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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter, Justice TJ)
| | |-+  The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread
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Author Topic: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread  (Read 109081 times)
Medal506
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E: 7.55, S: 5.83

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« Reply #25 on: April 11, 2016, 04:08:57 pm »
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President Ted Cruz
Vice President Scott Walker
Secretary of State John Bolton



Democratic Primary

Elizabeth Warren Nominee
Andrew Coumo
Cory Booker
Bernie Sanders
Donald J Trump
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb



General Election

Electoral votes

Cruz 443 - Warren 95



Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada

New Hampshire
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Ted Bessell
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« Reply #26 on: April 11, 2016, 07:54:32 pm »
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Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada

New Hampshire


TN Volunteer would be proud.
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Trump has made a habit of raising a middle digit to reality, turning that middle digit into a knife, and stabbing reality through the heart.

Al gore is fake news
ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #27 on: April 11, 2016, 07:56:29 pm »
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Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada

New Hampshire


TN Volunteer would be proud.

Are we sure that this poster isn't him?
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Roy Moore for Senate!
Ted Bessell
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« Reply #28 on: April 11, 2016, 08:04:41 pm »
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Swing stages

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii 
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Delaware
Maryland
Florida
North Carolina
Arizona
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Virginia
West Virginia
Ohio
Indiana
Colorado
Nevada

New Hampshire


TN Volunteer would be proud.

Are we sure that this poster isn't him?

No. It wouldn't surprise me in the least, though.
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Trump has made a habit of raising a middle digit to reality, turning that middle digit into a knife, and stabbing reality through the heart.

Al gore is fake news
ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #29 on: April 11, 2016, 08:33:16 pm »
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I left blank the states that were unclear based on the rest, but I guess that Warren is just a Northeast candidate in this map.  Even all of the others would only get her to 90.
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Roy Moore for Senate!
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #30 on: April 11, 2016, 08:52:25 pm »
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Guys, can we please leave your own personal predictions of who should run or what the electoral map will look like for other threads?  There are plenty of other threads for that.  This thread is for tracking news on what the prospective 2020 presidential candidates are doing.

The news today is that Mike Lee is looking to move into the Senate leadership:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/lee-leadership-senate-221818

Quote
Sen. Mike Lee will run for a Republican leadership post currently held by Sen. John Barrasso, a surprise move that instantly roils the Senate GOP.

The announcement could set up a clash between the first-term Utah senator and Barrasso, a low-key Wyoming senator, for the No. 4 slot of Republican Policy Committee chairman. Barrasso is eligible to serve one more two-year term after this year, though GOP leaders are term-limited to three two-year terms. GOP leadership elections typically occur at the of the year before the new session.

I leave it to you to decipher whether that means Lee is more or less likely to run for president in a few years.
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #31 on: April 11, 2016, 10:38:04 pm »
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Guys, can we please leave your own personal predictions of who should run or what the electoral map will look like for other threads?  There are plenty of other threads for that.  This thread is for tracking news on what the prospective 2020 presidential candidates are doing.

The news today is that Mike Lee is looking to move into the Senate leadership:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/lee-leadership-senate-221818

Quote
Sen. Mike Lee will run for a Republican leadership post currently held by Sen. John Barrasso, a surprise move that instantly roils the Senate GOP.

The announcement could set up a clash between the first-term Utah senator and Barrasso, a low-key Wyoming senator, for the No. 4 slot of Republican Policy Committee chairman. Barrasso is eligible to serve one more two-year term after this year, though GOP leaders are term-limited to three two-year terms. GOP leadership elections typically occur at the of the year before the new session.

I leave it to you to decipher whether that means Lee is more or less likely to run for president in a few years.


I wasn't making a prediction- I was just putting his into a map form.  Sorry, though!
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Roy Moore for Senate!
BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #32 on: April 11, 2016, 11:07:15 pm »
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If a Republican wins, Julian Castro or Sherrod Brown can be possibilities
Sherrod Brown does not want to be President.
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ColonelSanchez
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« Reply #33 on: April 12, 2016, 02:21:38 pm »
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Rubio might as well run for POTUS again. Being demolished a second time in a longshot presidential bid is not as bad as being demolished by Putnam in the gubernatorial primary.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #34 on: April 12, 2016, 08:50:18 pm »
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In yet another sign that Rubio is looking to run again, he's apparently planning to avoid taking any job on Wall Street because it would be a political liability for a future run:

http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2016/04/05/rubio-thinks-wall-st-is-kiss-death-for-second-run-at-white-house.html

Quote
But Rubio has said in these discussions that from a political standpoint he will find it difficult to take any job that is related to Wall Street given the negative stigma now attached to the banking business following the 2008 financial collapse.
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“Marco wants to make some money but he doesn’t want to make it on Wall Street,” said one GOP operative with close ties to Rubio. “He saw what happened to others with Wall Street connections this year and he doesn’t want that albatross.”
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Rubio, these people say, could go on a speaking tour, given his fascinating life story as the son of Cuban immigrants who settled in Miami after escaping the oppression of the Castro regime. But again, the entities that pay the biggest fees are those with the biggest possible conflicts, such as law firms, hedge funds and banks.

One person who spoke to Rubio said the Florida senator (and well-known Miami Dolphins football fan) recently joked about his lack of options. “He said I want to be president of the U.S. and the Dolphins but both of those jobs are taken,” this person said.
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« Reply #35 on: April 12, 2016, 09:05:41 pm »
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Because I only started this thread a few weeks ago, I'm still catching up on news from months ago.  E.g., in February, Justin Amash sounded like someone with presidential ambitions:

http://rare.us/story/would-justin-amash-run-for-president/

Quote
Rare: Many libertarians are dying to know: Would you consider running for president some day?

Justin Amash: It’s important that we have a strong libertarian voice running for president. And it’s important that we win. So, yes.
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Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

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Young Texan
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« Reply #36 on: April 14, 2016, 09:41:49 am »
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Matt Bevin would be a fantastic candidate.
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Endorsements for elections
NH-02: Ann Kusteth the Great


JohnathanOHughes
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« Reply #37 on: April 17, 2016, 03:36:46 pm »
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If Hillary Clinton wins in 2016:
Democratic: Hillary Clinton/Thomas Perez
Republican: Marco Rubio/John Kasich x
[Republicans win in a landslide]

If Kasich wins in 2016:
Democratic: Elizabeth Warren/Andrew Cuomo
Republican: John Kasich/Marco Rubio x
[Kasich reelected in sizable victory]

-If Cruz or Trump wins nomination in 2016, they automatically loose to Hillary Clinton, they are not even within 8 points of her, but Kasich is 7 up in the latest poll.
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daveosupremo
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« Reply #38 on: April 19, 2016, 12:52:44 am »
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Feel The Cotton!

(That's actually clever considering that cotton is a material you can feel #JokeExplainer)
Pick Cotton! The ads write themselves.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #39 on: April 19, 2016, 06:10:21 am »
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Because I only started this thread a few weeks ago, I'm still catching up on news from months ago.  E.g., in February, Justin Amash sounded like someone with presidential ambitions:

http://rare.us/story/would-justin-amash-run-for-president/

Quote
Rare: Many libertarians are dying to know: Would you consider running for president some day?

Justin Amash: It’s important that we have a strong libertarian voice running for president. And it’s important that we win. So, yes.


tbh I'd rather have Cruz than this guy
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Ted Bessell
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« Reply #40 on: April 19, 2016, 04:54:24 pm »
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Feel The Cotton!

(That's actually clever considering that cotton is a material you can feel #JokeExplainer)
Pick Cotton! The ads write themselves.

He'd do awful among black voters with that slogan... Tongue
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Trump has made a habit of raising a middle digit to reality, turning that middle digit into a knife, and stabbing reality through the heart.

Al gore is fake news
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #41 on: April 20, 2016, 07:51:28 pm »
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Ryan not ruling out a run for president in 2020 or beyond:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/will-paul-ryan-run-for-president-222189

Quote
Asked in an interview with CNN late Tuesday whether his repeated comments that he would not seek or accept the GOP nomination this year would preclude him from ever running for the presidency, Ryan demurred.

“Well, no, but I don’t think that far down the road," the Wisconsin Republican said. "I made a decision in this cycle for 2016 not to run for president."
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Benedicamus Domino
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« Reply #42 on: April 20, 2016, 09:13:04 pm »
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Feel The Cotton!

(That's actually clever considering that cotton is a material you can feel #JokeExplainer)
Pick Cotton! The ads write themselves.
That's sounds like a slavery quote
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"Benjamin Franklin reminded his colleagues at the Constitutional Convention, to begin by bowing their head in prayer. I remind you, we’re going to start saying Merry Christmas again.” Donald John Trump
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #43 on: April 21, 2016, 05:50:19 am »
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Christie says it’s his intention to return to the private sector when his term ends, but says “you never say never” on a future run for president or VP:

http://nj1015.com/christie-its-time-for-me-to-make-some-money/
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« Reply #44 on: April 21, 2016, 11:14:04 am »
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Feel The Cotton!

Sounds like an ad slogan for a tampon.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #45 on: April 22, 2016, 03:12:59 am »
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Susana Martinez is using her PAC like someone with an eye on national office, whether that be the presidency or the vice presidency:

http://www.dailyjournal.net/view/story/366095d9fa6b4ebaa91c291c2c1f11a2/NM--New-Mexico-Governor-Fundraising

Quote
Second-term Gov. Susana Martinez is raising money through a political action committee as if she still is a contender, and lavishing more funds than ever on a Republican strategist while taking her tough-talking agenda on immigration issues and taxes to out-of-state audiences.
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Martinez has crisscrossed the country on fundraising forays for Republican causes the past two years. Her tenure as chairwoman of the Republican Governors Association coincides with large contributions, including $1 million from billionaire casino owner Sheldon Adelson, though 2016 receipts are not yet public.

At the same time, the former district attorney from Las Cruces cares for a developmentally disabled sister who accompanied her to New York this week.

Speculation about a vice presidential candidacy has been dampened by an embarrassing episode at the governor's holiday staff party at a Santa Fe hotel in December, as well as a grand jury investigation — recently dropped — into adviser McCleskey's handling of payments to his company from Martinez's inaugural committee account.

In other Martinez news, she’s just gone hard after Trump, so I wouldn’t be expecting her to show up on his veep list in the near future:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/04/19/new-mexico-gov-susana-martinez-makes-sharp-critique-of-trump-at-rga-donor-event/
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Watch Dave being briefed by the mods.

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morgieb
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« Reply #46 on: April 22, 2016, 10:00:41 am »
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Feel The Cotton!

Sounds like an ad slogan for a tampon.
TAMPON TOM FOR 2020
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« Reply #47 on: April 22, 2016, 10:49:32 am »
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Donald J Trump
Martin O'Malley
Jim Webb
I don't think Trump will run as a Democrat.  O'Malley and Webb are probably done, unless they get a Secretaryship and run on their successes in that.
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It is bin sed that democrasee is the worst form o government except the others that hath been tried.

-Winstin Kurshill

Pepool I indors:
-Andrew Cuomo
-Joe Kennedy
-Doug LaFollette
-jack Dingel
-Roberg Harron


Mr resukts

-4.13

+3.3

sportydude
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« Reply #48 on: April 25, 2016, 01:17:13 pm »
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Can Tom Cotton run for both Senate and President?
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CXSmith
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« Reply #49 on: April 25, 2016, 01:21:03 pm »
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Can Tom Cotton run for both Senate and President?

The AR legislature passed a law recently specifically so that Cotton could.
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Northeastern Assemblyman, January 11, 2016-May 6, 2016
Northeastern Lieutenant Governor, February 28, 2016-May 6, 2016
Senator from the Northeast, May 6, 2016-June 10, 2016
Atlasian Representative, June 10, 2016-June 13, 2016
Senator from Lincoln, June 13, 2016-August 22, 2016
Lincoln Assemblyman, February 21, 2017-
Speaker of the Lincoln Assembly, April 12, 2017-
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