If Trump had never entered the race
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Dereich)
  If Trump had never entered the race
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Poll
Question: If Trump had never entered the race who would be winning right now?
#1
Ted Cruz
 
#2
Marco Rubio
 
#3
John Kasich
 
#4
Jeb Bush
 
#5
Chris Christie
 
#6
Scott Walker
 
#7
Someone else
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: If Trump had never entered the race  (Read 1574 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
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« on: April 05, 2016, 02:33:41 PM »

Apologies if this has already been done.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2016, 02:58:57 PM »

There has been a thread on this before and I think the general consensus was Ted Cruz would be able to win over the anti-establishment vote. By doing this he would win big early as the establishment vote is too divided over Bush, Rubio, Kasich etc. Kasich would eventually be revealed as the establishment's strongest candidate as he wins Ohio by >50% but by the time Rubio drops out it's too late.

Meanwhile there's Carson, who would compete with Cruz over the evangelical vote. If Cruz doesn't need to resort to unethical lying to win Iowa over Carson than that's just another good thing for Cruz compared to OTL. 

Cruz wins the primaries and gets clobbered by Clinton in the election.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2016, 09:21:23 AM »

The Canadian-born Cuban Right-winger
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2016, 05:10:19 PM »

Maybe Kasich? He would have won New Hampshire for sure.


Kasich: 50.5%
Paul: 21.0%
Rubio: 20.2%
Cruz: 12.3%
others: 6.0%
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2016, 09:21:20 AM »

Kasich or Rubio would be the nominee
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2016, 09:40:26 AM »

Cruz would either be winning or this close to winning it all.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2016, 01:03:00 PM »

A two man race between Rafael and Little Marco.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #7 on: April 23, 2016, 08:23:00 PM »

Cruz would have it locked up by now, sweeping the South and the West.
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #8 on: April 24, 2016, 01:28:34 AM »

Bush may have been a stronger factor. Iirc his team expected Cruz to surge and were ready to deal with that.
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Higgs
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« Reply #9 on: April 29, 2016, 09:24:18 PM »

Bush may have been a stronger factor. Iirc his team expected Cruz to surge and were ready to deal with that.

Agreed. I think Bush would have been a much more formidable candidate had his image not been destroyed by Trump.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #10 on: April 30, 2016, 12:15:19 AM »

I have a funny feeling that Walker would have ridden an Iowa win to the nomination and the presidency.  He was fundamentally unlucky with the shakeup in the race.  The best analogy would be, for anyone who watches Survivor, someone who is in a good position, but loses because of a tribe swap at the wrong time changing the dynamics of the game.
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