Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread

[Mr. Morden]

Apparently, they reduced the number of polling places in Arizona to save money, and it's led to long lines:

http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/03/22/arizona-primary-voter-turnout-long-lines/82125816/

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[#TheShadowyAbyss]

It's gonna be a pretty boring night though, we pretty much know Cruz will do well in UT with Trump doing well in AZ

[Gass3268]

When is CNN switching over to Election Coverage?

It doesn't appear they'll be switching over anytime soon

The attacks in Belgium are awful, but I was hoping they would at least mix the coverage.

I'm hoping they'll switch over at the top of either the next two hours.  Erin Burnett normally comes on in 10 minutes and Anderson Cooper in 70 minutes.

MSNBC isn't going to switch coverage until it looks like 10pm. My guess is the other networks will be close to the same.

[Joe Biden 2020]

When is CNN switching over to Election Coverage?

It doesn't appear they'll be switching over anytime soon

The attacks in Belgium are awful, but I was hoping they would at least mix the coverage.

I'm hoping they'll switch over at the top of either the next two hours.  Erin Burnett normally comes on in 10 minutes and Anderson Cooper in 70 minutes.

MSNBC isn't going to switch coverage until it looks like 10pm. My guess is the other networks will be close to the same.

Before the attacks, CNN had a countdown clock that would have ended at 7:30 pm ET tonight.  Yeah, not likely.

[Classic Conservative]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

[muon2]

Is online voting really a good idea? That seems pretty susceptible to shenanigans.

Is online banking really a good idea? The value of shenanigans in that industry is probably higher, but I suspect most of us here use it. It's really about about how much one invests in the security of the system.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

[Vosem]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

[Coolface Sock #42069]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Hopefully Trump. He's been lucky so far that we haven't had any major storms during voting yet given that every primary thus far has taken place during winter.

I'd guess Trump. Cruz supporters come from groups that are more reliable voters.

[Matty]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

the exact opposite is true.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

Yeah that's the problem so who knows? Trump voters are more dedicated, but they're less reliable on average than Cruz/Kasich voters.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

the exact opposite is true.

Trump's voters are dedicated, but they're not reliable as a voting bloc, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated, but they are more reliable when it comes to voting. I'll concede that notion.

[Matty]

are there a lot of latino republicans in AZ?

[DINGO Joe]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

They reduced the number of polling places from 200 to 60 so is turnout really high? Who knows.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

are there a lot of latino republicans in AZ?

According to exit polls from Arizona in the last primary had Whites at 89%, Hispanics at 8%, Black/Asian/Other at 1%

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/az/

[The Other Castro]

Is online voting really a good idea? That seems pretty susceptible to shenanigans.

Is online banking really a good idea? The value of shenanigans in that industry is probably higher, but I suspect most of us here use it. It's really about about how much one invests in the security of the system.

Good point.

[Vosem]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

They reduced the number of polling places from 200 to 60 so is turnout really high? Who knows.

There are very long lines, therefore turnout is higher than expected. The number of polling places was presumably reduced because they felt the 200 were unnecessary.

[The Other Castro]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

They reduced the number of polling places from 200 to 60 so is turnout really high? Who knows.

There are very long lines, therefore turnout is higher than expected. The number of polling places was presumably reduced because they felt the 200 were unnecessary.

Or because they wanted to save money.

[Holmes]

There were reports of the long lines and chaos during the Nevada GOP caucus causing people to just up and leave, and Trump still dominated.

[/]

Yeah, the caucus in American Samoa should be going from 11:30 PM to 1:30 AM EST.

[yankeesfan]

Reports of exit polls showing Cruz with massive lead in Prescott Valley
Cruz - 50%
Trump - 33%
Kasich - 8%

(and tied in Prescott)

http://dcourier.com/news/2016/mar/22/courier-exit-polling-shows-cruz-leading-prescott-p/

[yankeesfan]

Reports of exit polls showing Cruz with massive lead in Prescott Valley
Cruz - 50%
Trump - 33%
Kasich - 8%

(and tied in Prescott)

http://dcourier.com/news/2016/mar/22/courier-exit-polling-shows-cruz-leading-prescott-p/

Benchmark said this about Prescott:

County: Yavapai
Population: 211,033
Biggest City: Prescott Valley, AZ
Expected Spread: Trump +8

Yavapai County, named after the original inhabitants which were known as the Yavapai people, is home to one of the highest concentrations of older voters we will see across the March 22nd primaries. Game, set, and match for Trump, right? Honestly, yes, this place is probably Trump's best county in the state save for the tiny county of La Paz. We haven't seen older counties like this save for retirement communities in Florida where Trump did very well. The number of votes in a hotly contested, nearly tie contest may make this county flip the race to Trump - we must watch it closely. That said, the evangelical rate is relatively high and there are a lot of bachelors degrees for an old community, which may help Cruz keep the margins down.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Reports of exit polls showing Cruz with massive lead in Prescott Valley
Cruz - 50%
Trump - 33%
Kasich - 8%

(and tied in Prescott)

http://dcourier.com/news/2016/mar/22/courier-exit-polling-shows-cruz-leading-prescott-p/

~30-32 thousand people voted in Yavapai county in 2012's GOP primary IIRC, compared to Maricopa county it's nothing though.

[Matty]

dude, if this exit poll showed trump up big, you would be all over it. Why the downplay?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

dude, if this exit poll showed trump up big, you would be all over it. Why the downplay?

Because it's not an official one? Because it is not Maricopa?