Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[Matty]

why did trump do so well in the NW?

[yankeesfan]

http://www.redstate.com/moe_lane/2016/03/21/maryland-delegates-john-kasich/

Meanwhile, Kasich doesn't have a full delegate slate for Maryland.  In a contest where every delegate counts, why is he even competing?

[ProudModerate2]

Is anyone anywhere predicting that Cruz will get all 42 delegates?
I ask because I have just heard a report in Australia that Trump will be getting 0 delegates from Wisconsin

NYT is estimating Cruz with 33 delegates, and trump with 3 delegates (so far).
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/wisconsin

[MasterJedi]

why did trump do so well in the NW?

Poor, uneducated hicks.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Racine coming in yuge for Cruz.

Saw that coming, the western part of the county is an extension of Waukesha.

Browns Lake represent!!  (Also, your "residents only" beach is fascist, wtf?)

[dax00]

why did trump do so well in the NW?

Rurality is good for Trump.

[Zeke921]

So AP is calling 33-3. I guess that means that only district 3 and 4 are up for grabs

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Even if Trump and Cruz essentially tie in every state after last week, although Cruz is having a very good night, I don't see him winning the Northeast (New York will be a blowout for Trump as well), and it's very likely that Trump gets 1,237.

I watched CNN give Trump generous Northeast wins, all of IN and CA but still finish short.

I don't see how some are saying that Trump will win Indiana.  It seems intuitively like a Cruz state- just like Wisconsin did.

We are a Cruz state. The demographics show its ripe for a Cruz landslide.

[Why]

So AP is calling 33-3. I guess that means that only district 3 and 4 are up for grabs

3 is 90%+ going to Trump and 4 is Cruz's

36-6 is almost a certainty.

[yankeesfan]

Watch the movie Hoosiers, then read the RCP article about how Trump does poorly in states with high social connectedness.  

Indiana will be a Cruz-slide.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

I don't see how some are saying that Trump will win Indiana.  It seems intuitively like a Cruz state- just like Wisconsin did.

We are a Cruz state. The demographics show its ripe for a Cruz landslide.

Cruz landslide, yes.  However, having lived in both Wisconsin and Indiana for many years, I can tell you the two have very little in common.  Trump might find some support in the northern rust belt, but it will be a very good primary for Cruz.

[dax00]

I feel safe calling the split 36-6. Doesn't hurt Trump's projections too much.

I've got Trump projected to get 15 out of 57 delegates in Indiana.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Watch the movie Hoosiers, then read the RCP article about how Trump does poorly in states with high social connectedness.  

Indiana will be a Cruz-slide.

https://soundcloud.com/slaughterhouse-nineteen/indiana-uber-alles-1

[Zeke921]

What's up with CD4

[dax00]

What's up with CD4

CD4 is within Milwaukee County. Cruz won Milwaukee - sure thing.

[Fargobison]

Decision Desk HQ
‏@DecisionDeskHQ
Per @greggiroux record for GOP turnout in WI was set in 1980- 907,853. Well we just crossed the 911,000 mark tonight.

[Matty]

To the one or two trump fans in this thread, you can spin the 6 delegates however you like, but the fact is that trump lost by a lot more than anyone thought. If we see such strategic kasich voters do the same thing in maryland, Indiana, etc, it could spell trouble.

[Why]

Cruz making up some ground in CD 3 even though Trump is now winning Pierce County.

Cruz also is now winning Waushara county not that it matters.

[Zeke921]

What's up with CD4

We are only getting counts from counties that are entirely in one CD? CD 4 is, of course, only part of a county

Per AP there are no results as of yet from congressional district 4

[dax00]

To the one or two trump fans in this thread, you can spin the 6 delegates however you like, but the fact is that trump lost by a lot more than anyone thought. If we see such strategic kasich voters do the same thing in maryland, Indiana, etc, it could spell trouble.

6 delegates was what was expected - doesn't hurt the projection.
Trump's gonna lose Indiana.
If Kasich voters try to "strategically vote" in MD, Trump will get even more delegates. Cruz voters would have to "strategically vote" for Kasich to take delegates away from Trump.
With all that in mind, still have Trump projected for 1229.

[Why]

What's up with CD4

We are only getting counts from counties that are entirely in one CD? CD 4 is, of course, only part of a county

Per AP there are no results as of yet from congressional district 4

Ignore my post.

[Averroës Nix]

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Trump won the Menominee Res by 2 votes.  The 78 residents who voted Trump should be ashamed of themselves.

[MaxQue]

What's up with CD4

We are only getting counts from counties that are entirely in one CD? CD 4 is, of course, only part of a county

Per AP there are no results as of yet from congressional district 4

AP, not knowing precincts, only use full counties for CD results. As CD-4 is only a part of the county, AP will never have results for it.

[ElectionsGuy]

Trump leading in 46/72 counties (64%) despite losing by 14%.