Will Trump get 1,237 delegates?
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  Will Trump get 1,237 delegates?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No, but he will be the nominee		  
#3
No, he won't be the nominee (brokered convention)		  
#4
Yes, but he won't be the nominee		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 92

Author Topic: Will Trump get 1,237 delegates?  (Read 2370 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: March 29, 2016, 07:33:29 AM »
Well?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #1 on: March 29, 2016, 07:42:46 AM »
It will come down to California.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #2 on: March 29, 2016, 07:54:27 AM »
He will get close and then get enough unpledged delegates to be the nominee.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #3 on: March 29, 2016, 07:59:31 AM »
I dont think so.

If Kasich and Cruz run effective campaigns, the Trump Train will slow.
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dax00
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« Reply #4 on: March 29, 2016, 08:01:33 AM »
Quote from: pppolitics on March 29, 2016, 07:54:27 AM
He will get close and then get enough unpledged delegates to be the nominee.
Yes, especially those from Pennsylvania. I can't see him taking less than 15 unpledged from Pennsylvania. The voters generally don't know who on the ballot supports whom, so I figure around 1/3 of 51.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: March 29, 2016, 08:07:12 AM »
Where is "yes, but he won't be the nominee?" He's going to get the necessary number, Cruz's stealth campaign is going to allow there campaign to have the majority of the rules committee, which will block Trump from getting nominated on the first ballot. Which will result in Cruz getting elected on one of the subsequent ballots.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #6 on: March 29, 2016, 08:16:04 AM »
Yes.  It won't happen until June 7th, of course, but I think it will happen.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: March 29, 2016, 08:27:43 AM »
No, he will end up not more than 1,000 delegates.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #8 on: March 29, 2016, 08:31:12 AM »
If Trump goes into the RNC with fewer than 1,237 pledged delegates, there will be a concerted effort to prevent a first-ballot nomination.  After that...

(Michael Jackson eating popcorn dot jpg)
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Democratic Cynicalism
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« Reply #9 on: March 29, 2016, 08:42:09 AM »
Quote from: Meclazine on March 29, 2016, 07:59:31 AM
I dont think so.

If Kasich and Cruz run effective campaigns, the Trump Train will slow.

Good luck with that.

He'll get close, and then wrap it up in unpledged delegates in time for the first ballot.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #10 on: March 29, 2016, 08:45:52 AM »
More likely than not, but if he falls short it will only be narrowly and he will be the Republican nominee. It's going to happen, folks.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #11 on: March 29, 2016, 08:54:45 AM »
I say no and Cruz gets the nomination at a contested convention.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #12 on: March 29, 2016, 09:00:22 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 29, 2016, 08:07:12 AM
Where is "yes, but he won't be the nominee?" He's going to get the necessary number, Cruz's stealth campaign is going to allow there campaign to have the majority of the rules committee, which will block Trump from getting nominated on the first ballot. Which will result in Cruz getting elected on one of the subsequent ballots.

that's my guess as well, yeah
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: March 29, 2016, 09:06:40 AM »
If Trump gets to the convention he better bring a lot of money with him because he will get crushed with delegates especially delegates in states including Louisana and other ninga delegates.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #14 on: March 29, 2016, 09:42:10 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 29, 2016, 08:07:12 AM
Where is "yes, but he won't be the nominee?" He's going to get the necessary number, Cruz's stealth campaign is going to allow there campaign to have the majority of the rules committee, which will block Trump from getting nominated on the first ballot. Which will result in Cruz getting elected on one of the subsequent ballots.
Updated.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #15 on: March 29, 2016, 09:50:33 AM »
Quote from: Democratic Cynicalism on March 29, 2016, 08:42:09 AM
Good luck with that.

He'll get close, and then wrap it up in unpledged delegates in time for the first ballot.

"This will be our final stand."  If the GOP as a party cannot in this scenario whip the delegation together and prevent a Trump nomination, they are dead as a party.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #16 on: March 29, 2016, 09:52:36 AM »
Cruz is inevitable.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #17 on: March 29, 2016, 09:55:26 AM »
No, and Kasich will win the nomination in a contested convention.  The party bosses are too afraid of Trump or Cruz to take a chance on either one.
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Slow Learner
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« Reply #18 on: March 29, 2016, 09:56:24 AM »
Just like Rubio.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #19 on: March 29, 2016, 09:59:26 AM »
No. We've hit Peak Trump. It's all downhill for him from here (and not in a good way).
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #20 on: March 29, 2016, 10:14:31 AM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on March 29, 2016, 09:55:26 AM
No, and Kasich will win the nomination in a contested convention.  The party bosses are too afraid of Trump or Cruz to take a chance on either one.

i'm rather afraid the party bosses don't have a choice
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #21 on: March 29, 2016, 10:35:49 AM »
Quote from: evergreen on March 29, 2016, 10:14:31 AM
i'm rather afraid the party bosses don't have a choice

Who are the Trump delegates?  Are they party people, or are they Trump true believers?  If the rest of the delegation says to the 1150 Trump delegates, "no," what then?  Can the party tighten the screws? ("Fall in line or go in our book of shame and you can forget about serving our party in any capacity ever again.")
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Gustaf
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« Reply #22 on: March 29, 2016, 10:45:11 AM »
Quote from: Beef on March 29, 2016, 10:35:49 AM
Quote from: evergreen on March 29, 2016, 10:14:31 AM
i'm rather afraid the party bosses don't have a choice

Who are the Trump delegates?  Are they party people, or are they Trump true believers?  If the rest of the delegation says to the 1150 Trump delegates, "no," what then?  Can the party tighten the screws? ("Fall in line or go in our book of shame and you can forget about serving our party in any capacity ever again.")

Varies I believe, a lot of them will be party people though.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #23 on: March 29, 2016, 11:03:18 AM »
Quote from: pppolitics on March 29, 2016, 07:54:27 AM
He will get close and then get enough unpledged delegates to be the nominee.
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Holmes
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« Reply #24 on: March 29, 2016, 11:06:33 AM »
If he wins Wisconsin comfortably, I see a path to 1,237 delegates. Otherwise, he'll be 50-100 short, but I think he'll still end up being the nominee.
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