Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread (user search)
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  Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread  (Read 26285 times)
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« on: March 22, 2016, 10:51:58 AM »

Just a reminder: Utah was never a part of the Wild West. Think of the last Western flick that you saw set in Utah. Filmed in Utah? Maybe. Nice scenery. The usual elements of Western violence (cattle-trail ends, gold mining areas) weren't to be found in Utah.   

Mountain Meadow Massacre

Who needs typical when the atypical will do.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #1 on: March 22, 2016, 06:18:44 PM »

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

They reduced the number of polling places from 200 to 60 so is turnout really high? Who knows.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2016, 10:21:16 PM »

Wolf just gave the early numbers for Trump/Cruz/Kasich, but didn't mention the large number of votes for Rubio at all.


CNN website skips over Rubio altogether on the results page.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #3 on: March 22, 2016, 11:12:35 PM »

Cruz will beat "Other."  The Election Day votes in Maricopa County make that obvious.  Cruz's problem in mitigating the big loss, is that Trump may also be gaining some in Election Day votes.  Trump led Maricopa early votes 45.4%-20.2%.  He leads Election Day votes 53.7%-33.1%.  A huge improvement for Cruz, but also a big improvement for Trump.  If that pattern holds, Cruz will improve, but Trump may not decline much, or at all.  Caveat that it's only a few precincts, and Trump has fallen a bit in Yavapai with Election Day reports.

Where are you finding the breakout of early vs election day?
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