Clinton vs Trump(with maps)

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Who wins this match up? Since its looking more likely and how will the map look?

Clinton 369
Trump 169

Edit: I gave Clinton AZ because of a article I read saying that Latinos are registering as US citizens in record numbers to vote against The Trumpster. Maybe that can sway AZ to Clinton by 2 or 3 points?

[Seneca]

In a vacuum, Hillary dominates. However, with the economy teetering on the brink of recession it seems quite likely that non-Democratic candidate will be heavily favored.

[Crumpets]

In a vacuum, Hillary dominates. However, with the economy teetering on the brink of recession it seems quite likely that non-Democratic candidate will be heavily favored.

Just like it was in 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014?

PS: Buy gold!

[Higgs]

I have to agree with TNVolunteer.

[°Leprechaun]

 Trump's only chance is to win all the grey states and flip VA; not likely at this point in time.

[Seneca]

In a vacuum, Hillary dominates. However, with the economy teetering on the brink of recession it seems quite likely that non-Democratic candidate will be heavily favored.

Just like it was in 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014?

PS: Buy gold!

I'm no perma-bear. Right now, however, we are in a particularly dire situation. US corporate profits are sliding, US manufacturing is at all time lows, the junk bond market is flashing red, the US energy sector is under significant pressure from historically low oil prices, and the US stock market is being propped up by corporate buy-backs which are financed by borrowing, a clearly unsustainable practice. Perhaps more importantly, China's miraculous growth is coming to an end, a disaster for commodity producers the world over and a key explanation for the deep recessions that are hitting countries like Brazil. The US is still one of the strongest ships on the global economic sea, despite all the aforementioned warning signs, but in a globalized economy we aren't immune from economic turmoil overseas.

Oh and I'd definitely advise against buying gold (lol).

[indysaff]

[Thunderbird is the word]

Trump-Walker 283
Clinton-Castro 255

[Sasquatch]

TRUMP - 282
Clinton - 256

[Stranger in a strange land]

 Trump's only chance is to win all the grey states and flip VA; not likely at this point in time.

Trump has no chance of winning VA because he's going to get blown out in NOVA and won't be able to make up for it downstate and in the Appalachians. PA and NH are both more likely to vote for him.

[Mallow]

My map as of 3/4/2016 is very similar to Spooky Mike's...



Amongst the swing states, I have AK, TX, IL, and GA (and NE's Omaha district) going to Trump, and AZ and NC going to Clinton. The prediction relies on Latinos strongly swinging Dem compared to 2012 with higher turnout, college-educated whites swinging Dem compared to 2012, and non-college-educated whites swinging slightly Rep with slightly higher turnout than 2012.

As percentages go...

[OSR stands with Israel]

In a vacuum, Hillary dominates. However, with the economy teetering on the brink of recession it seems quite likely that non-Democratic candidate will be heavily favored.

Just like it was in 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014?

PS: Buy gold!

Dems lost 63 seats in the house in 2010, and lost 9 seats in the Senate in 2014, and now are in the worst position in local and house races since the 1920s because of those 2 elections

[Thunderbird is the word]

Why does everyone have Hillary winning Colorado? I predict that there will be a YUGE defection of progressives to the Greens in that state and Colorado hates the Clinton's as a general rule.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

As usual, Atlas is overreacting.

[Sir Mohamed]

Hillary wins pretty easily. I think even AZ is in play in that scenario.

348 - 190

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

332-206.

[Sir Mohamed]

332-206.

LOL

[Thunderbird is the word]

Trump wins Vermont due to Sanders supporters staying home and/or voting for him.

[Sir Mohamed]

Trump wins Vermont due to Sanders supporters staying home and/or voting for him.

Of course. Obama only got 67% the last time.

[NHI]

Impossible to tell right now.

Most likely Trump victory map:

Trump: 280 EV
Clinton: 258 EV (give or take ME-02)

Most likely Clinton victory map:

Clinton: 332 EV
Trump: 206 EV

Both are plausible. Frankly, I cannot see Clinton doing any better than Obama '12 in this environment

[°Leprechaun]

Why does everyone have Hillary winning Colorado? I predict that there will be a YUGE defection of progressives to the Greens in that state and Colorado hates the Clinton's as a general rule.

Yes, Colorado could go for Trump, but all Clinton would need is either Ohio or Virginia (if she wins Nevada). I live in PA and it will not go for Trump if I have anything to say about it.
(currently I don't think there are any third parties on the ballot here)

[°Leprechaun]

Trump wins Vermont due to Sanders supporters staying home and/or voting for him.

If all the Sanders supporters in Vermont vote for Sanders it will go for him, not Trump.

[SingingAnalyst]

2012 map with FL flipped. FL, OH, IA, PA are extremely close.

Clinton/Castro 50.8% / 303 EV
Trump/Brown 47.3% / 235 EV

[standwrand]

only because Trump spends almost every day campaigning in PA and sends Kasich to campaign in other states

Donald Trump / John Kasich 279 EV, 49.6%
Hillary Clinton / John Hickenlooper 259 EV, 49.0%

[Illiniwek]

332-206.

LOL

WHAT?!?