Electoral Map Prediction Game

[Clark Kent]

Here's how this game works: Each poster will post a map, and the next poster would have to come up with a plausible way for that map to occur within the next few electoral cycles (2016-2040) while posting a new map.

I'll start:

[Kingpoleon]

2028: Vice Pres. Sandoval(NV)/Gov. Scott(VT): socially centrist and fiscally centre-right, this ticket is composed of moderates who had previously supported the libertarian Daniels/Sandoval(2021-2029) administration.

Sen. Goodwin(WV)/Sen. Kander(MO): socially centrist and economically populist, this ticket represents the labor/populist branch whihc had supported Schweitzer in 2024.

~300 R to ~238 D

[Clark Kent]

The South continues to trend Democratic, and the Midwest Republican. Eventually, this leads to a confrontation between the progressive-populist Democrat and the evangelical populist Republican ~2040 or so.

[Clark Kent]

Shameless bump

[Kingpoleon]

2024: President Paul and Vice President Ryan are defeated by Fmr. Gov. John Bel Edwards/Sen. Michelle Nunn.

[Mike Thick]

Trumpism gradually poisons the Mountain West and Northern Great Plains for the GOP (along with Latinos), but improves them greatly with Rust Belt whites and African-Americans. This happens in the 2030s: a white Nevadan heads the Democratic ticket with a black Michigander, and the Republican ticket is headed by a Latino Texan, with a black Marylander as veep. The margin in Illinois is incredibly close, and a recount is botched worse than Florida 2000, leading to a prolonged lawsuit that eventually ends up at the highest court in the land.

[Kingpoleon]

2017-2021: Clinton/Franken
2021-2029: Scott Brown/Lisa Murkowski


2028:
Sen. Joseph Cao(elected in 2016)/Gov. Kevin Faulconer(elected in 2026) run on a fair trade, non-interventionist, socially centre-left and economically centre-populist platform. Meanwhile, Sen. Jason Kander(elected in 2016)/Rep. Gwen Graham(elected in 2014) run on a free trade, interventionist, socially centrist and economically right-populist platform.

[Kingpoleon]

2017-2025: Hillary Clinton/Scott Brown(def. Cruz/Daniels in 2016)


2024: Gov. Phil Scott and Sen. Shelley Capito run as social libertarians and economically centre-right(about -4.0 and +1.8 on our PM score). They win narrowly against Rep. Jim Matheson/Fmr. Gov. John Bel Edwards.

[Kingpoleon]

2024: Pres. Christopher Christie and Governor Heather Wilson defeated Kevin Cramer in a prolonged primary battle ending in May. However, Senator Greg Orman and Governor Jason Carter were the nominees in a contested convention against Martin Heinrich.

[This account no longer in use.]

I think you just replied to yourself, Kingpoleon...

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Hillary Clinton wins in 2016 and   remains popular in the east, however becomes unpopular in the west. Brian Sandoval becomes the GOP nominee,  selecting Phil Bryant as his running mate. Meanwhile Hillary Clinton selected popular Alaska Governor  Bill Walker as her  running mate back in 2016. The regional trend continues with Cuomo sweeping the east narrowly loosing Alabama by 2%, Phil Bryant popularity helps him win Mississippi. Sandoval wins almost all the western states, loosing California and Hawaii by a combined 2%. Bill Walkers own personal  popularity helps him win Alaska

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

[edit, was aimed at the map by Northeast Speaker Kingpoleon, beaten to the punch by Pacific Councilor ]A massive, 9.0 earthquake occurs along the Puget Sound fault, devastating the Sea-tac and Portland metro areas in 2018. The relief effort is bungled by the Clinton Administration (many question the appointment of close Clinton adviser Sydney Blumenthal to the post of FEMA Director)  and the combined outpouring of refugees and bad reputation devastates and discredits the Democratic party in Cascadia. Combined with a resurgent Green party dividing the left wing vote, the GOP has safely locked up the Pacific Northwest's vote by the convention.

Administration in disarray, Clinton is unseated from the left in 2020 by a challenge from Senator Russ Feingold. Feingold selects as running mate Gov. Roy Cooper of NC.  


On the GOP side, the troubles of 2016 seemed to have subsided, giving Senator Ted Cruz (2016's opponent of President Clinton) an easy path to the nomination by the SC primary. However, in a widely questioned move, Sen Cruz selected Representative Tom Emmer of Minnesota as his running mate. This is perceived as a play at challenging Feingold in his home turf.

While the choice of running mate does (somehow, I dunno, Keith Ellison said something really bad on Nov 1?) accomplish the proximate goal of winning Minnesota, Feingold/Cooper 2020 turns out to be a dream partnership. Feingold's unapologetic populism wins plaudits across the nation, while Cooper's status as emblematic of the New South finds surprising purchase in state Dems had not sought to win in years.

A freak weather system limits voting in Alaska to core Anchorage.

Man, that map would NEVER happen.

 
EDIT: Damn, I missed the boat! here it is anyway.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Okay, for Pacific Councilor's Map:

Rubio/McCarthy 2024 running to replace an outgoing President Clinton. Clinton's first term priority was substantive immigration reform, removing it from the table of issues considered 'hot button' in national politics.

 

[BuckeyeNut]

2016: After losing the Democratic nomination for President, Senator Bernie Sanders begins a vigorous 3rd write-in campaign for the Presidency as a Populist-Progressive, he chooses Minnesota Representative Collin Peterson as his running mate.

The Democratic Party nominates former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with Labor Secretary Thomas Perez as her running mate.

Donald Trump, like Bernie Sanders, is snubbed of the nomination at the convention after Texas Senator Ted Cruz wins on the 3rd ballot. Cruz chooses Senator Rand Paul, who simultaneously runs for re-election to the Senate, as his running mate. Trump does not seek a 3rd party nomination.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

So for clarification, it's a 4 party election? I assume that Trump/Paul takes ID, SD, ME 2, and WY, and Sanders/Peterson takes MN, IA, VT?

Not sure where you want MT going : P

[BuckeyeNut]

Three way.

Trump doesn't go for it.

Sanders/Collins
Clinton/Perez
Cruz/Paul

[Kingpoleon]

I think you just replied to yourself, Kingpoleon...

Someone posted a similar map and deleted it.

[Kempros]

This is a game of opinions. You probably would be better off making your own chain of predictions and then conferring with each other after to refine your opinions that would most likely be closer to the general opinion.

[Illiniwek]

[Clark Kent]

Trump/LePage (R) vs. Sanders/Udall (D)

The Republican ticket makes inroads into the Northeast and Rust Belt, while further alienating "minorities" and Mormons.

[Kingpoleon]

2017-2021: Clinton/Webb
2021-2029: Faulconer/Scott
2028:
Phil Scott, the two-term Governor of Vermont and two-term Vice President, has pledged to serve only one term. His running-mate is James Sandoval, the two-term Governor of Nevada who had become a Representative for four years from 2019 to 2023. The pro-choice, pro-SSM ticket is seen as centre to centre-left.

The Democratic ticket is seen as centre-right. Former Governor Conner Eldridge of Arkansas runs with Texas Senator Filemon Veja, Jr., who won notably by promising to put pressure on the other Democrats and Republicans from Texas in Congress to secure the border and then implement reform. The Veja-Cao-Graham bill is considered one of the most conservative pieces of bipartisan cooperation in recent years.

[Xing]

In 2024, Kirk/Sandoval run a socially centrist, fiscally conversative, semi-populist campaign against Kirkpatrick/Carter (Jason), who are able to get very high turnout among black voters in the South, but struggle enormously with white voters in the Midwest. WV voters, annoyed with the Republican ticket's stance on coal, vote in large numbers for third party candidates, allowing Kirkpatrick to sneak past Kirk, 39/37.

[Mike Thick]

The Deep South's black population explodes, and becomes competitive over the course of a few decades. Simultaneously, the Northeast bleeds population into the lower Midwest, causing the former to trend right and the latter left. Alaska goes left because of an expanding work-from-home tech industry. The 2040 election is a socially moderate Republican Governor of Nevada, running with a populist Governor of Arkansas, against the Democratic Senator from Florida and the Governor of Indiana.

[Kingpoleon]

2017-2021: Clinton/Heinrich
2021-2029: Brown/Hogan
The Democrats run a pro-immigration, pro-criminal justice ticket which supported fair trade, single-payer, a $20 minimum wage, and non-interventionism but was otherwise solidly centre-right. This ticket was composed of Louisiana Governor Joseph Cao(elected in 2019 as a Republican, became a Democrat in 2022)/Mississippi Rep. James Hood. The Republican ticket, Washington Governor Shane Bemis/Minnesota Senator Jake Coleman, ran supporting the BrownCare, where universal healthcare is practiced without individual mandates and state boundaries. They represent the northern electorate as a whole pretty well, besides Vermont and RI.