What will the rest of the map look like?

[ElectionsGuy]

[IceSpear]

It's interesting how similar the maps are.

[RR1997]

I think the map will look something like this:

Blue=Donald Trump
Gold=Cruz
Green=Kasich
Red=Rubio

NOTE: I shaded the states that have already voted >90%. I shaded the states that haven't voted yet at >30%.

This is the best case scenario for Kasich and the worst case scenario for Trump:

Blue=Donald Trump
Gold=Cruz
Green=Kasich
Red=Rubio

THIS IS THE ABSOLUTE BEST KASICH COULD DO. I can't see him doing any better than this.

Trump dominates.

[Thomas D]

Trump- Blue
Cruz- Red
Rubio- Gray
Kasich- Green

[Crumpets]

I honestly don't know who wins Washington, but I'd have to say Cruz seems unlikely; way too religious and socially conservative. Washington Republicans tend to go for the pro-business candidate around Seattle and the "libertarian" seeming candidate elsewhere, and I don't think Cruz really fits either bill.

[Mr. Morden]

I honestly don't know who wins Washington, but I'd have to say Cruz seems unlikely; way too religious and socially conservative. Washington Republicans tend to go for the pro-business candidate around Seattle and the "libertarian" seeming candidate elsewhere, and I don't think Cruz really fits either bill.

I don't know.  I haven't looked into this in any detail, but is there any evidence that Cruz is picking off at least some of the Paulistas now?  Notice that in the exit polls of the most recent primary states, in all the states where Cruz and Trump are the top two, Trump wins olds while Cruz wins youngs.  (Or at least, if he doesn't win youngs, he comes closer to winning them than he does to winning olds.)  This is actually a reversal of the situation six months ago, when the polls had Trump doing better among younger Republican voters.

Also remember that in the 2008 Washington caucus, it's quite possible that either Huckabee or Paul would have won if the vote counting hadn't been so incompetent or corrupt.

[RI]

I honestly don't know who wins Washington, but I'd have to say Cruz seems unlikely; way too religious and socially conservative. Washington Republicans tend to go for the pro-business candidate around Seattle and the "libertarian" seeming candidate elsewhere, and I don't think Cruz really fits either bill.

I don't know.  I haven't looked into this in any detail, but is there any evidence that Cruz is picking off at least some of the Paulistas now?  Notice that in the exit polls of the most recent primary states, in all the states where Cruz and Trump are the top two, Trump wins olds while Cruz wins youngs.  (Or at least, if he doesn't win youngs, he comes closer to winning them than he does to winning olds.)  This is actually a reversal of the situation six months ago, when the polls had Trump doing better among younger Republican voters.

Also remember that in the 2008 Washington caucus, it's quite possible that either Huckabee or Paul would have won if the vote counting hadn't been so incompetent or corrupt.

Yeah but WA is a primary this time so the Paulite faction should have much less influence on the outcome.

[Mr. Morden]

I honestly don't know who wins Washington, but I'd have to say Cruz seems unlikely; way too religious and socially conservative. Washington Republicans tend to go for the pro-business candidate around Seattle and the "libertarian" seeming candidate elsewhere, and I don't think Cruz really fits either bill.

I don't know.  I haven't looked into this in any detail, but is there any evidence that Cruz is picking off at least some of the Paulistas now?  Notice that in the exit polls of the most recent primary states, in all the states where Cruz and Trump are the top two, Trump wins olds while Cruz wins youngs.  (Or at least, if he doesn't win youngs, he comes closer to winning them than he does to winning olds.)  This is actually a reversal of the situation six months ago, when the polls had Trump doing better among younger Republican voters.

Also remember that in the 2008 Washington caucus, it's quite possible that either Huckabee or Paul would have won if the vote counting hadn't been so incompetent or corrupt.

Yeah but WA is a primary this time so the Paulite faction should have much less influence on the outcome.

True.  Of course, it's also two months away, and who knows where things will stand at that point.  For all we know, Kasich might be out of the race by then, and Cruz will be the only non-Trump option.

[Vosem]

Cruz wins every remaining state west of the Mississippi.

Kasich wins Indiana, Maryland, Connecticut.

_trump wins remainder (WI, WV, PA, NJ, DE, NY, RI).

[Crumpets]

Trump- Blue
Cruz- Red
Rubio- Gray
Kasich- Green

This looks pretty reasonable to me.

[dax00]

Trump- Blue
Cruz- Red
Rubio- Gray
Kasich- Green

I agree, with the exception of Kasich winning Maryland.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Cruz wins every remaining state west of the Mississippi.

Kasich wins Indiana, Maryland, Connecticut.

_trump wins remainder (WI, WV, PA, NJ, DE, NY, RI).

Kasich is not going to win Maryland or Connecticut. If I know anything about Indiana--which I certainly hope I do considering I'm dating someone from there and we talk about politics a lot--it's likelier to be Cruz country.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Ignore the shadings for both maps
Dems

Blue Clinton
Red Sanders



Blue Trump
Red Cruz
Green Kasich
Yellow Rubio
 
Republicans

[Orser67]

Trump- Blue
Cruz- Red
Rubio- Gray
Kasich- Green

This looks pretty reasonable to me.

Yeah, this map seems like the most likely to me too.

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Give me maps predicting the results, or as you think they'll happen I should say.

[Holmes]

Indiana and South Dakota most likely to go either way.

[/]

I've had this one for a few days:

[Holmes]

I've had this one for a few days:

Samesies.

[Mehmentum]

Indiana and South Dakota most likely to go either way.

I would also add Hawaii, West Virginia, and Kentucky as other possible 'swing states'.

[IceSpear]

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Democratic Nominee: Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

[Former Senator Haslam2020]

Drop your final prediction of the rest of the primaries below. I'll drop mine soon (making mine XD)

[Gass3268]

Dark Red: Trump already won
Light Red: Trump will win
Dark Green: Cruz already won
Light Green: Cruz will win
Dark Blue: Kasich already won
Grey: Kasich already won

Montana, Washington, and Wisconsin will be the 3 closest states.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Trump - 26
Cruz - 17
Kasich - 6
Rubio - 1 + D.C.

[SATW]

I thought Kasich wasn't on the ballot in PA?