Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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  Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)
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Author Topic: Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 19155 times)
Fargobison
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« Reply #150 on: April 05, 2016, 07:20:20 PM »

This has felt like the slowest election night yet this year.

Yeah, I am dying for the polls to close. Never spent so much time staring at exit polls.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #151 on: April 05, 2016, 07:21:15 PM »

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #152 on: April 05, 2016, 07:21:29 PM »

They also had Cruz +11, I think, with voters who want an outsider.  I can't imagine Trump doing significantly better with those who want an insider.  Maybe, there's just no gender gap.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #153 on: April 05, 2016, 07:30:04 PM »

Half an hour left folks
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NHI
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« Reply #154 on: April 05, 2016, 07:30:49 PM »

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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #155 on: April 05, 2016, 07:44:40 PM »

On whether Republican voters would defect in the general election if their favored candidate isn't nominated:




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Why
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« Reply #156 on: April 05, 2016, 07:45:55 PM »

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #157 on: April 05, 2016, 07:47:06 PM »

Predictions: will they call the GOP side at poll close or will this take a while?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #158 on: April 05, 2016, 07:47:59 PM »

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump

With both Cruz and Kasich we could possibly keep Trump under 50 in New York.

On a side note, if Trump is under 50 in New York, will he ever hit 50 anywhere?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #159 on: April 05, 2016, 07:48:30 PM »

Predictions: will they call the GOP side at poll close or will this take a while?

I'm guessing between 8:30 and 9 CT.
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Why
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« Reply #160 on: April 05, 2016, 07:48:45 PM »

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump

With both Cruz and Kasich we could possibly keep Trump under 50 in New York.

On a side note, if Trump is under 50 in New York, will he ever hit 50 anywhere?

New Jersey?
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #161 on: April 05, 2016, 07:49:49 PM »

If the exit polls end up being close to the actual vote, Kasich should really drop out.

He should stay in until after NY if he wants to stop Trump

With both Cruz and Kasich we could possibly keep Trump under 50 in New York.

On a side note, if Trump is under 50 in New York, will he ever hit 50 anywhere?

New Jersey?

Rhode Island, perhaps?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #162 on: April 05, 2016, 07:50:14 PM »

I would be very surprised if Trump doesn't hit 50% in New Jersey, Rhode Island and West Virginia.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #163 on: April 05, 2016, 07:53:16 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2016, 07:56:46 PM by Fargobison »

Still some long lines in a few places.  GB especially.
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Nathan Towne
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« Reply #164 on: April 05, 2016, 07:54:08 PM »

It appears as though Cruz is virtually a lock to win Wisconsin tonight. The pre-primary polling seems to have been very accurate for the state.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #165 on: April 05, 2016, 07:56:17 PM »

Predictions: will they call the GOP side at poll close or will this take a while?

They'll wait for a while because it's good for ratings. 
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Leinad
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« Reply #166 on: April 05, 2016, 07:56:33 PM »

On whether Republican voters would defect in the general election if their favored candidate isn't nominated:






Even if half of the people saying they'll defect now end up voting for the nominee, it's impossible to imagine Clinton not winning. And the same thing would be true if Kasich/Rubio/Romney/Ryan/whoever wins in some sort of backroom deal--the Cruz and Trump voters would riot.

I just see no way Clinton isn't winning. Trust me, I have absolutely no joy whatsoever in saying that. Sad
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Vosem
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« Reply #167 on: April 05, 2016, 07:57:15 PM »

trump will probably hit 50 in Rhode Island. I think, considering Chris Christie endorsed him, trump is probably going to do much worse than we expect in New Jersey.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #168 on: April 05, 2016, 07:57:57 PM »

On whether Republican voters would defect in the general election if their favored candidate isn't nominated:






Even if half of the people saying they'll defect now end up voting for the nominee, it's impossible to imagine Clinton not winning. And the same thing would be true if Kasich/Rubio/Romney/Ryan/whoever wins in some sort of backroom deal--the Cruz and Trump voters would riot.

I just see no way Clinton isn't winning. Trust me, I have absolutely no joy whatsoever in saying that. Sad

I bet there would be similar numbers if they asked the same thing on the Democratic side.  It's easy to say one thing in April, but it's harder to do it in November.
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Donnie
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« Reply #169 on: April 05, 2016, 07:58:22 PM »

100 seconds left...
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Xing
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« Reply #170 on: April 05, 2016, 07:58:44 PM »

Nate Silver apparently thinks Walker dropped out too early. LOL!
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Vosem
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« Reply #171 on: April 05, 2016, 07:59:31 PM »

I just see no way Clinton isn't winning. Trust me, I have absolutely no joy whatsoever in saying that. Sad

Well, yeah. We're just trying to save the Senate and the furniture at this point.
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yankeesfan
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« Reply #172 on: April 05, 2016, 08:00:02 PM »

Final exit polls:

Cruz 48
Trump 37

Via benchmark polls
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #173 on: April 05, 2016, 08:00:13 PM »

Looks like CNN won't make any projections from the looks of it
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #174 on: April 05, 2016, 08:00:22 PM »

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