The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread

[Free Bird]

Seems they dont have much faith in Donald

[Kleine Scheiße]

I just received an email from the O'Malley campaign thanking me for my financial support and it closed with a statement that we should "never stop fighting". It was signed "see you soon".

As if it wasn't completely obvious he was going to try again at some point.

[Kingpoleon]

I just received an email from the O'Malley campaign thanking me for my financial support and it closed with a statement that we should "never stop fighting". It was signed "see you soon".

As if it wasn't completely obvious he was going to try again at some point.

Since you are a Marylander, do you think that means a statewide bid in 2018 or what? Dutch Ruppersburger will be 73 in 2019, too, and I think that's the district O'Malley lives in.

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton, Ryan and Sasse are attending Romney's E2 event, Sasse and Ryan will speak.

[RogueBeaver]

Walker will also be at Romney's E2.

[Mr. Morden]

Cruz will be attending the Faith & Freedom conference.

Numerous 2016 presidential candidates who could conceivably run again will be there (including the current nominee, Donald Trump):

http://www.roadtomajority.com

Carson
Cruz
Fiorina
Rubio

Huckabee, Kasich, and Paul are invited, but looks like not confirmed to attend at this point.

Meanwhile Blackburn and Ernst are confirmed to attend, potentially to audition for vice president.

Update: I guess this is happening now.  The potential 2020ers who actually ended up showing up to speak are:

http://www.roadtomajority.com/RTM_Agenda_1.pdf

Paul
Rubio
Carson (hey, he ran before, maybe he’ll do it again)
Fiorina (same)

Huckabee was a no show.  And Cruz, despite being advertised as a speaker in the tweet RogueBeaver linked to, doesn’t actually show up on the program.

[Mr. Morden]

More talk from a friend of Rubio that Rubio plans to run for president in 2020:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/what-will-marco-rubio-do-224274

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[RogueBeaver]

Sasse is writing a book.

[Mike Thick]

Wikipedia now mentions a LOT more people: Kaine, Cuomo, Patrick, and Warren for Democrats, and Christie, Cotton, Cruz, Haley, Kasich, Paul, Pence, Rauner, Rubio, Sasse, and Walker for the Republicans (plus both potential incumbent Presidents).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2020

[Mr. Morden]

Wikipedia now mentions a LOT more people: Kaine, Cuomo, Patrick, and Warren for Democrats, and Christie, Cotton, Cruz, Haley, Kasich, Paul, Pence, Rauner, Rubio, Sasse, and Walker for the Republicans (plus both potential incumbent Presidents).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2020

Yeah, but as I said earlier in the thread, Wikipedia mixes together people who've made solid hints that they're interested in running and people who haven't done anything to indicate an interest in running, yet are being speculated about on blogs.  For example, they list Kaine, but it's based on nothing.  They link to a National Review story that talks about how Kaine wants to be Clinton's running mate, which then speculates that if Clinton loses the general election, her running mate would be in a good position for 2020.

The purpose of this thread is more to talk about actual hints from the candidates themselves (and those around them) that they're interested in running.  So far, we have real hints of interest from folks like Cruz, Rubio, Walker, Cotton, Sasse, etc.  On the Democratic side, it's pretty quiet.  I guess at this point, none of the Dems are ready to even contemplate the possibility that Clinton might lose.  (Or they are contemplating it, but don't want to be caught talking about it.)

[Mike Thick]

Ah, okay

[Suck my caulk]

If Trump wins in November, and decides that the actual workload of governing as President is too much for him, he may rest on his laurels and retire (he will be 74 in 2020, after all) and work to get his VP (likely Christie, Sessions, Corker, Fallin, or Huntsman) elected.

Wikipedia mentions Justin Amash, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio as potential Republican candidates, as well as Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo on the Democratic side. There is also, of course, Kanye West, although I doubt he'll actually go through with it.

2016 has been a populist primary season for the Democrats. Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo represent a wing of the Party (the corporate, "moderate," DLC Third Way Democrats) that are dying. They may run, but their chances of winning, at least in a general election. Hillary Clinton, if she wins in November will be the last of the Third Way Democrats to hold the Oval Office. I think populists like Elizabeth Warren, Sherrod Brown, Al Franken, and Alan Grayson are more likely to run and succeed. I am clueless about the Republican side, but whichever Party Kanye West decides to run in, I actually think he has a good chance, assuming the momentum that exists with Sanders (an insider who plays the role of outsider), Trump, and Carson (both complete outsiders) holds up. West is the next reality show star to get famous by using free media publicity and outrageous statements. Underestimate West now, but if he follows the Trump model, he may be a real contender.

[Mr. Morden]

Ted Cruz attended a “secret dinner” earlier this week to plot his comeback:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/283655-top-conservatives-meet-at-secret-dinner-to-discuss-cruzs

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Meanwhile, here’s Paul Ryan on whether he has presidential ambitions:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/paul-ryan-donald-trump-blank-check-endorsement_us_5762fc28e4b0df4d586f9973

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[Free Bird]

Sasse is writing a book.

Welp. It's on.

[Blair]

Why do republicans keep thinking that if they lose, and run again they'll somehow morph into Reagan?

[RogueBeaver]

He obviously can't sing a different tune at this point, but Rubio disclaimed interest here.

[UWS]

I think he only said that to keep votes and not be portrayed as opportunistic.

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton will be speaking at the Aspen Ideas Festival and Western Conservative Conference.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

So apparently Joe Walsh is running in 2020. Heh. I figured he'd run for Senate in 2020 and come in third place in the GOP primary like most one termers do when they want a comeback.

[Mr. Morden]

So apparently Joe Walsh is running in 2020.

Yeah, he "announced" back in 2015 that he'll run for prez in 2020 if a Democrat wins this time:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yq_0YR4Yuzk

[Free Bird]

So apparently Joe Walsh is running in 2020.

Yeah, he "announced" back in 2015 that he'll run for prez in 2020 if a Democrat wins this time:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yq_0YR4Yuzk

Okay then.

[IceSpear]

He obviously can't sing a different tune at this point, but Rubio disclaimed interest here.

He will run regardless of whether or not he's re-elected.

Make the right choice, Florida. You deserve better than an absentee fake Senator.

[RogueBeaver]

Cruz reorganizing his Senate office.

[Mr. Morden]

Kasich 2020?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/kasich-lost-gop-nomination-but-now-hes-finding-a-moment/2016/07/10/b2372d94-454f-11e6-8856-f26de2537a9d_story.html

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[RogueBeaver]

Cotton will address the OH delegation. And IA.