Ted Cruz vs Trump head to head scenario
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  Ted Cruz vs Trump head to head scenario
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Question: say Kasich drops out today and endorses Cruz, Who will win nomination
#1
Trump
 
#2
Cruz
 
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Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Ted Cruz vs Trump head to head scenario  (Read 1129 times)
jman123
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« on: March 23, 2016, 11:58:36 AM »

How would Trump do head to head in remaining states?
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RR1997
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« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2016, 12:00:06 PM »
« Edited: March 23, 2016, 12:46:45 PM by RR1997 »

Trump.

Kasich dropping out would have little effect. Kasich voters would split evenly between Trump and Cruz.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2016, 12:11:51 PM »

Trump has already won virtually Cruz's entire base (the south). Most of the northeast has yet to go, and that's Trump's territory.
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dxu8888
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« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2016, 12:42:12 PM »
« Edited: March 23, 2016, 12:46:47 PM by dxu8888 »

So much delusion in this thread.

Look at the remaining states. The irreligious Northeast and West - This is easy pickings for Trump.

Trump easily won AZ and NV, will easily win CA too. I can't see Cruz winning anywhere in CA against Trump.
NY, NJ, PA, DE, RI - Trump will easily win these states against Cruz.

He could easily get delegates from these states to clinch.

Even if Cruz wins in Washington/Oregon/Wisconsin, it won't be enough to stop Trump.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: March 23, 2016, 03:39:34 PM »

Still TRUMP.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: March 23, 2016, 03:46:35 PM »

That whole West Virginia to Rhode Island stretch is Trump country, and that's a large section. Cruz can definitely compete in the Midwest and West, but not enough to make up for that.
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shua
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« Reply #6 on: March 23, 2016, 04:28:03 PM »

Cruz could probably keep Trump to about 100 delegates short to win before the convention, but Trump would still be way ahead.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #7 on: March 23, 2016, 04:38:58 PM »

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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #8 on: March 23, 2016, 05:04:23 PM »


delusion
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: March 23, 2016, 05:17:20 PM »

Trump would dominate the Northeast by enough to get the nomination. Cruz would get exactly 0 delegates out of New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania. Trump would get close enough in California.
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Matty
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« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2016, 05:25:09 PM »

Trump would dominate the Northeast by enough to get the nomination. Cruz would get exactly 0 delegates out of New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania. Trump would get close enough in California.

70% of PA delegates are unbound. Cruz would get many of those.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #11 on: March 23, 2016, 05:40:11 PM »

Cruz would sweep the west and get almost all of California so easily Cruz. He can also count on Rubio delegates (most likely) in the second round and can get the plurality by competing in the west and capturing Wisconsin (which he will anyway) and states like deleware and possibly maryland where more voters are college educated
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #12 on: March 23, 2016, 08:19:51 PM »

Cruz would win, but it would be an UGLY, UGLY win.  And a very narrow one, in which the GOP Establishment pulls out every stop.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #13 on: March 23, 2016, 08:22:00 PM »

Trump would end up with more delegates, of course, so he 'wins'.  There's a very good chance that he doesn't get a majority.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #14 on: March 23, 2016, 11:08:36 PM »

Trump would dominate the Northeast by enough to get the nomination. Cruz would get exactly 0 delegates out of New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania. Trump would get close enough in California.

70% of PA delegates are unbound. Cruz would get many of those.

If by "many" you mean "maybe 9 or 10 at most" then sure.
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dax00
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« Reply #15 on: March 24, 2016, 02:52:36 AM »

70% of PA delegates are unbound. Cruz would get many of those.
I see the PA unbound delegates as a game of roulette: red vs. black, 54 times. It depends how many delegate candidates each candidate can hope to have on the ballot. If by many, you mean around 40%, then sure.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #16 on: March 24, 2016, 09:29:56 AM »

The problem for Cruz is, that he has to win 90% of the remaining delegates. This won't happen. He could, however, prevent the Trumpster from getting the 1,237 delegates he needs (something that is likely anyway). But not sure Cruz would be nominated in a contested convention. Depends on how far Trump is away from a majority. If he's short ~100 delegates, he would probably end up as the nominee anyway.
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