Rasmussen National: Trump domination

[Lief 🗽]

Post Ides of March Rasmussen poll (change since Rubes/Carson dropped out)

Trump 43 (+7)
Cruz 28 (+11)
Kasich 21 (+9)

https://twitter.com/rasmussen_poll/status/710841049732792320

[Torie]

Kasich + Cruz > Trump does not = "Trump domination," which I might note are your words, rather than Rasmussen's, you naughty spin artist you. Alternatively, just why are lawyers so sucky when it comes to maths?

[Gustaf]

Kasich + Cruz > Trump does not = "Trump domination," which I might note are your words, rather than Rasmussen's, you naughty spin artist you. Alternatively, just why are lawyers so sucky when it comes to maths?

In a world of winner take all states it does though.

[Lief 🗽]

If this is the margin in every remaining state then Trump will win something like 80% of remaining delegates. It's domination in that sense.

[DrScholl]

Kasich + Cruz > Trump does not = "Trump domination," which I might note are your words, rather than Rasmussen's, you naughty spin artist you. Alternatively, just why are lawyers so sucky when it comes to maths?

Cruz and Kasich can't pool votes in the primaries.

[Torie]

If this is the margin in every remaining state then Trump will win something like 80% of remaining delegates. It's domination in that sense.

Well the excuse for gang banging Trump is based on total popular votes, not delegates, assuming Trump fails to secure a majority of the delegates. You think he has a majority in the bag, I understand. And you might be right, if Trump does as well in CA as the polls currently show (well maybe not), and/or the gang bang regarding Kasich and Cruz plotting successfully dividing up the spoils somehow is a fail. We shall see.

[IceSpear]

What is even the point of national polls now that more than half the country has voted? Just for funsies?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Remember the good old days when Rasmussen was an extension of RNC and was releasing  a poll every 5 minutes?
Fun times.

[Bigby]

Looks like there just isn't enough tactical voting! /s

[Gass3268]

Kasich being this close to Cruz only enables Trump.

[Crumpets]

The thing is, a national poll presumably includes states that have already voted, which include many heavily pro-Trump states. I imagine it wouldn't look as rosy if it was just the remaining states, although he'd probably still be in the lead.

[Alcon]

The thing is, a national poll presumably includes states that have already voted, which include many heavily pro-Trump states. I imagine it wouldn't look as rosy if it was just the remaining states, although he'd probably still be in the lead.

Keep in mind that future states are more likely to be winner-take-all, and some of the proportional states (like New York) look quite Trump-friendly.  Even if Trump doesn't win victories as big as in his previous states, he could still come away with larger delegate margins.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

The thing is, a national poll presumably includes states that have already voted, which include many heavily pro-Trump states. I imagine it wouldn't look as rosy if it was just the remaining states, although he'd probably still be in the lead.

Keep in mind that future states are more likely to be winner-take-all, and some of the proportional states (like New York) look quite Trump-friendly.  Even if Trump doesn't win victories as big as in his previous states, he could still come away with larger delegate margins.

New York is WTA by CD (if Trump can get 50 in most places). Sam has great details over on AAD, but if he's leading 65-25 or whatever the last New York poll showed, it will be a near sweep.

He's held under 50 in what? 3-4 CD's? That's 4 delegates for Cruz.