Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)

[psychprofessor]

The early exit polls always favor Bernie. They had him winning MA; up 8 in Michigan; winning NV; etc...and I'm not quite sure how the early vote in Ohio, Florida and North Carolina will impact the exit polls. For instance, over 850k early votes have been cast in Florida already - 67% of that vote is over 60. That should be a very strong Clinton demo - how will the exits handle these early votes will impact their first and second wave exit polls.

Also, early votes that come in places from Ohio and Illinois will trend Bernie as rural areas report first until Cuyahoga county and Cook county come in - much like we saw from Wayne county in Michigan.

[psychprofessor]

I have a feeling that whites in Cuyahoga are much more likely than blacks to cross over and vote for Trump.

[psychprofessor]

Oh my Clinton up 80-20 in Miami-Dade early vote. Wowzers.

[psychprofessor]

so far exits tonight have underestimated clinton's lead

[psychprofessor]

so far exits tonight have underestimated clinton's lead

We don't know that. Not all the results have come in.

yes we do, early wave exits had sanders closer in florida, nc and ohio...they are not picking up the huge leads in early votes

[psychprofessor]

Ohio may be a double digit Clinton win

[psychprofessor]

Ohio called for Clinton wowzers

[psychprofessor]

Ohio called for Clinton wowzers

By who?

NYT and AP

[psychprofessor]

Clinton, at this early junction, now +320 delegates over Sanders according NYT.

[psychprofessor]

I think Clinton can take Missouri with St. Louis and KC.

She's holding steady in Illinois.

This can be a sweep tonight.

[psychprofessor]

something seems off in st. louis city...it can't be less than 30k votes with a close margin

[psychprofessor]

I definitely do not want Bernie to drop out. He has no reason to. He has run a good campaign, and as  Hillary supporter, I appreciate the focus on very important issues he has highlighted. Also, on a personal, selfish reason, I am glad that Bernie will be driving up the vote in WI on April 5... very important Supreme Court race and we definitively need the energy on the D side that Tuesday.

Agreed.

As a Bernie supporter (who will vote for Hillary in the GE without whining about it), I also think it benefits Hillary for Bernie to stay in. She's able to continue addressing issues in a sane manner. If Bernie dropped, she would have to start going head to head with Trump, and while she can still do that and stay civilized, it'll be better for her to put off that fight and slowly work up to it.

If Bernie dropped out wouldn't she have to use GE funds from that point forward? I remember reading something to that effect...anyone know?

[psychprofessor]

Missouri is really tightening now

[psychprofessor]

Something in St.Louis county dropped Sanders below 50, and NYT live model now has him up only 0.3. Not good. Anyone calling it for Sanders should probably uncall now.

St. Louis city may bring this home to mama

[psychprofessor]

Illinois to Clinton...one more for the sweep

[psychprofessor]

God, those last MO precincts are taking their sweet ass time...

Nate Cohn suggests they will break for Clinton

[psychprofessor]

God, those last MO precincts are taking their sweet ass time...

Nate Cohn suggests they will break for Clinton

Well of course they will. But will it be enough to make up 5k?

According to him, "easily"

[psychprofessor]

Jackson and St. Louis county will decide Missouri

[psychprofessor]

SWEEEEEP

[psychprofessor]

damn, hillary has some of that comeback magic! stunning night