Democratic Freak States Holy Saturday results thread (1st caucuses begin @1pmET)

[The Other Castro]

That HAS to be a glitch.

Probably, seeing as PredictIt still has Sanders as a 94% favorite to win.

[The Other Castro]

Based on this Guardian page, results might be coming in later than expected.

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/26/live-results-alaska-hawaii-washington-caucuses

Alaska: Results expected after 4PM EST
Washington: Results expected after 5PM EST
Hawaii: Results expected after Midnight EST

[The Other Castro]

Benchmark Politics ‏@benchmarkpol  1m1 minute ago
All 5 delegates at one University of Washington precinct go to Sanders, as expected.

[The Other Castro]

Sanders getting +70% in a combination of some Seattle precincts according to CNN.

[The Other Castro]

Seems The Guardian may be wrong on timing, because Benchmark Politics says results are coming in very soon (I'm assuming for Washington).

[The Other Castro]

I have a feeling Sanders could break 70% based on these initial reports.

[The Other Castro]

Record shattering turnout in Anchorage, Alaska. The fire marshal is getting mad.

[The Other Castro]

What are the chances of Bernie getting >70% in WA

Pretty decent odds at the moment.

[The Other Castro]

Dear lord, this forum is about to go crazy hyping up Sanders' hopeless candidacy again, isn't it?

Only if he somehow ties in NY.

[The Other Castro]

There's a raw total precinct count on some Reddit google doc showing Sanders leading around 79-21.

[The Other Castro]

No1 said he will CA BY 70% you troll.

And Republicans will win NH in the general... Bernie has less than zero chance of winning the nomination, sorry.

But Republicans might win NH in the general. I have serious doubts that you've ever been to NH, or known anyone from NH.

*TN Volunteer implodes*

[The Other Castro]

Looks like Sanders could be closing the gap by over 50 delegates from Washington alone.

[The Other Castro]

Sorry if this was mentioned before, but does Alaska have a 15% threshold?

[The Other Castro]

The Berniebots celebrating this Alaska win reminds me of the Romney supporters clapping and cheering when Alaska was called for them, even though they had already lost the election an hour ago.

No need to be salty just because Sanders won a state.

[The Other Castro]

Bernie even won blacks in Vermont.

ahahahahahahahahaha You don't realize how ridiculous you sound, do you?

'BERNIE DID WELL WITH MINORITIES!!!!'

- 'When and Where?'

- 'WITH...UH... BLACKS!!!'

- 'Wait... what? Where?'

- 'IN...... UH........ VERMONT!'

Do you feel this annoyed because Clinton is not doing so well in these states or because you feel the campaign you support is potentially threatened and could have the nomination swept from under in a reverse sweep a la southern Clinton states?

Such a reverse sweep isn't happening and you know it. NY, PA, CA, MD, DE and NJ aren't 90%+ White so Bernie won't win there. I don't give a sh*t about Clinton losing Alaska, Montana or Idaho lol.

Then maybe try bringing it down to like a 4. You're currently at an 8.

[The Other Castro]

I'm prepared to hold my nose and vote for either candidate in November, but let's dispel with this fiction that Clinton is more electable than Sanders. The polls simply prove that wrong. The only two things Hillary has going for her in GE electability are support from neocons (who are starting to openly endorse her) and the fact that her reputation among independents is so damaged that even the dirtiest attacks from Trump cannot make it any worse. (which is actually quite a compelling argument in her favor, but still)

The only thing polls prove is how much people care or don't care about polls. It's still way too early to get anything of value out of them.

[The Other Castro]

Assuming they are correct in this, this probably bodes well for Sanders in Hawaii:

Benchmark Politics ‏@benchmarkpol  2m2 minutes ago
Precinct 1930 and 1932, both in one of the most asian areas of Seattle, went 70-75% Sanders.

[The Other Castro]

So, I'm just tuning in. Does anybody have precinct-by-precinct data? I want to see if Clinton hit viability in mine, because if not, my absentee vote went to Sanders.

Which precinct?

[The Other Castro]

I don't think we'll hear from Hawaii for a few more hours.

[The Other Castro]

CNN has Alaska 100% reporting, with Sanders winning 80.7% to 19.3%.

[The Other Castro]

Many Sanders supporters here sound like they don't have hope. Some of us still do. But from what I have seen elsewhere there is still a lot of enthusiasm for Sanders (just look at his rallies). Sanders supporters here tend to be more cautious and "conservative" as to his chance of winning this than do most Sanders supporters in general. Feel the bern.

Enthusiasm is nice and all, but realistically nominations are decided by delegates and cold hard math. To have a chance at getting the nomination, Sanders would need to win PA, tie in NY, overperform in all the states that favor him, and win CA by more than 20. That just doesn't seem possible.

[The Other Castro]

Benchmark politics has this btw:

[The Other Castro]

From the Twitterverse: Sanders winning South Kona precincts 437-97.

[The Other Castro]

Looking like a 60+% win for Sanders in Hawaii so far.

[The Other Castro]

Someone (I'm assuming a Precinct Captain) is tweeting pictures of a bunch of official looking results papers for all the district 23 precincts in Hawaii.

23-01: 11 Sanders, 3 Clinton
23-02: 221 Sanders, 81 Clinton
23-03: 6 Sanders, 4 Clinton       
23-04: 158 Sanders, 70 Clinton
23-05: 188 Sanders, 131 Clinton