ME-Critical Insights: Clinton leads Trump by 9, Sanders leads him by 26
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  ME-Critical Insights: Clinton leads Trump by 9, Sanders leads him by 26
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Author Topic: ME-Critical Insights: Clinton leads Trump by 9, Sanders leads him by 26  (Read 1688 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: March 24, 2016, 06:28:46 PM »

Hillary Clinton (D): 43%
Donald Trump (R): 34%

Bernie Sanders (D): 57%
Donald Trump (R): 31%

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http://static.bangordailynews.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/115/files/2016/03/CI-Tracking_Spring-2016.pdf?ref=inline

Obama won Maine by 15 points against Romney (56-41). Too bad that they didn't test her against Cruz or Kasich. Also, #NHMoreCompetitiveThanME.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2016, 06:29:23 PM »

Maine's working class is looking to deliver ME-2 to TRUMP. Joyous news!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2016, 06:44:32 PM »

Maine's working class is looking to deliver ME-2 to TRUMP. Joyous news!

The 270 freiwal has been breached! /s

Yeah, but those are probably good numbers for Poliquin.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: March 25, 2016, 04:17:48 AM »

Ouch, Trump probably does lead Hillary with that ME-02 elector.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: March 25, 2016, 05:28:13 AM »

The House is always the lagging indicator on how things will go on election day, Clinton leads and the Generic ballot is about 3-5 points, Im sure Emily Cain will win.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #5 on: March 25, 2016, 11:39:16 AM »

I wonder if Cruz could carry 3 of the 4 votes against Clinton?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #6 on: March 25, 2016, 12:46:55 PM »

I wonder if Cruz could carry 3 of the 4 votes against Clinton?

Cruz wouldn't get 45% statewide.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: March 26, 2016, 05:10:47 PM »

I wonder if Cruz could carry 3 of the 4 votes against Clinton?

In Maine? Cruz won't get 40% of the vote there. The only state that could reasonably split its electoral votes in November is Nebraska. Not that there are any polls out to suggest that such will happen, such happened in 2008, when Barack Obama won the Second Congressional District of Nebraska.

NE-01 (eastern Nebraska, including Lincoln but excluding most of Greater Omaha) votes like Kansas.

NE-02 (Greater Omaha) votes much like Indiana.

NE-03  (thinly-populated central and western Nebraska, including Grand Island and Scottsbluff)  votes much like Wyoming.

The state on the whole is one of the most R-leaning states in the US and has not gone for a Democratic nominee since 1964.

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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: March 26, 2016, 05:27:20 PM »

Looks like junk. Maine isn't going to be close, and ME-02 is fool's gold. Or maybe a fool's penny would be a more accurate statement.
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« Reply #9 on: March 26, 2016, 05:28:37 PM »

Looks like junk. Maine isn't going to be close, and ME-02 is fool's gold. Or maybe a fool's penny would be a more accurate statement.

So Sanders being up 26 points is junk? Tongue
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« Reply #10 on: March 26, 2016, 06:23:01 PM »

Looks like junk. Maine isn't going to be close, and ME-02 is fool's gold. Or maybe a fool's penny would be a more accurate statement.

So Sanders being up 26 points is junk? Tongue

I doubt it would be that lopsided, and there certainly wouldn't be a 17-point difference between Sanders and Clinton. Considering its proximity to NH, I'm sure there must be a strong angry sexist female portion of the electorate in Maine.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: March 26, 2016, 06:27:38 PM »

If its a 2004 tight election ME 2 will be close. But Clinton has exPanded her lead to 6 points and it looks like a D lean year, at least at Senate and WH level
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jfern
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« Reply #12 on: March 26, 2016, 07:26:32 PM »

If its a 2004 tight election ME 2 will be close. But Clinton has exPanded her lead to 6 points and it looks like a D lean year, at least at Senate and WH level

It's a 271 firewall now, though.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: March 26, 2016, 08:47:46 PM »

Not really, if you add Va, its 284.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #14 on: March 26, 2016, 08:50:01 PM »

Not really, if you add Va, its 284.
The freiwall has been upgraded!
Soon it will be the 538 freiwall.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: March 26, 2016, 11:36:59 PM »

Maine's working class is looking to deliver ME-2 to TRUMP. Joyous news!

The 270 freiwal has been breached! /s

Yeah, but those are probably good numbers for Poliquin.

If Trump is winning ME-2, then yeah, Poliquin is winning by at least 10. Emily Cain is such a disastrous recruit and a poor fit for the district, and of course the smart leadership at the DCCC is EXCITED to run her again.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #16 on: March 26, 2016, 11:42:24 PM »

Not really, if you add Va, its 284.

Va is safe 4 the dems, but looosin CO willl be bigger donFALL. gardner cannt run on beating 272 freiwall, Benettt will loose but duckWOrth will win votes + shARE with hi8m for a 52/47 Dem senit majorite.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: March 27, 2016, 07:06:20 AM »

Frazier is a poor recruit for the GOP.
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