Poor Kansas

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Just 5 days ago, they were Bernie's 2nd best state. Now they've been demoted to 7th place. Here's the top 7

Vermont 86.1%
Alaska 81.6%
Utah 79.3%
Idaho 78.1%
Washington 72.7%
Hawaii currently 70.6%
Kansas 67.7%

[Fusionmunster]

White people sure do love Sanders.

[RaphaelDLG]

White people sure do love Sanders.

White Democrats.  Overall black and brown people probably like Sanders better than the general white population does.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

[Fusionmunster]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

[Boston Bread]

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

Maybe but the overwhelmingly non-white bush areas went 80% Sanders.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

He must have won minorities to get 81% of the vote.

[RaphaelDLG]

I bet in Alaska even the Democrats really love their guns, too.  That might be playing into it.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

And they got eliminated from the NCAA tournament today. Goodbye, Selfish Bill!

[Xing]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Embarrassing race-politicking from the Hillbots ITT. 

[IceSpear]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

He must have won minorities to get 81% of the vote.

Looks like he did at least as well in the Native majority areas as he did in the state as a whole.

[Boston Bread]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

He might do better in MT, ND (if it's a primary), OR, WV. I think he'll win by 22+ points in at least one.

[Shadows]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

Might is the word - WV is surely gonna beat the number in a couple of weeks & a couple of other states will!

[Xing]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

Based on how he overperformed Obama in WA, I wouldn't be surprised if he does better in OR than in NH.

[IceSpear]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

Based on how he overperformed Obama in WA, I wouldn't be surprised if he does better in OR than in NH.

It's possible, but remember OR is closed. I think it'll be close to NH.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

Too many Natives in Alaska for that.

[Xing]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

Based on how he overperformed Obama in WA, I wouldn't be surprised if he does better in OR than in NH.

It's possible, but remember OR is closed. I think it'll be close to NH.

Right, he won't crack 70%, but considering Obama won 59-41 in 2008, I think Sanders could get 61-63%.

[Shadows]

I feel worse for NH. It was supposed to be his second-best state. Now it's in 9th place.

It might stay as his second best primary.

Based on how he overperformed Obama in WA, I wouldn't be surprised if he does better in OR than in NH.

It's possible, but remember OR is closed. I think it'll be close to NH.

Right, he won't crack 70%, but considering Obama won 59-41 in 2008, I think Sanders could get 61-63%.

The parts near Oregon were his best - He did like 75-80% in most areas comfortably. There is still time. I see no reason for him not to crack the 60% even if it is closed. If it was open, I would say he would have done 70-75% confidently.

[Alcon]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

Too many Natives in Alaska for that.

Caucus turnout dynamics are awful.  If there's not good organization in the Native areas (not a surprise), it's possible that almost no one could turnout.  You'll notice this pattern in states like Idaho: there are clearly some areas with nearly zero Democratic organization, and those places had godawful turn out versus (already modest) Obama vote totals.  Native areas may have that problem even worse.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

Too many Natives in Alaska for that.

Caucus turnout dynamics are awful.  If there's not good organization in the Native areas (not a surprise), it's possible that almost no one could turnout.  You'll notice this pattern in states like Idaho: there are clearly some areas with nearly zero Democratic organization, and those places had godawful turnout versus (already modest) Obama vote totals.  Native areas may have that problem even worse.

Alaska has precinct delegates, and the number of precinct delegates are the same regardless of turnout, and Bernie got around the same 80% in areas with a high native population.

[Lyin' Steve]

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, that didn't last long, it looks like Hawaii probably dropped them to 7th place.

[Alcon]

White people sure do love Sanders.

Alaska is only 62% non Hispanic white.

Im sure most caucus goes in Alaska tonight were lily white.

Too many Natives in Alaska for that.

Caucus turnout dynamics are awful.  If there's not good organization in the Native areas (not a surprise), it's possible that almost no one could turnout.  You'll notice this pattern in states like Idaho: there are clearly some areas with nearly zero Democratic organization, and those places had godawful turnout versus (already modest) Obama vote totals.  Native areas may have that problem even worse.

Alaska has precinct delegates, and the number of precinct delegates are the same regardless of turnout, and Bernie got around the same 80% in areas with a high native population.

I know.  I'm only warning those caucus areas may be extremely low turnout or, where that's plausible, have a way disproportionate share of white voters.  I'm not saying I think Sanders probably lost Native voters -- that can't be inferred from the data.  I'm just saying be careful with the confidence of the inference.

On the other hand, it's pretty damn obvious that Sanders must have done at least decently with non-whites in Hawai'i.