Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44921 times)
Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« on: March 15, 2016, 05:06:24 PM »
For comparison: In CNN MI exit polls, 64% said Bernie is realistic, and 57% said trade takes away jobs.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 09:12:30 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on March 15, 2016, 09:02:23 PM
Interesting that Clinton has a higher percentage in Ohio than NC
I doubt it ends that way when the counting ends. OH early/absentee vote was counted first and is always huge for Clinton.
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Boston Bread
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 09:19:00 PM »
« Edited: March 15, 2016, 09:23:34 PM by New Canadaland »
Sadly I don't think Sanders can even salvage MO. Winning all but a few rural white counties didn't cut it for Clinton in 2008.

edit: hold on, CNN prediction only has Clinton at a 12% chance? Do they know something I don't?
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 10:00:47 PM »
NYT says Sanders should be up by .6 even after St. Louis comes in. Hope that holds.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 10:18:01 PM »
Seems too early, MO has a far better chance of flipping than IL.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 10:19:54 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on March 15, 2016, 10:19:09 PM
Wow, STL in, and Hillary didn't do that well there. Bernie likely takes MO.
lol, I was expecting >60% Hillary there. Safe Sanders now.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 10:22:57 PM »
CNN says 45% in with the same numbers, so STL likely is only half in. Still, the margin makes me happy so far.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 10:40:10 PM »
The polls were actually pretty good this time around. I guess they adjusted their models after MI and it payed off.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 10:43:16 PM »
Quote from: Smash255 on March 15, 2016, 10:40:57 PM
Just got home so not sure if it was adressed in other posts, but what the hell happened in Orange County??  Putting aside Ohio's shocker, Sanders's overall margin in NC wasn't all that bad, but how exactly is he only winning an extremely liberal county by two points??
High income latte liberals are an Obama 2008 -> Hillary 2016 constituency. If I recall, the county voted for SSM in 2012, so it probably fits the bill.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2016, 11:13:05 PM »
Something in St.Louis county dropped Sanders below 50, and NYT live model now has him up only 0.3. Not good. Anyone calling it for Sanders should probably uncall now.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2016, 11:18:48 PM »
Ugh, if I had to guess, the remaining precincts in St Louis city are heavily black - which would explain why Sanders is doing decent so far there. If true it's a Clinton sweep.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2016, 11:26:38 PM »
Quote from: Castro on March 15, 2016, 11:25:26 PM
Decision Desk is ahead of CNN:

Bernie Sanders 49.7% 295519
Hillary Clinton 49.3% 293,394
Al Others 1.0% 6011
Precincts Reporting 97.5%
They have STL at 100%, so if they're right nothing is going to save Clinton.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2016, 11:29:56 PM »
Glad I was wrong about St. Louis Cheesy Blacks there were kind to Bernie.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2016, 11:34:57 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on March 15, 2016, 11:32:43 PM
WAIT SANDERS ACTUALLY WON MY COUNTY BY 37 VOTES

PRAISE THE LORD
Congrats!
I wonder was so different there? It's surrounded by Clinton counties.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2016, 11:41:25 PM »
gg
also lol DecisionDesk
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2016, 11:44:56 PM »
Quote from: Thinking Crumpets Crumpet on March 15, 2016, 11:43:32 PM
TYT: "There's a chance the next President has yet to enter the race" - seriously implying he's thinking of a Democrat/left wing candidate.
I think it's likelier he's talking about a contested GOP convention.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2016, 11:52:08 PM »
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on March 15, 2016, 11:50:23 PM
I've been a registered Democrat my entire life. I guess I'll have to change that.
Really now? The Democratic party has been run by people like Clinton since the 80's. If anything the party's moving in your direction.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
« Reply #17 on: March 16, 2016, 12:01:01 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 15, 2016, 11:58:21 PM
Can anyone explain how the margin is the same in North Carolina and Ohio? I am so confused.

Congrats to the Clinton folks. Let's take down the fascist!
Sanders somehow lost whitey in Ohio.
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