Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Ides of March Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 44929 times)
cinyc
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« on: March 15, 2016, 06:04:39 PM »

From Huffington Post reporter Ryan Grim's twitter:

Ryan Grim ‏@ryangrim  19m19 minutes ago
And some Dem exit polls:
OH: Clinton 53, Sanders 47
FL: Clinton 63, Sanders 37
IL: Clinton 50, Sanders 50

Salt to taste.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2016, 11:03:02 PM »

What prevents us from making a projection in Missouri?

About half of St. Louis City and part of St. Louis County are out.  If it's the African-American parts of those areas that are out, things can change.
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2016, 11:10:02 PM »

83% of St. Louis & 89% of Kansas City is in - If the vote proportion remains the same, Hillary gains at best 4K, so Sanders should win a comfortable 6K.

Illinois will get closer & will probably be a 20-25K loss instead of 40-45K due to McHenry which has barely come in & where Sanders will make up good votes

Remember - there's a St. Louis County and a St. Louis City.  St. Louis City is only 57% reporting.
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2016, 11:17:45 PM »

Fox News projects Clinton wins Illinois.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 11:27:29 PM »

Decision Desk is ahead of CNN:

Bernie Sanders 49.7% 295519
Hillary Clinton 49.3% 293,394
Al Others 1.0% 6011
Precincts Reporting 97.5%

Decision Desk HQ seems to have given the check mark to Sanders in Missouri.  Could be premature.
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