Republican Wild Western Tuesday results thread

[The Other Castro]

Is online voting really a good idea? That seems pretty susceptible to shenanigans.

[The Other Castro]

Glendale, AZ apparently has super high turnout due to mail-in ballot receiving failures. High turnout in Maricopa County could be good for Cruz.

[The Other Castro]

http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/?view=classic

Benchmark politics is tracking turnout pretty diligently.  Their prediction estimate released yesterday was Cruz 41% - Trump 38% - Kasich 13% - Other 8%

So they have Maricopa going for Cruz in a tied race I guess.

[The Other Castro]

Is online voting really a good idea? That seems pretty susceptible to shenanigans.

Is online banking really a good idea? The value of shenanigans in that industry is probably higher, but I suspect most of us here use it. It's really about about how much one invests in the security of the system.

Good point.

[The Other Castro]

I read that the long lines are driving voters away, who will that hurt???

Probably Cruz, Trump has really dedicated voters, Cruz voters aren't as dedicated.

All evidence to date has pointed to the exact opposite of this statement. Cruz has always done significantly better in low-turnout environments.

But long lines are usually indicative of high turnout, so...

They reduced the number of polling places from 200 to 60 so is turnout really high? Who knows.

There are very long lines, therefore turnout is higher than expected. The number of polling places was presumably reduced because they felt the 200 were unnecessary.

Or because they wanted to save money.

[The Other Castro]

If Cruz happens to upset tonight, I wonder if Trump will have a meltdown.

I think that this was the worst possible time for an upset -- it'll be drowned out by coverage of the Brussels attack.

Arizona is still a WTA state, and delegates are still delegates even if they don't provide media momentum.

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ ‏@DecisionDeskHQ  4h4 hours ago
Per the Vice-Chairman of the American Samoa GOP, John Raynar, results for their caucus will be available approximately 1:30am EDT.

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ ‏@DecisionDeskHQ  4h4 hours ago
Per the Vice-Chairman of the American Samoa GOP, John Raynar, results for their caucus will be available approximately 1:30am EDT.

Do they still think Hillary won Michigan?

While they may be god awful at calling races, I'm assuming they wouldn't just lie about American Samoan closing times for the fun of it.

[The Other Castro]

Bountiful, UT 17 tally, per Twitter:

Cruz 66
Kasich 41
Trump 12

That's pretty strong for Kasich.

[The Other Castro]

Wolf Blitzer: We're ready to make projections....as soon as we know something.

[The Other Castro]

So we should get something from Arizona pretty soon

Does anyone know what the rationale was for the 1 hour rule?

Probably so that people still waiting in line don't get discouraged.

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ ‏@DecisionDeskHQ  2m2 minutes ago
119k early for Trump
53k for Cruz
61k other

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ ‏@DecisionDeskHQ  1m1 minute ago
Per convo with American Samoa GOP vc, all delegates uncommitted. They'll be announcing who's going to the convention in a media email soon.

[The Other Castro]

cruz down to 59%!

Yes, Kasich in Sevier has brought Cruz down slightly.

wrong, it's SLC.

Are you looking at your twin brother's map?