Who wins the last 4 delegate rich states?(D)

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

One of these states will likely decide the democratic nominee.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

With that new CA poll out, I wonder how close it will be.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

One of these states will likely decide the democratic nominee.

The democratic nominee has already been decided.

[Pyro]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

[Lief 🗽]

CA is lean Clinton, the rest are easy 10-20 point victories (at least).

[°Leprechaun]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

I think that he'd have to win them big as well, to get the nomination.
Stranger things have happened.

[standwrand]

Sanders might just pull out a win in CA

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

LOLOL

[°Leprechaun]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

Of course, it does this but doesn't quite make to a majority (2026, I believe) and wins say only 2020 delegates, we'll have to wait until June 14, to see who the people's choice is.
Has that occured to anyone?

[°Leprechaun]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

LOLOL

Do you know what that means?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palindrome

[Illiniwek]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

LOLOL

Is Pyro Jimmy Dore?

California will be close, and maybe I would guess Sanders would win if it was today, but at that point the writing should be on the wall. A lot of people will still want to send a message that they prefer Bernie, but enough (NOT A LOT) Bernie people will consider the race already over that they will either stay home or just support the apparent nominee.

[°Leprechaun]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

LOLOL

Is Pyro Jimmy Dore?

California will be close, and maybe I would guess Sanders would win if it was today, but at that point the writing should be on the wall. A lot of people will still want to send a message that they prefer Bernie, but enough (NOT A LOT) Bernie people will consider the race already over that they will either stay home or just support the apparent nominee.

..or maybe the reverse, so many overconfident Clinton supporters stay home that day thinking, why bother, and Sanders wins CA big.

[Likely Voter]

47% of the vote in CA in 2008 was non-white, it could be 50/50 this time. Obama actually won white men with 60% and had 80% of blacks. But Clinton still won the state with 8% margin. I don't think CA could be considered anything but lean Clinton. If Sanders is going to catch up to Clinton he needs to do it in April. He needs to win PA, NY, NJ, WI. And with good margins.

[°Leprechaun]

47% of the vote in CA in 2008 was non-white, it could be 50/50 this time. Obama actually won white men with 60% and had 80% of blacks. But Clinton still won the state with 8% margin. I don't think CA could be considered anything but lean Clinton. If Sanders is going to catch up to Clinton he needs to do it in April. He needs to win PA, NY, NJ, WI. And with good margins.

Of course, California alone will not decide it. Wisconsin seems close right now. If Sanders ekes out a victory it could help stop the claim by Clinton supporters that a Sanders victory is at 0% or near. NY would be difficult for Sanders to win. True, he is still the underdog, but what else is new? He always has been.

[Holmes]

Sanders wins all four and overcomes Clinton's delegate lead on June 7th.

LOLOL

Is Pyro Jimmy Dore?

California will be close, and maybe I would guess Sanders would win if it was today, but at that point the writing should be on the wall. A lot of people will still want to send a message that they prefer Bernie, but enough (NOT A LOT) Bernie people will consider the race already over that they will either stay home or just support the apparent nominee.

I hope they don't stay home. They need to vote for Harris in the Senate primary.

[Figueira]

I have a feeling that it will come down to California, which Sanders will need to win by like 85%. This is kind of a bold prediction, but I'm predicting he'll win it narrowly, but not by nearly enough to win overall.

[°Leprechaun]

I have a feeling that it will come down to California, which Sanders will need to win by like 85%. This is kind of a bold prediction, but I'm predicting he'll win it narrowly, but not by nearly enough to win overall.

Mathematically true, if he doesn't begin to win prior states by 60%. I wouldn't expect Clinton to have a majority of elected delegates before June 7, but if ( ) Sanders doesn't beat expectations it will be increasingly unrealistic to say he has a chance.
Realistically I don't think Sanders will have a landslide in CA, but even then it would be mathematically possible, if ridiculous to believe that he might win the nomination.

[Minnesota Mike]

47% of the vote in CA in 2008 was non-white, it could be 50/50 this time. Obama actually won white men with 60% and had 80% of blacks. But Clinton still won the state with 8% margin. I don't think CA could be considered anything but lean Clinton. If Sanders is going to catch up to Clinton he needs to do it in April. He needs to win PA, NY, NJ, WI. And with good margins.

Of course, California alone will not decide it. Wisconsin seems close right now. If Sanders ekes out a victory it could help stop the claim by Clinton supporters that a Sanders victory is at 0% or near. NY would be difficult for Sanders to win. True, he is still the underdog, but what else is new? He always has been.

Sanders not only needs to win California and New York, he needs to win them by 20+% and even then it might not be enough. Sanders is currently slightly under 300 delegates behind Clinton. He should do very well in the caucuses this weekend which may net 40-50 delegates at most but after that almost all the caucuses in nearly all white states are over and he will need to start winning Primary states with minority populations by an average of about 20% to catch up. Not going to happen.

[Landslide Lyndon]

47% of the vote in CA in 2008 was non-white, it could be 50/50 this time.

That's seems to me too pessimistic. If the rest of the country is any indication the non-white vote will probably be around 55-60%. That alone makes it almost impossible for Sanders to win.

[tallguy23]

Hillary wins all four. California might be close, but I'll guess it's a 51-52% Clinton win.

[Blair]

Well it will probably be like Florida, Illinois, Ohio and Michigan- Bernie could pull an upset in one but other than that he's yet to prove he can win states like these

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

I'm guessing she still wins all four by wide margins?

[Vosem]

Hillary wins all. I suppose a slight chance of a Sanders win in California exists, but I strongly doubt it'll come to pass. The other three are safer than safe.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton remains the favorite in all four. How much of a favorite she is is unclear.

[The Other Castro]

NY: Likely Clinton
NJ: Likely Clinton
PA: Lean Clinton
CA: Tilt Clinton