morning consult: rubio exit not likely to change outcomes of future races
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  morning consult: rubio exit not likely to change outcomes of future races
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Author Topic: morning consult: rubio exit not likely to change outcomes of future races  (Read 604 times)
Matty
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« on: March 17, 2016, 05:29:19 PM »

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https://morningconsult.com/2016/03/marco-rubio-supporters-to-vote-for-cruz/
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2016, 05:31:12 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.
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Penelope
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« Reply #2 on: March 17, 2016, 05:36:09 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.

Rubio was hovering around 12% according to the Huffington Post aggregator.
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Matty
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« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2016, 05:36:30 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.

Admittedly it would have helped cruz in MO but that's it.
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Matty
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« Reply #4 on: March 17, 2016, 05:37:16 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.

Rubio was hovering around 12% according to the Huffington Post aggregator.

Great, so cruz would get around 5.5%. Besides MO, where would that have changed the outcome>
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: March 17, 2016, 05:38:52 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.

Rubio was hovering around 12% according to the Huffington Post aggregator.

But sinking very quickly.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #6 on: March 17, 2016, 05:59:01 PM »

It will slightly assist Cruz.

I could not imagine Rubio voters going to Trump.

It's pretty arrogant of Rubio to say "It's not the year to run a campaign of hope".

more like....

"It's not the year to run a campaign where you sound like a spoilt private school kid who missed out on being the teachers pet and started talking really quickly and attacking the boy who did."
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2016, 07:20:02 PM »

Problem is - how many Rubio supporters were left? what, 5% of the electorate? Maybe 8% in some places? If Trump is up by 10 in a lot of areas, this does little to beat his advantage.

Rubio was hovering around 12% according to the Huffington Post aggregator.

Great, so cruz would get around 5.5%. Besides MO, where would that have changed the outcome>

Asuming that 47% number, just these states:

Arkansas
Louisiana
North Carolina
Kentucky
South Carolina

Plus the ones Rubio has won:
Minnesota
Puerto Rico
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PaperKooper
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2016, 08:32:02 PM »

A Cruz win in South Carolina would have been BIG. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2016, 08:37:32 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.
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Vosem
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2016, 08:59:37 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2016, 09:05:26 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley

Fortunately the northeast can be counted on to reject a nut like Cruz.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2016, 09:36:04 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley

Majority of that being in the Northeast, Trump's best region.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #13 on: March 17, 2016, 10:42:17 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley

Fortunately the northeast can be counted on to reject a nut like Cruz.

I thought you weren't supporting Trump any more supposedly?
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #14 on: March 17, 2016, 10:46:34 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley

Fortunately the northeast can be counted on to reject a nut like Cruz.

I thought you weren't supporting Trump any more supposedly?

I'm ticked off with some of his distasteful views, but I've always said I would do anything to stop Cruz. If Kasich has a chance, then great, but he doesn't. And Bernie Sanders has beyond disgusted me for the last time. Plus, I can't stay mad at Donald for long. He's just so perfect - like a dream.

If we get Paul Ryan as a compromise candidate, I'd be quite ecstatic, but of what remains, there is no choice but Trump.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
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« Reply #15 on: March 17, 2016, 10:53:45 PM »

Okay - you're talking about races that already happened. Too late gents.

A little less than half the country is yet to happen, though Smiley

Fortunately the northeast can be counted on to reject a nut like Cruz.

I thought you weren't supporting Trump any more supposedly?

I'm ticked off with some of his distasteful views, but I've always said I would do anything to stop Cruz. If Kasich has a chance, then great, but he doesn't. And Bernie Sanders has beyond disgusted me for the last time. Plus, I can't stay mad at Donald for long. He's just so perfect - like a dream.

If we get Paul Ryan as a compromise candidate, I'd be quite ecstatic, but of what remains, there is no choice but Trump.

Ah, I guess we're on the opposite sides of it then: I don't really like Cruz but if it's a choice between civilization and savagery as seems likely, I will have to forgo any reservations and vote for Cruz. Beggars can't be choosers and I'd say I'm now a beggar.
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