Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Why]

So far, CD 3 has Trump up 7 but is only 5% in. CD 2 is very close with a 1 point difference. CD 7 has Trump up 4 with 17% in, and CD 4 isn't in at all.

So it comes down to Racine in CD 2?

Isn't Racine CD 1?

Yes.

[The Other Castro]

Ok, I'm calling CD 7 for Trump. That leaves 2, 3, and 4 (with no results in). CD 2 looks pretty good for Cruz since Dane is only 24% in, though CD 3 is also looking pretty good for Trump.

[Why]

If the rest of Dane goes to Cruz in a similar margin to what is in now it will swamp the rest of CD 2 and ensure Cruz wins.

[Matty]

Ok, I'm calling CD 7 for Trump. That leaves 2, 3, and 4 (with no results in). CD 2 looks pretty good for Cruz since Dane is only 24% in, though CD 3 is also looking pretty good for Trump.

if trump gets 6 delegates, tonight will be 50% less exciting.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Ok, I'm calling CD 7 for Trump. That leaves 2, 3, and 4 (with no results in). CD 2 looks pretty good for Cruz since Dane is only 24% in, though CD 3 is also looking pretty good for Trump.

4 actually has plenty in per the county map, and it will be easily Cruz.

[Why]

Ok, I'm calling CD 7 for Trump. That leaves 2, 3, and 4 (with no results in). CD 2 looks pretty good for Cruz since Dane is only 24% in, though CD 3 is also looking pretty good for Trump.

I agree, 7 is Trumps, 3 is strongly leaning that way as well. 2 is leaning to Cruz and 4 looks good for Cruz on the basis of the county voting information.

[/]

Gilmore has 96 votes already.

#feelthejim

[Fargobison]

What a sore loser the orange one is...

[Young Conservative]

Trump could end up with zero delegates. The only leads he has are slim with few reporting.

[yankeesfan]

What a sore loser the orange one is...

Holy cow.  That's really the Trump campaign's statement?

[Suburbia]

Who won Waukesha County?

[The Other Castro]

Calling CD 2 for Cruz. CD 4 should easily go Cruz, though the precincts specific to that district aren't in yet for AP. For now I guess let's just assume Cruz has at least 1, 2, 5, 6, 8, and most likely 4. With Trump having CD 7, it's all down to CD 3. Right now, it looks pretty likely that Trump will get 6 delegates.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Who won Waukesha County?

Cruz 61% to Trump 22% and Kasich 15%

[The Free North]

A little bit of a logical contradiction from Mr. Trump

Cruz cannot simultaneously be:

-A lier/loser/unlikable person who no one he works with will support

and

-The candidate beloved by the establishment involved in some vast conspiracy to deny Trump delegates

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Upshot's model projects that Cruz's margin of victory will narrow to 15 %age points in the end:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/05/upshot/wisconsin-live-model-republican-primary-results.html

There's like 600+ votes for Jeb Bush.  Who bothers going to the polls and grabbing a GOP ballot, just to mark Jeb Bush?

[Xing]

What a sore loser the orange one is...

Aww, poor little Donny boy doesn't like to lose, does he?

[MaxQue]

How ironic that Putin's very own Trojan's Horse is accusing other persons of being Trojan's Horses.

[Mr. Morden]

[Fargobison]

Racine coming in yuge for Cruz.

[Why]

Who won Waukesha County?

Cruz put Trump over his knee and smacked him like a little boy and now Trump has run off crying about its unfairness.

[Fargobison]

Holy cow.  That's really the Trump campaign's statement?

That is what they put out, I think Donald wrote it himself.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

What a sore loser the orange one is...

Aww, poor little Donny boy doesn't like to lose, does he?

Quit calling Ted lyin

[ElectionsGuy]

Racine coming in yuge for Cruz.

Saw that coming, the western part of the county is an extension of Waukesha.

[Why]

A little bit of a logical contradiction from Mr. Trump

Cruz cannot simultaneously be:

-A lier/loser/unlikable person who no one he works with will support

and

-The candidate beloved by the establishment involved in some vast conspiracy to deny Trump delegates

Logic and conspiracies are at opposite ends of human thinking.

[Mr. Morden]

Upshot's model projects that Cruz's margin of victory will narrow to 15 %age points in the end:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/05/upshot/wisconsin-live-model-republican-primary-results.html

There's like 600+ votes for Jeb Bush.  Who bothers going to the polls and grabbing a GOP ballot, just to mark Jeb Bush?

I always wonder about what fraction of the people who vote for dropout candidates legitimately don't know that their favored candidate has dropped out.