[The Other Castro]

Very high turnout in Watauga County, NC, which could be good for college student turnout and Sanders.

[The Other Castro]

Big turnout in Orland Park (Black area in Chicago), IL, which is good for Clinton.

[The Other Castro]

Big turnout in Orland Park (Black area in Chicago), IL, which is good for Clinton.

Orland Park, IL is 93% white and is in the Chicago Southland which is relatively blue collar. This could actually be one of Sanders best areas in Cook County.

Oh wow my bad, I must have confused it with another place.

[The Other Castro]

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/03/15/exclusive-newt-gingrich-if-trump-wins-big-in-florida-they-wont-be-able-to-stop-him/

Newt is saying Ohio crossover Dem vote is as much as 20% in some counties.

I base this based on no real data, but I feel like those Dems are more likely to be Clinton voters. Sanders voters just don't seem as likely to me to give up the chance to vote for him over meddling on the Republican side.

[The Other Castro]

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/03/15/exclusive-newt-gingrich-if-trump-wins-big-in-florida-they-wont-be-able-to-stop-him/

Newt is saying Ohio crossover Dem vote is as much as 20% in some counties.

Are they voting for Trump or what?

Well I found this tweet mentioned on AAD:

Steven Dennis ‏@StevenTDennis
Democrat in Ohio tells @cspan he & 172 other Ds in his county voting for Trump today to divide GOP.
Will vote Hillary/Bernie in November.

[The Other Castro]

Is it really too much to ask that people just vote for the candidates they like the most?

[The Other Castro]

McHenry County, Illinois will apparently be open until 8:30 due to technical issues this morning.

[The Other Castro]

https://twitter.com/DavidShuster/status/709844940713553920

This is honestly a bit shocking, dunno if authentic, but Hispanic vote is actually higher in overall % state wise compared to Black vote in Illinois.

If this is authentic - this guy is credible, it is good news for Sanders & definitely means Sanders has a good chance to win!

There's no way he's winning Hispanics by that much, that would be insane.

[The Other Castro]

From CNN: Ohio is 76% White, 19% Black

[The Other Castro]

[The Other Castro]

From CNN: Ohio is 76% White, 19% Black

What was Michigan?

70% White, 21% Black

[The Other Castro]

"Continue Obama's policies" number in Ohio is at 48%.

That's might be a decent sign for Sanders.

The CNN exit poll for Michigan was 50% to continue Obama's policies.

[The Other Castro]

"Continue Obama's policies" number in Ohio is at 48%.

That's might be a decent sign for Sanders.

The CNN exit poll for Michigan was 50% to continue Obama's policies.

I just saw it on CNN's scroll. It was 48%.

Oh I'm looking at this: http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/mi/Dem

[The Other Castro]

I'm thinking Bernie will win all the northern states and come within single digits in either FL or NC. Just a gut feeling though. Then again, I had a gut feeling he would win Michigan too. We'll see

Based on the Florida exit poll, Sanders would probably be lucky to come within 20 in Florida.

[The Other Castro]

Sanders winning 3 states is a nice narrative, but I'm not feeling good at all about Florida, and thus the nomination. I feel like we're heading more likely than not towards the (mathematical) end tonight.

[The Other Castro]

7% in, Clinton leading 57-40. Not toooo bad.

[The Other Castro]

14% in, Clinton leads 62.4 to 35.2

[The Other Castro]

14% in, Clinton leads 62.4 to 35.2

Why does the NYT say 2% in?

Not sure, though CNN says 16% now.

[The Other Castro]

Florida is up on CNN!

[The Other Castro]

clinton   302,644   
65.8%

sanders   145,418   
31.6%

[The Other Castro]

Welp, this is about a 70 delegate lead stretcher from Florida alone so far.

[The Other Castro]

Based on what I've seen tonight, it's pretty much over for Sanders now.

[The Other Castro]

Sanders did better with whites in NC than OH?!?

Based on the preliminary exit poll

[The Other Castro]

It's all early vote in Ohio so far.