Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44858 times)
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,735
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Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« on: March 15, 2016, 01:58:52 AM »
I imagine we'll get a pretty good idea of how the night is going when North Carolina closes. If they call it for Hillary straight away, she'll probably win at least three states. If we have to wait, it may be a long night for her all around.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 05:29:08 PM »
My current thoughts:
Florida: Solid Clinton - wins by 20+%
North Carolina: Solid Clinton - wins by 15+%
Ohio: Lean Clinton - wins by 5-10%
Illinois: Tossup/Tilt Clinton - wins by less than 5%
Missouri Tossup/Tilt Sanders - wins by less than 5%
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 05:35:50 PM »
Heads need to roll at YouGov if that exit poll means what we think it does. Is there any chance they conduct CBS's exit polls as well as their tracking polls?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 06:08:22 PM »
First numbers from Florida:

Clinton 65%
Sanders 33%

Only from Desoto and Pinellas Counties
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 06:43:39 PM »
If FL and NC end up anything like they're looking now, that'll be a net of around 100 delegates to Clinton.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2016, 06:49:43 PM »
This comment on r/sandersforpresident has made my day:

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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2016, 06:54:40 PM »
Rural Ohio seems to be much better for Hillary than rural Michigan.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2016, 07:00:33 PM »
Quote from: AlwaysBernie on March 15, 2016, 06:57:47 PM
I don't see what Hillary's appeal is.

I'm guessing you don't want me to make a huge post about why I like her, but if you want to better defend your candidate and promote his appeal, you should look into more about why people are voting for Hillary beyond "they're voting with their vaginas" and "they've just never heard of how amazing Sanders is."
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2016, 07:03:08 PM »
How many people voted in Ohio? The New York Times has over 130,000 votes counted, but it just says <1% reporting.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2016, 07:18:49 PM »
Quote from: Et tu, Tuesday? on March 15, 2016, 07:17:02 PM
Quote from: cowboys5xsbs on March 15, 2016, 07:15:42 PM
Hillary ahead early in Missouri as well 65% to 30%.  This is a slaughter.

Lol

77-35-6 votes. Totally a slaughter.

They are in white/rural areas, though, if that means anything.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2016, 07:24:14 PM »
Bernie only up 51-48 in Orange County, NC (Chapel Hill).
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #11 on: March 15, 2016, 07:27:59 PM »
Hillary up 9 points in Cook County. No idea what that means, really.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #12 on: March 15, 2016, 07:29:30 PM »
NYT's delegate tracker has Hillary at 118 new delegates today and Bernie at 45.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #13 on: March 15, 2016, 07:37:20 PM »
Hillary up in Jackson County, MO!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #14 on: March 15, 2016, 07:42:22 PM »
IT'S CHRISTMAS IN THE CRUMPETS HOUSEHOLD!
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #15 on: March 15, 2016, 07:59:42 PM »

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So basically a televangelist show.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #16 on: March 15, 2016, 08:15:03 PM »
TYT sounds like a high schooler who just got broken up with for the first time.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #17 on: March 15, 2016, 08:15:56 PM »
Quote from: AlwaysBernie on March 15, 2016, 08:14:05 PM
Quote from: MikeWells12 on March 15, 2016, 08:12:12 PM
The Sanders hacks are unbearable. Hillary won. Get over it. She'd make a great president. She will still get things done. It may not be free college and universal healthcare. But it's good enough. Stop deluding yourselves or being sore losers. It's imperative that Trump does not make it to the White House, and none of you are helping.
I am switching my endorsement, by the way.

I don't know how good she'd make. We've put up eight years of obstruction under Obama and I think they hate Hillary way more.

But they're just fine with Sanders and will go along with all of his proposals?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #18 on: March 15, 2016, 08:18:39 PM »
Another gem from r/sandersforpresident:

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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #19 on: March 15, 2016, 08:19:57 PM »
And another:

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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #20 on: March 15, 2016, 11:02:19 PM »
I've been away for about an hour. What's the status of Illinois? Does anybody know where the remaining vote is out?
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #21 on: March 15, 2016, 11:26:00 PM »
Some guy on TYT is throwing an absolute tantrum.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #22 on: March 15, 2016, 11:29:26 PM »
MSNBC calls Illinois for Hillary.

"BUT MCHENRY COUNTY!!! AAHHHHAHHHAHH!!!!"
~ Guy on TYT
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #23 on: March 15, 2016, 11:41:08 PM »
MSNBC has Hillary in the lead - NYT still has Bernie up.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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*****
Posts: 17,735
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52
« Reply #24 on: March 15, 2016, 11:43:32 PM »
TYT: "There's a chance the next President has yet to enter the race" - seriously implying he's thinking of a Democrat/left wing candidate.
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