PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton trails Kasich; ties Cruz

[MT Treasurer]

In head-to-head general election matchups:

    Kasich buries Clinton 51 - 35 percent;
    Kasich tops Sanders 46 - 40 percent;
    Clinton gets 45 percent to Trump's 42 percent;
    Clinton ties Cruz 43 - 43 percent;
    Sanders tops Trump 48 - 40 percent;
    Sanders beats Cruz 46 - 38 percent.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2341

[Podgy the Bear]

Forget Kasich and Sanders--they are fantasies and hypotheticals that won't happen.

That said, the results of the Cruz-Hillary matchup is interesting.   But in the end, it will resemble the 2008 or 2012 election--with the Democrats at a 5-8 point advantage.

Trump-Hillary, on the other hand, is hard to predict.

[pbrower2a]

Primary voters in the primaries; registered voters in the general election.

Pennsylvania always looks close at this stage of the election; Democratic success in the general election depends upon the effectiveness of GOTV (Get Out The Vote) campaigns that first register lots of new voters.

[Skye]

That 16-point Kasich lead tho.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Not a very good showing by Hillary. +3 against Trump is bad enough, tying Cruz worse, and losing by 16 to Kasich is a McGovern like disaster.

[Phony Moderate]

Forget Kasich and Sanders--they are fantasies and hypotheticals that won't happen.

Disagree about Kasich. The behind-the-scenes guys are noting these numbers and for as long as Kasich keeps up numbers like this then he will a possibility.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

But, I was told PA is safe D because of some magical wall??!!  Cruz can beat Clinton, but go ahead and not realize this until panicking on the eve of the election, liberals!

[Comrade Funk]

She's such a bad candidate ugh

[pbrower2a]

But, I was told PA is safe D because of some magical wall??!!  Cruz can beat Clinton, but go ahead and not realize this until panicking on the eve of the election, liberals!

There is no magical wall. In view of the dirty tricks that Republicans have used, Democrats do not assume anything in any state not safe.  You can trust that there will be a GOTV campaign beginning as soon as the Presidential match-ups are set.

Don't be surprised if 43% is the effective ceiling of Ted Cruz.

[Ebsy]

Junk.

[Xing]

I'll believe Cruz is tied with Clinton here when I see it. I'm still not buying Cruz being a formidable GE candidate.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2016-04-04

Summary: D: 45%, R: 42%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Clinton go home. You will be horrible for Democrats in the general.

[EliteLX]

Can't Lasik The Kasich.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Amazing that Trump is a viable option here, but it's Q, so...

[pbrower2a]

I'll believe Cruz is tied with Clinton here when I see it. I'm still not buying Cruz being a formidable GE candidate.

Quinnipiac does not push people to make choices.  Such tends to get low results for both candidates in just about any matchup.

It's Pennsylvania. Republicans quickly solidify such support as they can expect in November. They then hit a brick wall.

[Tender Branson]

Good for her that the GOP might "elect" a guy with 75% unfavourables ... which is even worse then hers. But the fact that she only manages to lead him by 3% in PA is troubling.

[Admiral Kizaru]

Clinton go home. You will be horrible for Democrats in the general.

Got it.

I'll forward this to her so she gets the message.

[President Johnson]

Forget Kasich and Sanders--they are fantasies and hypotheticals that won't happen.

That said, the results of the Cruz-Hillary matchup is interesting.   But in the end, it will resemble the 2008 or 2012 election--with the Democrats at a 5-8 point advantage.

Trump-Hillary, on the other hand, is hard to predict.

I agree.

[MT Treasurer]

But, I was told PA is safe D because of some magical wall??!!  Cruz can beat Clinton, but go ahead and not realize this until panicking on the eve of the election, liberals!

Obviously. According to the red avatars on this site, Republicans could nominate a Abraham Lincoln/Ronald Reagan ticket, win the popular vote by 25 points and would still lose because of THE SOLID 270 BLUE FREIWAL!!!11! MUH SOLID D PA/VA/WI!

[Xing]

But, I was told PA is safe D because of some magical wall??!!  Cruz can beat Clinton, but go ahead and not realize this until panicking on the eve of the election, liberals!

Obviously. According to the red avatars on this site, Republicans could nominate a Abraham Lincoln/Ronald Reagan ticket, win the popular vote by 25 points and would still lose because of THE SOLID 270 BLUE FREIWAL!!!11! MUH SOLID D PA/VA/WI!

[Reginald]

Party ID for the poll:

36% Republican
34% Democratic
30% Ind/other

PA voter registration stats:

49% Democratic
38% Republican
13% Ind/other

This isn't necessarily even a critique of the methodology; the poll is obviously more interested in the primary electorate. Just calm the f down.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Forget Kasich and Sanders--they are fantasies and hypotheticals that won't happen.

Disagree about Kasich. The behind-the-scenes guys are noting these numbers and for as long as Kasich keeps up numbers like this then he will a possibility.

The behind-the-scenes guys also note his bumbling campaign and the fact that he will probably finish the primary with less delegates than zombie Rubio.
If the establishment wants to take a chance with a non-TRUMP, non-Cruz candidate then Kasich won't be their guy.

I'll believe Cruz is tied with Clinton here when I see it. I'm still not buying Cruz being a formidable GE candidate.

The guy will be the most conservative candidate since Goldwater, and he will probably be proud about it. Not only that, but according to everyone who knows him he is an absolutely vile human being. Not exactly the characteristics of a strong general election candidate.

[IceSpear]

Party ID for the poll:

36% Republican
34% Democratic
30% Ind/other

PA voter registration stats:

49% Democratic
38% Republican
13% Ind/other

This isn't necessarily even a critique of the methodology; the poll is obviously more interested in the primary electorate. Just calm the f down.

HAHAHA!

gg quinnijunk

[Higgs]

Kasich is the prince us Republicans don't deserve.