Presidential candidates net favorability rating by month
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  Presidential candidates net favorability rating by month
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Author Topic: Presidential candidates net favorability rating by month  (Read 745 times)
Orser67
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« on: March 31, 2016, 06:02:25 PM »



Based on Huffpo's Pollster Model (e.g. Kasich). It shows a candidate's favorability ratings subtracted by their unfavorability ratings. A major piece of information missing is the percentage of people with "no opinion." The x axis labels are as close as possible to the first of the month (so e.g. April is actually based on data from March 31st).

Pretty impressive growth for Kasich.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2016, 06:28:14 PM »

Good to see Cruz's number follow Trump's.
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Matty
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« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2016, 06:31:32 PM »

clinton has a constant negative slope.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2016, 06:31:50 PM »

Hillary, Trump, and Cruz are all pretty unlikable people.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2016, 06:38:49 PM »

Hillary, Trump, and Cruz are all pretty unlikable people.
Yet, Clinton supporters claim, without good argument, that she is more "electable" than Sanders. The biggest myth about Clinton, of course.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2016, 06:40:15 PM »

Hillary, Trump, and Cruz are all pretty unlikable people.
Yet, Clinton supporters claim, without good argument, that she is more "electable" than Sanders. The biggest myth about Clinton, of course.

Wait until he truly is in the national spotlight, if he even gets that lucky.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2016, 06:43:45 PM »

Hillary, Trump, and Cruz are all pretty unlikable people.
Yet, Clinton supporters claim, without good argument, that she is more "electable" than Sanders. The biggest myth about Clinton, of course.

Wait until he truly is in the national spotlight, if he even gets that lucky.
That's the problem. A lot of people haven't voted for him in the primaries because they don't know who he is. The more people know about him, the more likely they are to vote for him.
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Why
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2016, 06:50:25 PM »

Sanders would ensure the election against Trump would be competitive, Clinton would ensure it would not be.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2016, 06:54:35 PM »

Sanders would ensure the election against Trump would be competitive, Clinton would ensure it would not be.

Are you saying she would lose to Trump because of those ratings? Because going by that metric, Bernie should win in the biggest landslide in history rather than just competitive.

Favorability ratings really are not a good way to predict a race. There are far too many other factors at play.
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tmcusa2
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2016, 07:04:29 PM »

Sanders would ensure the election against Trump would be competitive, Clinton would ensure it would not be.

Are you saying she would lose to Trump because of those ratings? Because going by that metric, Bernie should win in the biggest landslide in history rather than just competitive.

Favorability ratings really are not a good way to predict a race. There are far too many other factors at play.
I don't think that she would lose to Trump, but the question is whether she would do better than Sanders. There is no evidence that she would do better, just the mantra that she would, repeated  primarily by Clinton supporters, who can hardly be objective on the matter. All I get is opinion based on gut feelings or intuition. If Clinton supporters want to cite other reasons for supporting to her, I can deal with that, but this one bothers me, because all objective evidence is to the contrary.
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Why
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2016, 07:05:51 PM »

Sanders would ensure the election against Trump would be competitive, Clinton would ensure it would not be.

Are you saying she would lose to Trump because of those ratings? Because going by that metric, Bernie should win in the biggest landslide in history rather than just competitive.

Favorability ratings really are not a good way to predict a race. There are far too many other factors at play.

I never said Trump would beat Clinton.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2016, 07:10:26 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2016, 07:15:35 PM by Virginia »

I never said Trump would beat Clinton.

ok, well that is why i asked. It was ambiguous.

I don't think that she would lose to Trump, but the question is whether she would do better than Sanders. There is no evidence that she would do better, just the mantra that she would, repeated  primarily by Clinton supporters, who can hardly be objective on the matter. All I get is opinion based on gut feelings or intuition. If Clinton supporters want to cite other reasons for supporting to her, I can deal with that, but this one bothers me, because all objective evidence is to the contrary.

True. Personally, I'm on the fence about it. I think his democratic socialist label drags him down with older voters (who are still more numerous than Millennials right now and have higher turnout rates), and his fundraising strategy might fall woefully short in terms of funding a competitive GE campaign. If he were to face Trump, he might not have to worry about that, because Trump looks like he's planning to continue waging an ultra-cheap campaign.

But other than that, I think Sanders would be a formidable candidate. More so than Clinton under the right circumstances.
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Why
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« Reply #12 on: March 31, 2016, 07:35:50 PM »

I never said Trump would beat Clinton.

ok, well that is why i asked. It was ambiguous.

And I never said Clinton would beat Trump. If you think I am picking one side to win with my comment then your reading into my comment and have no hope of understanding it.
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Vosem
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« Reply #13 on: March 31, 2016, 07:53:52 PM »

Good to see Cruz's number follow Trump's.

What? trump is at -32 with the general electorate while Cruz is at -19. I'm not going to pretend -19 is a remotely good score, but it's a helluva lot better than -32 (and it's comparable with Hillary's score of -15, while trump is more than twice as disliked).
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RR1997
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« Reply #14 on: March 31, 2016, 07:59:40 PM »

LolTrump
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Orser67
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« Reply #15 on: March 31, 2016, 08:05:07 PM »

That's the problem. A lot of people haven't voted for him in the primaries because they don't know who he is. The more people know about him, the more likely they are to vote for him.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/bernie-sanders-favorable-rating

For a while the polling numbers definitely supported your argument, although for the last month his negatives have risen while his favorability score has remained the same.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #16 on: March 31, 2016, 08:11:09 PM »

Kasich's rise in favorability are the direct result of the utter s[inks] show that is the Cruz v.s Trump race and Kasich looking like the adult in the room.

I just wish Trump's numbers were even lower.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #17 on: March 31, 2016, 08:12:49 PM »

I never said Trump would beat Clinton.

ok, well that is why i asked. It was ambiguous.

And I never said Clinton would beat Trump. If you think I am picking one side to win with my comment then your reading into my comment and have no hope of understanding it.

Gotcha. Thanks for being a dick about it.
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Why
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« Reply #18 on: April 01, 2016, 04:36:58 AM »

I never said Trump would beat Clinton.

ok, well that is why i asked. It was ambiguous.

And I never said Clinton would beat Trump. If you think I am picking one side to win with my comment then your reading into my comment and have no hope of understanding it.

Gotcha. Thanks for being a dick about it.

Don't abuse people, post reported
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